Iowa Caucus Results Thread (pg 148 - full results)

[YE]

Setting this up before I go to bed.

Edit: Added relevant information to the first post.

Procedure:

From NPR
From Iowa Dems

Streams:


Results:
DMR results page
NYT results page
AP results page
CNN results page
NYT results page

Misc:

RCP average
The Needle
MSNBC exit poll

[Mr. Morden]

Is this for both Democratic and Republican results?

[One Term Floridian]

Is this for both Democratic and Republican results?

Lol as if the Republican “results” would be anything worth discussing

[YE]

Is this for both Democratic and Republican results?

I literally forgot that was a thing. Are people actually going to be following that?

[Woody]

Is this for both Democratic and Republican results?

I literally forgot that was a thing. Are people actually going to be following that?

Yes.

[Mr. Morden]

Is this for both Democratic and Republican results?

I literally forgot that was a thing. Are people actually going to be following that?

Yes, I will definitely post Republican results if no one else does.  Happy to do it in either this thread or another thread.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Is this for both Democratic and Republican results?

#WELDMENTUM

[GeneralMacArthur]

Anyone have the exam schedules for Iowa State and U of Iowa?  I need to know which professors are rigging it against Sanders by scheduling exams Tuesday morning.  They are supposed to get their checks from the DNC but I lost the list.

[Hydera]

80% of the results will be released by 11:00 PM EST fyi.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Dear God,

Please let me fall asleep instead of restlessly tossing and turning all night long on the eve of the Iowa Caucus.

It. Is. 3:16.AM. Have. Mercy.

[wbrocks67]

80% of the results will be released by 11:00 PM EST fyi.

What time do first results start coming out?

[JerryArkansas]

80% of the results will be released by 11:00 PM EST fyi.

What time do first results start coming out?

It depends on how fast each site can do the caucus.  I think some sites can get it done in less than 40 minutes, so 9 at the latest.

[Adam Griffin]

80% of the results will be released by 11:00 PM EST fyi.

What time do first results start coming out?

So I went ahead and put together my series of maps from caucus night in 2016, showing which counties had fully reported at specific times. In reality, given there are 10-30 minute gaps between any 2 reports, this provides a relatively narrow range of time as to when we might expect each county to fully report. Different factors, complications and/or the lack thereof can (and will) likely dramatically change when each county reports relative to 2016, however - still worth using a broad-based resource.

The first counties to fully report began coming in around 60-75 minutes (~8:15 PM CT) after caucusing began.

Roughly 90% of votes/sites had reported within 3.5 hours (by 10:30 PM CT).

Fun fact: the last precinct statewide (in Des Moines) didn't close until 2:30 AM CT in 2016.

Full-size image

[Gass3268]

Do we know if the early satellite locations will report their results when they are done or will they wait until the traditional caucuses start in order to prevent influencing the outcome?

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Let’s shock the world tonight! #yanggang

[2016]

Do we know if the early satellite locations will report their results when they are done or will they wait until the traditional caucuses start in order to prevent influencing the outcome?

I seriously doubt any of the satellite caucus results gets reported until after 8pm ET tonight.

Meanwhile here is the ABC News Results Page for Iowa:
https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/2020-iowa-caucus-election-results/story?id=68333529

CNN will start Special Iowa Caucus Coverage at 4pm ET
FOX NEWS will start at 6pm ET as well as MSNBC

NBC News will have a Live Stream starting at 8pm ET for those who can't watch on TV.

[Grassroots]

Here we gooooooo

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Read this morning somewhere that the alleged DMR poll had Biden in 4th Place. Does anyone have the numbers for people placed 1-3 on the alleged leak?

[Zaybay]

Read this morning somewhere that the alleged DMR poll had Biden in 4th Place. Does anyone have the numbers for people placed 1-3 on the alleged leak?

Yep, the leak had these numbers:
Sanders 22% (+2)
Warren 18% (+1)
Buttigieg 15% (=)
Biden 13% (-2)

though remember:
1. We dont have absolute confirmation that the leak is real
2. The methodology problem

[Continential]

Read this morning somewhere that the alleged DMR poll had Biden in 4th Place. Does anyone have the numbers for people placed 1-3 on the alleged leak?

Yep, the leak had these numbers:
Sanders 22% (+2)
Warren 18% (+1)
Buttigieg 15% (=)
Biden 13% (-2)

though remember:
1. We dont have absolute confirmation that the leak is real
2. The methodology problem

I'd call it trash as there is no way that Warren's second.

[YE]

Is this for both Democratic and Republican results?

I literally forgot that was a thing. Are people actually going to be following that?

Yes, I will definitely post Republican results if no one else does.  Happy to do it in either this thread or another thread.

Both I suppose.

[KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸]

If you people want, I could maybe post the caucus results live here as I listen to the headcounts while I observe my precinct in real time. Granted, my main commentary will be on the Lokcord, but I still might post on the forum if I feel like it.

[Gass3268]

If you people want, I could maybe post the caucus results live here as I listen to the headcounts while I observe my precinct in real time. Granted, my main commentary will be on the Lokcord, but I still might post on the forum if I feel like it.

Where's your precinct?

[KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸]

If you people want, I could maybe post the caucus results live here as I listen to the headcounts while I observe my precinct in real time. Granted, my main commentary will be on the Lokcord, but I still might post on the forum if I feel like it.

Where's your precinct?

W103, Waterloo, held at Irving Elementary School

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

How absolutely glorious it would be for Biden to come in fourth.