Trump approval ratings thread, 1.4

[GeorgiaModerate]

West Virginia: The Polling Company (R), Oct. 11-13, 600 LV

Approve 62 (strongly 55)
Disapprove 35 (strongly 30)


Missouri: The Polling Company (R), Oct. 11-13, 600 LV

Approve 56 (strongly 43)
Disapprove 43 (strongly 38)

[Person Man]

West Virginia: The Polling Company (R), Oct. 11-13, 600 LV

Approve 62 (strongly 55)
Disapprove 35 (strongly 30)


Missouri: The Polling Company (R), Oct. 11-13, 600 LV

Approve 56 (strongly 43)
Disapprove 43 (strongly 38)

That's definitely an R internal.

[GeorgiaModerate]

West Virginia: The Polling Company (R), Oct. 11-13, 600 LV

Approve 62 (strongly 55)
Disapprove 35 (strongly 30)


Missouri: The Polling Company (R), Oct. 11-13, 600 LV

Approve 56 (strongly 43)
Disapprove 43 (strongly 38)

That's definitely an R internal.

Yes, it's Kellyanne Conway's old firm.

[Person Man]

West Virginia: The Polling Company (R), Oct. 11-13, 600 LV

Approve 62 (strongly 55)
Disapprove 35 (strongly 30)


Missouri: The Polling Company (R), Oct. 11-13, 600 LV

Approve 56 (strongly 43)
Disapprove 43 (strongly 38)

That's definitely an R internal.

Yes, it's Kellyanne Conway's old firm.

Didn't they have Ed Gillespie winning?

[GeorgiaModerate]

Texas: CNN/SSRS, Oct. 9-13, 1004 adults including 862 RV and 716 LV

Adults: Approve 41, Disapprove 50

RV: 47/48

LV: 49/48

[GeorgiaModerate]

Ipsos/Reuters, Oct. 3-9, 3542 adults including 1925 likely voters


Adults:

Approve 39 (-1)
Disapprove 55 (+1)


LV:

Approve 42 (-1)
Disapprove 57 (+2)

GCB: D 50 (-1), R 37 (-1)

[pbrower2a]

Texas: CNN/SSRS, Oct. 9-13, 1004 adults including 862 RV and 716 LV

Adults: Approve 41, Disapprove 50

RV: 47/48

LV: 49/48

With such numbers, President Trump is not going to win reelection nationwide. He might win Texas, which would keep him from losing 400 electoral votes, which is about where Dole was in 1996.

[pbrower2a]

Alaska, PPP:

Trump approval 52, disapproval 44.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Indiana: Gravis, Oct. 12-16, 377 LV

Approve 50 (strongly 33)
Disapprove 45 (strongly 28)

Donnelly +4 in this poll.  GCB is also D+4 (44-40).

[IceSpear]

Trump is now at 44% approval on both RCP and 538's RV/LV average. Only 2 points lower than his winning vote share in 2016. Keep this in mind when analyzing whether his approval in a specific state "looks about right" or not.

[Matty]

Fox News poll (so take it with huge rain of salt)

47 (+3)
51 (-1)

[Comrade Funk]

Fox News poll (so take it with huge rain of salt)

47 (+3)
51 (-1)

I believe it. Never underestimate the stupidity of America.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Fox News poll (so take it with huge rain of salt)

47 (+3)
51 (-1)

Fox's polling is quite good.  This is consistent with the recent upward trend in Trump's approvals, although the GCB has not seen a similar bump for Republicans (if anything, it's been moving the other way).

[Progressive Pessimist]

Fox News poll (so take it with huge rain of salt)

47 (+3)
51 (-1)

I believe it. Never underestimate the stupidity of America.

[Matty]

Wait, wouldn’t America be the opposite of stupid if a majority (51%) disapprove of him??

[Comrade Funk]

Wait, wouldn’t America be the opposite of stupid if a majority (51%) disapprove of him??

51% disapproval is not something we should be bragging about. It's embarrassing it's that low.

[JA]

Wait, wouldn’t America be the opposite of stupid if a majority (51%) disapprove of him??

51% disapproval is not something we should be bragging about. It's embarrassing it's that low.

Until the economy starts to tank, don’t expect Trump’s numbers to stay low for long. We’re in a highly partisan climate and 40-45% of Americans align with the GOP; until a recession, his numbers will hover in that area consistently. No Russian investigation, Twitter rampage, or any other scandal will bring him below that for long.

[Brittain33]

Wait, wouldn’t America be the opposite of stupid if a majority (51%) disapprove of him??

51% disapproval is not something we should be bragging about. It's embarrassing it's that low.

Yeah. I fully expect him to win again. People are that retarded

Seeing that he has “won” the war over Elizabeth Warren’s heritage makes me despair that a Democrat will be able to break through against him in 2020. It feels like 2004 all over again.

[pbrower2a]

Wait, wouldn’t America be the opposite of stupid if a majority (51%) disapprove of him??

It is Trump who stands for stupid ideas and hurtful policies. The best excuse for Doltish Don is that he doesn't have a clue.

[pbrower2a]

Wait, wouldn’t America be the opposite of stupid if a majority (51%) disapprove of him??

51% disapproval is not something we should be bragging about. It's embarrassing it's that low.

Yeah. I fully expect him to win again. People are that retarded

Seeing that he has “won” the war over Elizabeth Warren’s heritage makes me despair that a Democrat will be able to break through against him in 2020. It feels like 2004 all over again.

It is a triviality. Trump is expert at pushing triviality, as shown in his reality TV show. This will become irrelevant very fast.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Tennessee: SSRS, Oct. 8-13, 800 RV (change from May)

Approve 55 (+2)
Disapprove 42 (-2)


Indiana: Vox Populi, Oct. 13-15, 783 RV

Approve 45 (strongly 29)
Disapprove 47 (strongly 38)

GCB: D 44, R 38 (53/47 with leaners)


Nevada: Vox Populi, Oct. 13-15, 614 RV

Approve 45 (strongly 32)
Disapprove 50 (strongly 40)

GCB: D 45, R 42 (52/48 with leaners)


West Virginia: Vox Populi, Oct. 13-15, 789 RV

Approve 59 (strongly 44)
Disapprove 38 (strongly 30)

GCB: R 44, D 38 (52/48 with leaners)

[Brittain33]

Indiana more Dem than Nevada, wow.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Kaiser Foundation, Sep. 19 - Oct. 2, 949 RV (change from July)

Approve 40 (nc)
Disapprove 54 (-1)

Strongly approve 23 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 43 (-1)

GCB: D 50 (+1), R 38 (+1)

[Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin]

Wait, wouldn’t America be the opposite of stupid if a majority (51%) disapprove of him??

51% disapproval is not something we should be bragging about. It's embarrassing it's that low.

Yeah. I fully expect him to win again. People are that retarded

Seeing that he has “won” the war over Elizabeth Warren’s heritage makes me despair that a Democrat will be able to break through against him in 2020. It feels like 2004 all over again.

I think a D candidate can absolutely beat Trump in 2020 but it won't be by playing Trump's game the way Warren (who also lacks charisma) does. I'm not advocating trying to outplay Trump at his own reality-tv schtick - that's a foolish move. I think a candidate with some charisma who can successfully contrast themselves with Trump - not as a better person, but as an actual leader - will crush him.


Treating him as just another GOP politican, but worse, legitimizes him. Playing his game of cheap theatrics at the same time is practically handing him wins.

Once the Dems can stop obsessing with how awful Trump is personally, stop taking their assigned roles in his reality tv show, and instead start to highlight his incompetence, he's done. A successful D candidate needs to sell themselves as a capable executive and redefine Trump as the childish clown he is. Once they pull that off, Trump's every action will just reinforce the contrast. But only so long as they don't play his (and the media's) game.

[IceSpear]

Indiana more Dem than Nevada, wow.

Sounds legit.