Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1

[Ebsy]

I might be wrong, but isn't there typically a surge for democrats after 4 pm when people comes back from work?

Yes.

[Ebsy]

Media reports indicate that turnout is extremely high for a midterm in St. Louis, Kansas City and Springfield.

[Ebsy]

65+: R+1

...

[Ebsy]

Fox News voter analysis data:

65-34 on economy
51% want to repeal Obamacare
46% support the wall
66% think political correctness has gone too far

Did they ever apologize for their massive misses in Alabama and Virginia?

[Ebsy]

Broward supposedly finished their VBM and only has a few thousand (~4-6K) early votes left.

Still haven't updated with the SOS though, as far as I can tell.

[Ebsy]

McSally underperforming in a big way in the Pinal ballots that just dumped.

[Ebsy]

Rick Scott just spoke from the steps of the Governor's mansion, accusing liberal activists and Hillary Clinton's lawyers of trying to steal the election from him. Appeared to be covered in sweat.

[Ebsy]

How many votes are there left in Broward?

Nobody really knows, including Clerk Snipes.

[Ebsy]

https://twitter.com/harrisalexc/status/1060713390660837378

Still not clear when updated numbers are going to be posted in the SOS system.

[Ebsy]

So even before the undervote, it's possible that there is still enough votes left in the state to get Nelson the 15k? The hand count should be very interesting...

Since Broward is essentially done, it's highly unlikely Scott has less than a 10K lead going into the recount. The current margin shouldn't change a whole lot based on what's out. There simply aren't that many provisionals (10K at most) and military/overseas ballots tend to be a wash. There might be a few ballots in Palm Beach left, but not very many.

Broward's votes are still MIA.

[Ebsy]

I'm not sure what you are referring to. Broward has still not posted updated totals to its site or to the SOS. Thus, there is a lot of uncertainty as to what impact Broward will have.

[Ebsy]

Current SOS turnout:


Broward County Turnout report:


As you can see, there are at least several thousand more ballots outstanding not included in the SOS tally of Broward. Throughout the count, even more ballots have been added to the turnout report, so there probably quite a bit more than 4k ballots not included.

[Ebsy]

Christ, it's useless correcting you people. No one even reads the thread before they post.

I have read the thread, and you, as usual, aren't as well informed as you think.

[Ebsy]

Christ, it's useless correcting you people. No one even reads the thread before they post.

I have read the thread, and you, as usual, aren't as well informed as you think.

The SOS site is not updated because the Broward County SOE has not transmitted the data yet! Read the f**king local reporters!

Then stop saying that Broward is finished, as it clearly isn't.

[Ebsy]

Hopefully we can get a solid number on ballots in Broward County.

[Ebsy]

RIP Denham, worthless career in tatters. HP.

[Ebsy]

Kim is almost certainly going to lose.

[Ebsy]

Gaynor would be such an awful SOS

Good thing he lost then, huh.

[Ebsy]

It means that if there had been 2 dems running we likely would have picked up a seat there.

[Ebsy]

Walters now leads by 1k votes, Kim by just under 2k.

[Ebsy]

I doubt the rule change goes through, does not have much support within the caucus.