Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 29, 2024, 09:16:38 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1 (search mode)
Thread note

Pages: [1] 2 3 4
Author Topic: Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1  (Read 201061 times)
GeorgiaModerate
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,354


« on: November 06, 2018, 08:34:03 AM »

Quote from: Restricted
You must be logged in to read this quote.

Yes. I sent Dave some changes tonight. If he does them all you should notice some differences, besides members only. No search, no "new reply" warning when you click Post, small other things. I think it'll be enough. I hope so anyway!

Thanks, this is really annoying on election day since it often takes several tries due to warning.

You can disable it all the time in your profile under look/layout preferences.  I keep it disabled all the time.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,354


« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2018, 11:00:34 AM »

I think the one prediction we can all make in confidence is that this election will set modern records for mid-term turnout

That's probably true.  It's funny...in the long run, the greatest result of the Trump administration may turn out to be increased engagement in the political process by the American people, especially young people.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,354


« Reply #2 on: November 06, 2018, 03:09:21 PM »

Maybe we should get the people who run the voting for American Idol and similar shows to handle our elections.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,354


« Reply #3 on: November 06, 2018, 03:32:52 PM »

Turnout in parts of Cobb County GA (Atlanta suburbs) running above presidential levels, per the AJC live updates.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,354


« Reply #4 on: November 06, 2018, 04:07:08 PM »

An election AND champions league football is on

I might just die of excitement, hold me everyone

College basketball season starts today too!
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,354


« Reply #5 on: November 06, 2018, 04:11:22 PM »

My polling site in CA-37 was decently crowded, but nothing too crazy.  I voted straight D, but I did make some silly write-ins (like Mickey Mouse for county sheriff).  Happy Election Day, everyone!

Mickey might win if it was CA-46. Smiley
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,354


« Reply #6 on: November 06, 2018, 04:15:42 PM »


Isn't this info supposed to be embargoed until 5PM?
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,354


« Reply #7 on: November 06, 2018, 04:19:22 PM »


Generally, it means that preliminary exit poll data is not supposed to be released to the press until at least 5pm Eastern Time.  But henster pointed out that this isn't the "standard" exit polling, it's something WaPo is doing.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,354


« Reply #8 on: November 06, 2018, 04:24:16 PM »

Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,354


« Reply #9 on: November 06, 2018, 04:54:24 PM »


Unacceptable regardless of who it benefits. States need to get their stuff figured iut

Exactly.  Voting is the cornerstone of our form of government.  Every one with the right to vote should be able to easily cast a ballot, and they all should be counted fairly and accurately.  This seems like a no-brainer.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,354


« Reply #10 on: November 06, 2018, 05:00:33 PM »


Citation needed.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,354


« Reply #11 on: November 06, 2018, 06:26:01 PM »

I was about to ask "Has this forum learned nothing about drawing conclusions from early returns?"  But then I realized that you don't need to ask questions you already know the answer to.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,354


« Reply #12 on: November 06, 2018, 06:31:12 PM »


Can we preemptively f*** off with this nonsense?

I suggest reporting any posts that are outright disinformation like that one.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,354


« Reply #13 on: November 06, 2018, 07:24:47 PM »

from 538 liveblog:

We have about 400,000 early votes in Broward County, Florida, one of the bluest counties in the state. Bill Nelson leads Rick Scott 71 to 28 percent, and Andrew Gillum leads Ron DeSantis 71 to 29 percent. Hillary Clinton won Broward 66 to 31, but we have to wait for the full Election Day vote, which will probably lean more Republican.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,354


« Reply #14 on: November 06, 2018, 07:36:22 PM »

538's real-time House odds just jumped to 91.6% for the Democrats.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,354


« Reply #15 on: November 06, 2018, 07:42:56 PM »

Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,354


« Reply #16 on: November 06, 2018, 08:30:27 PM »

From 538 liveblog:

You may have noticed that our real-time forecast has moved toward Republicans in the House. It’s being too aggressive, in my opinion. The model sees that a bunch of “likely Republican” districts (particularly in Florida) are now 100 percent likely to go red. But there hasn’t been the chance for Democrats to clinch many equivalent likely Democratic districts.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,354


« Reply #17 on: November 06, 2018, 08:41:58 PM »

D's back to 64% for the House in 538's model.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,354


« Reply #18 on: November 06, 2018, 09:31:44 PM »

Uh, Bourdeaux is up 13% with 90% reporting according to NYT?

The Gwinnett early vote was huge for Abrams, which bodes well for Bourdeaux as well.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,354


« Reply #19 on: November 06, 2018, 09:33:02 PM »

Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,354


« Reply #20 on: November 06, 2018, 09:35:36 PM »

Steve Schale is saying FL-SEN will be in recount territory.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,354


« Reply #21 on: November 06, 2018, 09:36:51 PM »

CNN finally calls it for Braun and Baldwin.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,354


« Reply #22 on: November 06, 2018, 10:07:02 PM »

Not that it's in doubt at this point, but 538 finally got back above 90% for D's to take the House.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,354


« Reply #23 on: November 06, 2018, 10:14:57 PM »

Meanwhile, CNN is still talking about whether Beto can make up the deficit in Texas.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,354


« Reply #24 on: November 06, 2018, 10:31:21 PM »

Democrats flipping the House is the key.  Taking the Senate would have been fantastic but was always a very unlikely shot.  Now we'll finally get to see some real oversight of the Trump administration.  Say hello to Intel Committee Chairman Adam Schiff, for one.

Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3 4  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.033 seconds with 12 queries.