Trump approval ratings thread, 1.4

pbrower2a
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	Re: Trump approval ratings thread, 1.4 « Reply #900 on: October 21, 2018, 02:14:12 PM »
	« edited: October 22, 2018, 10:46:44 AM by pbrower2a »

Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on October 16, 2018, 11:37:30 AM

Texas: CNN/SSRS, Oct. 9-13, 1004 adults including 862 RV and 716 LV

Adults: Approve 41, Disapprove 50

RV: 47/48

LV: 49/48

With such numbers, President Trump is not going to win reelection nationwide. He might win Texas, which would keep him from losing 400 electoral votes, which is about where Dole was in 1996.

Quote from: pbrower2a on October 17, 2018, 01:52:44 PM

Alaska, PPP:

Trump approval 52, disapproval 44.

Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on October 18, 2018, 01:41:49 PM

New York: Quinnipiac, Oct. 10-16, 852 LV

Approve 37
Disapprove 60

By region:

NYC: 22/73
Suburbs: 46/54
Upstate: 49/48

Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on October 21, 2018, 11:58:30 AM

Florida: CNN/SSRS, Oct. 16-20, 1012 adults including 872 RV and 759 LV

Adults:

Approve 42
Disapprove 50

RV:

Approve 44
Disapprove 50

LV:

Approve 43
Disapprove 51

Colorado. UNC:

Approve 41%, disapprove 57%

https://www.colorado.edu/lab/aprl/sites/default/files/attached-files/2018_colorado_political_climate_report_election_topline_10-21-18.pdf

Much more valuable for statistical purposes than the 34-52 poll that this supplants.

Approval

55% or higher dark blue
50-54% medium blue
less than 50% but above disapproval pale blue
even white
46% to 50% but below disapproval pale red
42% to 45% medium red
under 42% deep red

States and districts hard to see:

CT 39
DC 17
DE 39
HI 33
NJ 37
RI 30
NE-01 45
NE-02 38
NE-03 55
NH 39
RI 30
VT 32

Nebraska districts are shown as 1, 2, and 3 from left to right on the map, even if they are geographically 3, 1, and 2 from west to east.

100-Disapproval

55% or higher dark blue (but must be a lead of at least 5%)
50% to 54% or higher but not tied medium blue, but must be a lead of at least 3%)
50% or higher but positive, or a margin less than 3%, pale blue

ties white

45% or higher and negative pale red
40% to 44% medium red
under 40% deep red

States and districts hard to see:

CT 41
DC 20
DE 43
HI 36
NH 49
NJ 37
RI 30
NE-01 55
NE-02 46
NE-03 66
RI 30
VT 36

Nebraska districts are shown as 1, 2, and 3 from left to right on the map, even if they are geographically 3, 1, and 2 from west to east.

*With the explicit question of whether the President should or should not be re-elected (AZ, FL, MI, MN, NH, OH, WI), or 100-DIS if such is all that is available:

Re-elect/do not re-elect if known; 100-DIS otherwise

100-DIS

55% or higher dark blue (but must be a lead of at least 5%)
50% to 54% or higher but not tied medium blue (but must be a lead of at least 3%)
iess than 50% positive or a margin less than 3% pale blue

ties white

45% or higher and negative pale red (or 55% do-not-reelect or higher)
40% to 44% medium red (or 50 to 54% do-not-reelect or higher)
under 40% deep red (or 50% or less do-not-reelect if do-not re-elect if do-not-reelect is higher than reelect)
Ties for elect and re-elect are also in white.

States and districts hard to see:

CT 41
DC 20
DE 43
FL 37-54*
HI 36
MI 28-62*
NH 41-50* (perhaps as much as 41-57, depending upon interpretation)
NJ 37
RI 30
NE-01 55
NE-02 46
NE-03 66
RI 30
VT 36

Nebraska districts are shown as 1, 2, and 3 from left to right on the map, even if they are geographically 3, 1, and 2 from west to east.

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