Republican South Carolina Primary results thread (polls close @7pm ET)
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Author Topic: Republican South Carolina Primary results thread (polls close @7pm ET)  (Read 61771 times)
The Free North
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« Reply #125 on: February 20, 2016, 06:29:20 PM »
Quote from: Mehmentum on February 20, 2016, 06:28:22 PM
Guys, remember what just happened with Nevada with the exit polls?  Lets take a deep breath before leaping to conclusions.

Entrance polls != exit polls.

The later are far more accurate
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Progressive
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« Reply #126 on: February 20, 2016, 06:29:22 PM »

Did you see the #s for Jeb? lol
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #127 on: February 20, 2016, 06:29:37 PM »
Quote from: Mehmentum on February 20, 2016, 06:28:22 PM
Guys, remember what just happened with Nevada with the exit polls?  Lets take a deep breath before leaping to conclusions.

Exit polls for primaries tend to be more accurate than entrance polls for caucuses.
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RI
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« Reply #128 on: February 20, 2016, 06:30:00 PM »
If Trump can repeat his >40% showing among early deciders from NH, he'll be fine. Big if, though.
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DavidB.
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« Reply #129 on: February 20, 2016, 06:30:11 PM »
Quote from: Pacific Councilor 1184AZ on February 20, 2016, 06:24:39 PM
How would you rate the candidates results under/over

Under/Over
Trump 30
Rubio 22
Cruz 20
Bush 15
Kasich 10
Carson 7
What does this mean?
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Mike Thick
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« Reply #130 on: February 20, 2016, 06:30:17 PM »
I'm praying for another upset here, but if there's one thing we've learned today it's that these are't very indicative of the final result.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #131 on: February 20, 2016, 06:30:27 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on February 20, 2016, 06:29:16 PM
Quote from: realisticidealist on February 20, 2016, 06:27:57 PM
Looks like Rubio's unlikely to win. Thank God.

A 3rd place finish will make him the story. And if he gets 2nd? Forget it, he's the inevitable nominee.
Even if he ends up leading Trump and Cruz in polling.  He still has to avoid a brokered convention.  Both candidates have die hard supporters who'll never abandon them.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #132 on: February 20, 2016, 06:31:00 PM »
I'm not gonna make any projections based on this, but the numbers look good if your name is Ted Cruz - heavily religious, 40% Very Conservative, 45% someone who shares your religious beliefs. Rubio could do decently with the 42% of Somewhat Conservative voters, and Rubio also tends to over-perform with religious voters.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #133 on: February 20, 2016, 06:31:08 PM »
Looks like Rubio's 3-5-3 strategy may yet be successful.
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Fargobison
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« Reply #134 on: February 20, 2016, 06:31:32 PM »
I don't get how people are seeing 15% for Jeb in these numbers....Looking like 10% or less.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #135 on: February 20, 2016, 06:31:43 PM »

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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #136 on: February 20, 2016, 06:31:58 PM »

With Trump's anti-Muslim "talk," this will obviously help him the most.
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jaichind
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« Reply #137 on: February 20, 2016, 06:32:13 PM »
Quote from: Mehmentum on February 20, 2016, 06:30:27 PM
Quote from: IceSpear on February 20, 2016, 06:29:16 PM
Quote from: realisticidealist on February 20, 2016, 06:27:57 PM
Looks like Rubio's unlikely to win. Thank God.

A 3rd place finish will make him the story. And if he gets 2nd? Forget it, he's the inevitable nominee.
Even if he ends up leading Trump and Cruz in polling.  He still has to avoid a brokered convention.  Both candidates have die hard supporters who'll never abandon them.

Well, if Rubio can get it to be a 3 man race by the time we get to the winner-take-all states he can, not necessary will though,  win a majority of delegates on his own.
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The Free North
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« Reply #138 on: February 20, 2016, 06:32:33 PM »

Any estimates as to what % of the electorate that is?
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Matty
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« Reply #139 on: February 20, 2016, 06:32:39 PM »
These numbers aren't pointing to a NH 2.0
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #140 on: February 20, 2016, 06:32:44 PM »
Quote from: DavidB. on February 20, 2016, 06:30:11 PM
Quote from: Pacific Councilor 1184AZ on February 20, 2016, 06:24:39 PM
How would you rate the candidates results under/over

Under/Over
Trump 30
Rubio 22
Cruz 20
Bush 15
Kasich 10
Carson 7
What does this mean?

Will the following candidates final percentage be over or under the # I placed beside their name, as an example will Trump be over or under 30%.
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RI
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« Reply #141 on: February 20, 2016, 06:32:57 PM »
So Trump's leading with economy and immigration (probably), Cruz with terrorism, and unknown with spending.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #142 on: February 20, 2016, 06:33:55 PM »
This night is a giant clusterf[inks]
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #143 on: February 20, 2016, 06:34:02 PM »
Like, all of it.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #144 on: February 20, 2016, 06:34:54 PM »
MSNBC says we're in for a long and fun night lol
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DavidB.
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« Reply #145 on: February 20, 2016, 06:35:01 PM »
Quote from: Pacific Councilor 1184AZ on February 20, 2016, 06:32:44 PM
Quote from: DavidB. on February 20, 2016, 06:30:11 PM
Quote from: Pacific Councilor 1184AZ on February 20, 2016, 06:24:39 PM
How would you rate the candidates results under/over

Under/Over
Trump 30
Rubio 22
Cruz 20
Bush 15
Kasich 10
Carson 7
What does this mean?

Will the following candidates final percentage be over or under the # I placed beside their name, as an example will Trump be over or under 30%.
I understand. Trump will be under 30, Rubio will be over 22, Cruz will be over 20, Bush will be under 20, Kasich will be under 10, Carson will be under 7.
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DavidB.
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« Reply #146 on: February 20, 2016, 06:35:52 PM »
Quote from: realisticidealist on February 20, 2016, 06:32:57 PM
So Trump's leading with economy and immigration (probably), Cruz with terrorism, and unknown with spending.
Why would Trump be leading with economy?
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #147 on: February 20, 2016, 06:35:58 PM »
Okay, 42% were angry in Iowa.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #148 on: February 20, 2016, 06:36:05 PM »
Do these exit polls account for the absentee ballots?
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #149 on: February 20, 2016, 06:36:43 PM »
Quote from: DavidB. on February 20, 2016, 06:35:52 PM
Quote from: realisticidealist on February 20, 2016, 06:32:57 PM
So Trump's leading with economy and immigration (probably), Cruz with terrorism, and unknown with spending.
Why would Trump be leading with economy?

Because it was revealed earlier by ABC?
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