Wisconsin Megathread v2: Hagedorn vs. Neubauer

[Bidenworth2020]

The GOP legislature knows that Evers is far left and is only being moderate to stay on their good side. However, declaring border security as a non-emergency is as partisan as it gets. The independents who voted for Evers will remember this come 2022. Declaring border security as a non-emergency is as partisan as it gets.

WI Dems should enjoy their one-term governor while they can. If Milwaukee continues to lose population, it'll get harder and harder for the D's to win statewide elections.

ever heard of a place called madison?

[GeorgiaModerate]

The GOP legislature knows that Evers is far left and is only being moderate to stay on their good side. However, declaring border security as a non-emergency is as partisan as it gets. The independents who voted for Evers will remember this come 2022. Declaring border security as a non-emergency is as partisan as it gets.

WI Dems should enjoy their one-term governor while they can. If Milwaukee continues to lose population, it'll get harder and harder for the D's to win statewide elections.

That's a really impressive level of awfulness for a new poster.

[Scottholes 2.0]

Sigh.

https://madison.com/wsj/news/local/govt-and-politics/tony-evers-first-budget-sets-up-fight-with-republicans/article_6877ee2b-db9c-58bf-953f-d16f6a19bb12.html?utm_source=facebook.com&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=wisconsin+state+journal&fbclid=IwAR2jAhECoUhKDOYbVCk-Nckia8rF0QmWzejBiN891_klZ31hKVKMr_p4VcA

[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

Sigh.

https://madison.com/wsj/news/local/govt-and-politics/tony-evers-first-budget-sets-up-fight-with-republicans/article_6877ee2b-db9c-58bf-953f-d16f6a19bb12.html?utm_source=facebook.com&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=wisconsin+state+journal&fbclid=IwAR2jAhECoUhKDOYbVCk-Nckia8rF0QmWzejBiN891_klZ31hKVKMr_p4VcA

It's not a trifecta; Stop acting like it's a new thing for a Governor to have a hostile Legislature.

[Scottholes 2.0]

Sigh.

https://madison.com/wsj/news/local/govt-and-politics/tony-evers-first-budget-sets-up-fight-with-republicans/article_6877ee2b-db9c-58bf-953f-d16f6a19bb12.html?utm_source=facebook.com&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=wisconsin+state+journal&fbclid=IwAR2jAhECoUhKDOYbVCk-Nckia8rF0QmWzejBiN891_klZ31hKVKMr_p4VcA

It's not a trifecta; Stop acting like it's a new thing for a Governor to have a hostile Legislature.

Oh, hush. Do you think I don't know this already? I just hope Evers uses that powerful veto pen of his!

[Gass3268]

Conservatives really dropped the ball when the decided to go with Brian Hagedorn as their nominee.

https://twitter.com/MollyBeck/status/1103278440931827717

Earlier this week, Eric Holder's National Redistricting Action Fund announced it will spend $350,000 for Lisa Neubauer.

[Gass3268]

This dude is crazy:

https://twitter.com/DanielBice/status/1103346745696768001

[MasterJedi]

This dude is crazy:

https://twitter.com/DanielBice/status/1103346745696768001

And conservatives say that radical Islam is the danger when we should be terrified of these radical Christians.

[Scottholes 2.0]

Milwaukee is HOSTING the DNC! Yes!!!!!!!!!

https://fox11online.com/news/state/milwaukee-to-host-dnc-in-2020

[Scottholes 2.0]

Lame-duck bills were blocked and legislative powers were restored to Governor Evers yesterday. Now the Repubs are fighting back: https://madison.com/ct/news/local/govt-and-politics/election-matters/wisconsin-republicans-ask-court-to-block-judge-s-lame-duck/article_c90c57cc-8e7c-5edf-a02d-dc112e9fe8f5.html

[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

Lame-duck bills were blocked and legislative powers were restored to Governor Evers yesterday. Now the Repubs are fighting back: https://madison.com/ct/news/local/govt-and-politics/election-matters/wisconsin-republicans-ask-court-to-block-judge-s-lame-duck/article_c90c57cc-8e7c-5edf-a02d-dc112e9fe8f5.html

Considering the State Supreme Court is controlled by the GOP...we all know how this will end.

[CatoMinor]

This dude is crazy:

Well I mean, technically, is he wrong?

"Congress shall make no law..."

[Sestak]

This dude is crazy:

Well I mean, technically, is he wrong?

"Congress shall make no law..."

I think arguing against incorporation nowadays can be considered pretty crazy.

[Gass3268]

Liberal Supreme Court candidate Neubauer outraised conservative candidate Hagedorn.

https://twitter.com/sbauerAP/status/1110220330310742018

[Gass3268]

Conservatives are making a late outside spending push for Hagedorn for the last week. Prior to this he had been outspent 14-1 by outside spending. I would not be shocked if internal polling looked really bad. Things have not been going his way:

- He’s endured months of negative headlines over his extreme anti-gay views.
- He lost an endorsement from the Wisconsin Realtors, a powerful group that typically supports     conservatives like him, because of his hatred toward LGBT people.
- He’s gotten outraised by Neubauer.
- Ninety-eight percent of Wisconsin judges who’ve endorsed in this race have backed Neubauer.
- Outside groups had favored Neubauer in their spending by a 14-to-1 ratio.

https://twitter.com/DKElections/status/1110567415484538880

Also I saw yesterday that the largest contributor to Hagedorn's campaign has been the WIGOP.

[Politician]

Conservatives are making a late outside spending push for Hagedorn for the last week. Prior to this he had been outspent 14-1 by outside spending. I would not be shocked if internal polling looked really bad. Things have not been going his way:

- He’s endured months of negative headlines over his extreme anti-gay views.
- He lost an endorsement from the Wisconsin Realtors, a powerful group that typically supports     conservatives like him, because of his hatred toward LGBT people.
- He’s gotten outraised by Neubauer.
- Ninety-eight percent of Wisconsin judges who’ve endorsed in this race have backed Neubauer.
- Outside groups had favored Neubauer in their spending by a 14-to-1 ratio.

https://twitter.com/DKElections/status/1110567415484538880

Also I saw yesterday that the largest contributor to Hagedorn's campaign has been the WIGOP.

I think Neubauer wins by 5. Hagedorn is a garbage candidate and Democratic enthusiasm in Wisconsin seems to be higher than Republican enthusiasm.

[Gass3268]

Conservatives are making a late outside spending push for Hagedorn for the last week. Prior to this he had been outspent 14-1 by outside spending. I would not be shocked if internal polling looked really bad. Things have not been going his way:

- He’s endured months of negative headlines over his extreme anti-gay views.
- He lost an endorsement from the Wisconsin Realtors, a powerful group that typically supports     conservatives like him, because of his hatred toward LGBT people.
- He’s gotten outraised by Neubauer.
- Ninety-eight percent of Wisconsin judges who’ve endorsed in this race have backed Neubauer.
- Outside groups had favored Neubauer in their spending by a 14-to-1 ratio.

https://twitter.com/DKElections/status/1110567415484538880

Also I saw yesterday that the largest contributor to Hagedorn's campaign has been the WIGOP.

I think Neubauer wins by 5. Hagedorn is a garbage candidate and Democratic enthusiasm in Wisconsin seems to be higher than Republican enthusiasm.

This would keep the court at a 4-3 conservative majority, but would allow the Democrats to flip the court next year on April 7 on the same day as the Democratic Presidential Primary. They could then begin the process of undoing the damage of the Walker administration.

[MasterJedi]

Per usual the rurals have the "SOS" Save Our State, vote Talibandorn signs out in full force.

Coincidentally all the rural farms that have those signs don't like the free market milk prices and are asking the government for socialism to make more money.

[Gass3268]

Per usual the rurals have the "SOS" Save Our State, vote Talibandorn signs out in full force.

Coincidentally all the rural farms that have those signs don't like the free market milk prices and are asking the government for socialism to make more money.

I know this is essentially meaningless in terms of getting a prediction, but how do things look on the ground to you compared to last year's Dallet-Screnock race?

[CityofSinners]

Conservatives are making a late outside spending push for Hagedorn for the last week. Prior to this he had been outspent 14-1 by outside spending. I would not be shocked if internal polling looked really bad. Things have not been going his way:

If polling really looked that bad wouldn't conservative write the race off and not invest anything? Easy to argue that the late push after not investing before then means outside group saw some positive signs in polling they didn't see before.

[Gass3268]

Conservatives are making a late outside spending push for Hagedorn for the last week. Prior to this he had been outspent 14-1 by outside spending. I would not be shocked if internal polling looked really bad. Things have not been going his way:

If polling really looked that bad wouldn't conservative write the race off and not invest anything? Easy to argue that the late push after not investing before then means outside group saw some positive signs in polling they didn't see before.

Writing off the race would essentially mean writing off the Wisconsin Supreme Court, which would be too big of a loss.

[Gass3268]

Another court blocked many, but not all, of the lame duck laws.

https://twitter.com/SJohnsonWPR/status/1110629755039244288

This would mean that even if the Republicans get a stay on the prior case, these blocked laws would remained blocked until they get appealed.

[Scottholes 2.0]

Conservatives are making a late outside spending push for Hagedorn for the last week. Prior to this he had been outspent 14-1 by outside spending. I would not be shocked if internal polling looked really bad. Things have not been going his way:

If polling really looked that bad wouldn't conservative write the race off and not invest anything? Easy to argue that the late push after not investing before then means outside group saw some positive signs in polling they didn't see before.

Writing off the race would essentially mean writing off the Wisconsin Supreme Court, which would be too big of a loss.

Neubauer HAS to win. Not only is this election a crucial path to Democratic control over the SC, but any judge who doesn't see the dangers of conversion therapy should REALLY be defeated!

[MasterJedi]

Conservatives are making a late outside spending push for Hagedorn for the last week. Prior to this he had been outspent 14-1 by outside spending. I would not be shocked if internal polling looked really bad. Things have not been going his way:

If polling really looked that bad wouldn't conservative write the race off and not invest anything? Easy to argue that the late push after not investing before then means outside group saw some positive signs in polling they didn't see before.

Writing off the race would essentially mean writing off the Wisconsin Supreme Court, which would be too big of a loss.

Neubauer HAS to win. Not only is this election a crucial path to Democratic control over the SC, but any judge who doesn't see the dangers of conversion therapy should REALLY be defeated!

Doesn't seem to be looking as good as it did last year for the GOP. Last year had a credible opponent, this year you have someone who's bringing out the Christian Taliban in force and it's rubbing a lot of people the wrong way.

[Politician]

Conservatives are making a late outside spending push for Hagedorn for the last week. Prior to this he had been outspent 14-1 by outside spending. I would not be shocked if internal polling looked really bad. Things have not been going his way:

If polling really looked that bad wouldn't conservative write the race off and not invest anything? Easy to argue that the late push after not investing before then means outside group saw some positive signs in polling they didn't see before.

Writing off the race would essentially mean writing off the Wisconsin Supreme Court, which would be too big of a loss.

Neubauer HAS to win. Not only is this election a crucial path to Democratic control over the SC, but any judge who doesn't see the dangers of conversion therapy should REALLY be defeated!

Doesn't seem to be looking as good as it did last year for the GOP. Last year had a credible opponent, this year you have someone who's bringing out the Christian Taliban in force and it's rubbing a lot of people the wrong way.

But haven't Republicans been performing much better in specials post-2018 than they were pre-2018?