Iowa Caucus Results Thread (pg 148 - full results)

[Ebsy]

https://twitter.com/Don_WGEM/status/1224406617187373059

Looking good for Bernie is Keokuk.

[Gass3268]

Why is there an in-state satellite caucus? Is it just for local people who won't be able to attend tonight? If so, why does this group seem to almost uniquely have this type of allowance?

What, people who work the night shift at meat packing plants should not be able to vote?

These satellite caucuses are an improvement over the previous system and make it a bit fairer (a bit less biased to wealthy old whites who are more likely to be able to caucus on a weekday evening), although IIRC they still give less delegates than the regular caucus.

People working night shift should be able to vote, and they shouldn't have to go through the archaic Iowa caucus system to do it. But everything I've read about this anti-democratic process has led me to believe that such exceptions weren't really an option. Just from a definitional sense, calling an in-state early caucus a satellite caucus is confusing.

Also, not really the point, but it's debatable that this is an improvement over the old system. If these people truly couldn't have participated otherwise (which seems to be the case here) then it does include more people in the process. However, the reason that the virtual caucus was canceled was because people feared it would have pulled attendees away from the actual events and, in the process, weakened their representation when it came to total delegates. Same applies here.

The main reason the virtual cacuses were scrapped was the Iowa Democratic Party could not prove that they were secure from hacking.

[Gass3268]

Third round of satellite caucusing is starting in Dubuque, Fort Madison, Keokuk, Marshalltown, Waterloo and Glasgow, Scotland.

[Sestak]

[transcription]

Don_WGEM
@Don_WGEM
Handful of people on hand to satellite caucus in Keokuk. Just talked to a resident from St. Paul and a resident from 3 hours away in northern Iowa. She works in Keokuk and says she wouldn’t have been able to caucus if it wasn’t for this.

Looking good for Bernie is Keokuk.

[Cinemark]

I know these satellite caucus probably wont be an accurate representation of the actual results, but I'm currently at the edge of my seat waiting for the results to come out. Ahh, how i've missed election coverage.

[Sorenroy]

Also, not really the point, but it's debatable that this is an improvement over the old system. If these people truly couldn't have participated otherwise (which seems to be the case here) then it does include more people in the process. However, the reason that the virtual caucus was canceled was because people feared it would have pulled attendees away from the actual events and, in the process, weakened their representation when it came to total delegates. Same applies here.

The main reason the virtual cacuses were scrapped was the Iowa Democratic Party could not prove that they were secure from hacking.

I did not know that. Even so, the fact that the virtual caucus was capped at 10% of the delegates no matter the usage/turnout was frequently brought up as an issue. There was definitely discussion around that flaw in the system, even if it wasn't the ultimate reason for the cancellation of the process.

[bilaps]

So the Warren supporter didn't realign to Sanders, so is their vote "exhausted"?

I think there isn't viability and non-viability for the satellite and international caucuses, they just get added in to the various other caucus totals (as they don't elect state delegates themselves, and that's what site-by-site viability is for). But I'm not certain on that.

They apparently do have viability and 2nd round realignment, but the Warren supporter declined to re-align.

https://twitter.com/brianneDMR/status/1224397961678983168

And this result will be bundled together with other satellite caucus results in IA-02 and it considered as if it was another county in the district.

Not in the district, it will basicaly be like a 100th county statewide.

[Gass3268]

So the Warren supporter didn't realign to Sanders, so is their vote "exhausted"?

I think there isn't viability and non-viability for the satellite and international caucuses, they just get added in to the various other caucus totals (as they don't elect state delegates themselves, and that's what site-by-site viability is for). But I'm not certain on that.

They apparently do have viability and 2nd round realignment, but the Warren supporter declined to re-align.

https://twitter.com/brianneDMR/status/1224397961678983168

And this result will be bundled together with other satellite caucus results in IA-02 and it considered as if it was another county in the district.

Not in the district, it will basicaly be like a 100th county statewide.

That's for the out of state and international satellite caucuses. The in-state caucuses will be assisgned to their respective congressional districts.

[Beet]

It's going to be a Sanders landslide, folks. 2004 all over again. After tonight, we will have a Democratic nominee.

[MT Treasurer]

It's going to be a Sanders landslide, folks. 2004 all over again. After tonight, we will have a Democratic nominee.

RIP Sanders

[Queen Isuelt]

It's going to be a Sanders landslide, folks. 2004 all over again. After tonight, we will have a Democratic nominee.

RIP Sanders

RIP America...Roll on USSR!!!

[Tender Branson]

I’m going to sleep now.

Back up at 3am or so when the first results come in ...

[ElectionsGuy]

It's going to be a Sanders landslide, folks. 2004 all over again. After tonight, we will have a Democratic nominee.

You should stop talking before you jinx it.

[Florida Man for Crime]

https://twitter.com/Don_WGEM/status/1224414060680269825

Because of the small sample size of 9, these three groups were for Sanders, Mayor Pete, and Amy Klobuchar. One man was for Warren, but out of this group, you needed two in support of candidate in order to create a delegate. He said Bernie was his second choice. #Decision2020

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/Don_WGEM/status/1224414060680269825

Klobuchar is surging! Watch out for flying combs!

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

It's going to be a Sanders landslide, folks. 2004 all over again. After tonight, we will have a Democratic nominee.

I hope this broken clock is actually on time this time.

[Ebsy]

https://twitter.com/elainejgodfrey/status/1224414966280867842

Bernie wins Keokuk satellite caucus with over 50%.

[RI]

First round vote so far:

18 Sanders (75%)
  2 Buttigieg (8%)
  2 Klobuchar (8%)
  2 Warren (8%)

Second round vote:

19 Sanders (83%)
  2 Buttigieg (9%)
  2 Klobuchar (9%)

[Florida Man for Crime]

Not a single person in these satellite caucuses has been for Biden so far... Could Biden really end up coming in 4th or even 5th?

[Sestak]

[transcription]

Elaine Godfrey
✔
@elainejgodfrey
Bernie Sanders has won this satellite caucus, with 5 people in his corner.

Klobuchar and Buttigieg each got 2. https://twitter.com/elainejgodfrey/status/1224414174958313479 …

Elaine Godfrey
✔
@elainejgodfrey
Replying to @elainejgodfrey
This means that the viability = 15% of 9, which is 1.35, which rounds to 2 people.

So two people are required to make a candidate viable.

24
1:30 PM - Feb 3, 2020

Bernie wins Keokuk satellite caucus with over 50%.

[Ljube]

Not a single person in these satellite caucuses has been for Biden so far... Could Biden really end up coming in 4th or even 5th?

Of course he could.

[Matty]

Will there be exit polls that ask about certain issues besides preference?

Like “who is most electable?”

Those were asked in 2016 and were useful

[Diabolical Materialism]

I don't want to read too much into these super tiny early caucuses, but it is a little bit strange that there hasn't been anyone showing up for Biden yet. It'd be kinda funny if he just absolutely blows out every other caucus and ends up winning >30% lol

[Xing]

Overreactions to initial results... this is the Atlas I know and love.

[Tintrlvr]

I don't want to read too much into these super tiny early caucuses, but it is a little bit strange that there hasn't been anyone showing up for Biden yet. It'd be kinda funny if he just absolutely blows out every other caucus and ends up winning >30% lol

I mean, it's been a total of <30 people caucusing so far. Remember how often we get weird results in those tiny towns in New Hampshire that vote early?