Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1

[RI]

Where do you see the 4,311 number?

[libertpaulian]

Why is the West notoriously horrible at counting votes on time?

[Mr. Smith]

Rosendale is ahead by 3097 votes.

"Assuming" the SOS site is correct and there are only 4311 votes yet to be counted, Tester would needed 85.8% of the ballots to go his way to win.

JON TESTER   199175   
MATT ROSENDALE   202262   
RICK BRECKENRIDGE   11891   
      
TOTAL VOTES COUNTED   413328   
      
Total Turnout   417639   
      
Remaining Votes   4311   
      
Rosendale lead   3087   
      
Tester Needs to win   3699          85.80%

85% could very well happen, considering what's left is in Gallatin and Missoula.

I mean yeah, I'm not gonna be surprised if that doesn't happen, but far from implausible.

[wbrocks67]

So what's the story with AZ? There is people saying there is still like 1/4 of the vote left to count.

[Thatkat04]

The Montana SoS website has Tester ahead right now.

[Storebought]

What is the current House vote total in NC? I know that their gerrymander was so effective not a single seat switched there, but I'd like to see just how effective.

[Thatkat04]

Also, Tester just took the lead on CNN.

[Storr]

CNN has Tester winning with 99% reporting 213,825-211,795.

[GMantis]

And according to the SOS site, none of the precincts in Missoula and Gallatin (the two largest Democratic counties in Montana) have finished reporting.

[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

This aged well.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Why is the West notoriously horrible at counting votes on time?

We gotta ride the votes in on horseback Red Dead Redemption style.

[Perlen vor den Schweinen]

This aged well.

It didn't even take 10 minutes.

...though with how Democratic fortunes have been, maybe this could flip again.

[Virginiá]

What is the current House vote total in NC? I know that their gerrymander was so effective not a single seat switched there, but I'd like to see just how effective.

Barely held on to NC-09 and NC-02/NC-13 were 5-6 point wins.

Bad night for the NCGOP altogether though. Their supreme court packing scheme backfired hugely and now Democrats have a bigger majority on the state Supreme Court, so I'd expect challenges to the Congressional and legislative maps at the state level.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

TESTER, YES, YES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[Pandaguineapig]

Looks like Nelson's requested recount has to be completed by Saturday at noon, barring a historic tabulation error there is no way a recount nets Nelson 34,000 votes. Scott has this

[Comrade Funk]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JhhmuPKe6w4

[libertpaulian]

Looks like Nelson's requested recount has to be completed by Saturday at noon, barring a historic tabulation error there is no way a recount nets Nelson 34,000 votes. Scott has this

There are still a ton of absentees and provisionals.

[wbrocks67]

Ugh, the amount of races literally within like 0.5% is insane.

The Gina Ortiz Jones/Will Hurd race especially. She was *so* close

[libertpaulian]

Ugh, the amount of races literally within like 0.5% is insane.

The Gina Ortiz Jones/Will Hurd race especially. She was *so* close

Can she ask for a recount?

[Thatkat04]

So if Tester wins(looking more and more likely) and Sinema pulls it out with all the ballots left, than a Dem +36 in the House and a Rep +2 in the Senate would be a pretty decent night for democrats all things considered.

[Storr]

What is the current House vote total in NC? I know that their gerrymander was so effective not a single seat switched there, but I'd like to see just how effective.

Barely held on to NC-09 and NC-02/NC-13 were 5-6 point wins.

Bad night for the NCGOP altogether though. Their supreme court packing scheme backfired hugely and now Democrats have a bigger majority on the state Supreme Court, so I'd expect challenges to the Congressional and legislative maps at the state level.

NC-09 still hasn't been called, 3% of the vote still to come in.

[wbrocks67]

I'm kind of shocked to see Harder and Porter down in CA, but there's still a ton of CA votes left, right?

[Virginiá]

NC-09 still hasn't been called, 3% of the vote still to come in.

Oh ok, cool.

[Storr]

NC-09 still hasn't been called, 3% of the vote still to come in.

Oh ok, cool.

Though it does seem to be an uphill climb, McCready is down by ~2,000. It all depends on where the missing votes are from.

[KingSweden]

So if Tester wins(looking more and more likely) and Sinema pulls it out with all the ballots left, than a Dem +36 in the House and a Rep +2 in the Senate would be a pretty decent night for democrats all things considered.

If you’d told me that was the number I’d have been okay with it on Monday... provided that Rick Scott wasn’t part of that +2