Iowa Caucus Results Thread (pg 148 - full results)

[Gass3268]

Do we know if the early satellite locations will report their results when they are done or will they wait until the traditional caucuses start in order to prevent influencing the outcome?

[Gass3268]

If you people want, I could maybe post the caucus results live here as I listen to the headcounts while I observe my precinct in real time. Granted, my main commentary will be on the Lokcord, but I still might post on the forum if I feel like it.

Where's your precinct?

[Gass3268]

Finally, the 2020 election begins! Aren’t we going to be getting results from Tbilisi at noon? Or will those not be available until the caucus sites close within the state itself? Also, what county/CD will those be counted in?

Not sure when we will get those results reported, but I have to imagine something will leak out as they are a public event. Also, they will not count towards a County/CD, but will count towards the At-Large and PLEO delegates.

[Gass3268]

If you people want, I could maybe post the caucus results live here as I listen to the headcounts while I observe my precinct in real time. Granted, my main commentary will be on the Lokcord, but I still might post on the forum if I feel like it.

Where's your precinct?

W103, Waterloo, held at Irving Elementary School

Please do!

[Gass3268]

The Needle has returned to haunt us

[Gass3268]

How many Iowans are there in Tbilisi anyway?

I'm really not sure either. I almost wonder if it was just so they could say there was a caucus in the Caucuses. Maybe one of the universities have a study abroad program there?

The other two international caucus locations make a bit more sense, Glasgow and Paris, but I also would have expected a few other places like London, Rome, etc.

[Gass3268]

The Caucus in the Caucasus should be starting right now!

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/joshuakucera/status/1224372781820891137?s=20

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/joshuakucera/status/1224372781820891137?s=20

Awww, no overreacting to a small data point?

Nope, gonna have to wait a half hour for the first in-state satellite caucus to take place in Ottumwa at UFCW Local 230.

[Gass3268]

Important numbers to remember once we get tonight's enterance poll.

https://twitter.com/JZTessler/status/1224381944278016001?s=20

[Gass3268]

Satellite caucus #2 has started in Ottumwa, Iowa.

[Gass3268]

Why is there an in-state satellite caucus? Is it just for local people who won't be able to attend tonight? If so, why does this group seem to almost uniquely have this type of allowance?

Yes, its for people who will be unable to attend this evening. There was a process where you could request a satellite caucus. 5 more in-state satellite caucuses will start in a half hour, plus the one in Scotland.

[Gass3268]

So the Warren supporter didn't realign to Sanders, so is their vote "exhausted"?

I think there isn't viability and non-viability for the satellite and international caucuses, they just get added in to the various other caucus totals (as they don't elect state delegates themselves, and that's what site-by-site viability is for). But I'm not certain on that.

They apparently do have viability and 2nd round realignment, but the Warren supporter declined to re-align.

https://twitter.com/brianneDMR/status/1224397961678983168

And this result will be bundled together with other satellite caucus results in IA-02 and it considered as if it was another county in the district.

[Gass3268]

Why is there an in-state satellite caucus? Is it just for local people who won't be able to attend tonight? If so, why does this group seem to almost uniquely have this type of allowance?

What, people who work the night shift at meat packing plants should not be able to vote?

These satellite caucuses are an improvement over the previous system and make it a bit fairer (a bit less biased to wealthy old whites who are more likely to be able to caucus on a weekday evening), although IIRC they still give less delegates than the regular caucus.

People working night shift should be able to vote, and they shouldn't have to go through the archaic Iowa caucus system to do it. But everything I've read about this anti-democratic process has led me to believe that such exceptions weren't really an option. Just from a definitional sense, calling an in-state early caucus a satellite caucus is confusing.

Also, not really the point, but it's debatable that this is an improvement over the old system. If these people truly couldn't have participated otherwise (which seems to be the case here) then it does include more people in the process. However, the reason that the virtual caucus was canceled was because people feared it would have pulled attendees away from the actual events and, in the process, weakened their representation when it came to total delegates. Same applies here.

The main reason the virtual cacuses were scrapped was the Iowa Democratic Party could not prove that they were secure from hacking.

[Gass3268]

Third round of satellite caucusing is starting in Dubuque, Fort Madison, Keokuk, Marshalltown, Waterloo and Glasgow, Scotland.

[Gass3268]

So the Warren supporter didn't realign to Sanders, so is their vote "exhausted"?

I think there isn't viability and non-viability for the satellite and international caucuses, they just get added in to the various other caucus totals (as they don't elect state delegates themselves, and that's what site-by-site viability is for). But I'm not certain on that.

They apparently do have viability and 2nd round realignment, but the Warren supporter declined to re-align.

https://twitter.com/brianneDMR/status/1224397961678983168

And this result will be bundled together with other satellite caucus results in IA-02 and it considered as if it was another county in the district.

Not in the district, it will basicaly be like a 100th county statewide.

That's for the out of state and international satellite caucuses. The in-state caucuses will be assisgned to their respective congressional districts.

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/Don_WGEM/status/1224414060680269825

Klobuchar is surging! Watch out for flying combs!

[Gass3268]

why are delegates being announced at small caucus sites.
how do you win a state delegate?

There are satellite caucus sites around the world.

iowa only has 42 delegates to offer.

There are like 4 different layers of delegates.

[Gass3268]

Le Caucus!

https://twitter.com/IAStartingLine/status/1224420315951964162?s=20

[Gass3268]

can someone explain me how all this works

I would start here with this document: Iowa Caucus 101

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/jacobogles/status/1224426566840717313

Big wave of Biden voters incoming.

And folks who like Buttigieg because he reminds them of their grandson.

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/mathieugallard/status/1224430485797056513

mathieu gallard
@mathieugallard
Replying to
@mathieugallard
 
@ipsosus
 and 6 others
🇺🇸🗳️ A #Paris, on dirait bien que #Sanders l'emporte. #BreakingNews #IowaCaucuses #USA2020

Charli James
@charli
 · 1h
First round of the Paris satellite Iowa Caucus begins! With 13 participants, a candidate needs at least two supporters to be viable. @iowademocrats #IowaCaucuses #IowaCaucus @FRANCE24 @France24_en

0:10
2:32 PM · Feb 3, 2020·Twitter Web App

Sanders wins Paris satellite caucus.

You are mixing the one from Ottuma with the one in Paris. Here is the first round of the Paris caucus:

https://twitter.com/charli/status/1224432117607649282?s=20

[Gass3268]

can someone explain me how all this works

To keep it simple:

Step 1: Everybody votes for the candidate they want.

Step 2: Any people voting for candidates that have under 15% at their precinct has to re-vote.

That's basically it. People make this sound way more complicated than it is.

Technically they don't have to re-vote/realign, like that Warren supporter earlier who chose not to switch to Sanders, but it's probably best that you do if you want your vote to count.

[Gass3268]

Lake Mills, Grinnell, Centerville, and Brooklyn, NY starting now.

[Gass3268]

BREAKING NEWS: CNN reporting there is a technical issue with the app that helps tally votes.

Nobody could have predicted that (humble brag):

I'm terrified that the new reporting app that the Iowa Democrats are going to use on caucus night is going to crash.