Iowa Caucus Results Thread (pg 148 - full results)

[Sestak]

In order to preserve this thread as a record (since 2020 Iowa is probably something people will want to look back on) I'm going to transcribe the above tweets (in my previous reply) into text.

Brianne Pfannenstiel
✔
@brianneDMR
We’re here at the Ottumwa satellite precinct, which is the first Iowa precinct to caucus today. They’ll kick off at noon. So far there is a group of Ethiopian immigrants here who work at the local pork processing plant in the evenings. They like Bernie Sanders.

Brianne Pfannenstiel
✔
@brianneDMR
Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders both have precinct captains here, and it doesn’t appear that caucusgoers plan to support anyone other than those two candidates at the moment.

I recommend that others who are posting tweets do this as well.

[Ebsy]

14 beautiful POC immigrant union workers choose Bernard Sanders as their favored nominee to be President of the United States. Beautiful!!!

[Sestak]

[transcription]

Brianne Pfannenstiel
✔
@brianneDMR
14 of 15 caucusgoers are standing with Bernie Sanders on the first alignment. One is standing with Elizabeth Warren.

[RI]

So the Warren supporter didn't realign to Sanders, so is their vote "exhausted"?

[Sorenroy]

Why is there an in-state satellite caucus? Is it just for local people who won't be able to attend tonight? If so, why does this group seem to almost uniquely have this type of allowance?

[Hydera]

14 beautiful POC immigrant union workers choose Bernard Sanders as their favored nominee to be President of the United States. Beautiful!!!

Those women on bernie's side are self hating sexists for not voting for a woman candidate unless... its Buttigieg or creepy old joe because bernie is sexist for running!! /s

[Gass3268]

Why is there an in-state satellite caucus? Is it just for local people who won't be able to attend tonight? If so, why does this group seem to almost uniquely have this type of allowance?

Yes, its for people who will be unable to attend this evening. There was a process where you could request a satellite caucus. 5 more in-state satellite caucuses will start in a half hour, plus the one in Scotland.

[Cinemark]

*Breaking News*

Bernie currently leading first round with 93%, Warren a distant second with 7%.

[Big Boy Beto]

Bit weird having an Iowa caucus in my city.
At least now I can justify my presence here.

[Tintrlvr]

So the Warren supporter didn't realign to Sanders, so is their vote "exhausted"?

I think there isn't viability and non-viability for the satellite and international caucuses, they just get added in to the various other caucus totals (as they don't elect state delegates themselves, and that's what site-by-site viability is for). But I'm not certain on that.

[Florida Man for Crime]

Why is there an in-state satellite caucus? Is it just for local people who won't be able to attend tonight? If so, why does this group seem to almost uniquely have this type of allowance?

What, people who work the night shift at meat packing plants should not be able to vote?

These satellite caucuses are an improvement over the previous system and make it a bit fairer (a bit less biased to wealthy old whites who are more likely to be able to caucus on a weekday evening), although IIRC they still give less delegates than the regular caucus.

[DrScholl]

Judging from the sound of that caucus Sanders has probably already won big and probably will be over 50% at the end of the night. The nomination fight is probably over tonight and the rest of the process is just a formality. Congratulations, Sanders supporters.

[Lisa's voting Biden]

Business Insider has their results page up:
https://www.businessinsider.com/iowa-caucus-2020-live-results-vote-counts-updates-2020-2

[Florida Man for Crime]

So the Warren supporter didn't realign to Sanders, so is their vote "exhausted"?

I think there isn't viability and non-viability for the satellite and international caucuses, they just get added in to the various other caucus totals (as they don't elect state delegates themselves, and that's what site-by-site viability is for). But I'm not certain on that.

They apparently do have viability and 2nd round realignment, but the Warren supporter declined to re-align.

https://twitter.com/brianneDMR/status/1224397961678983168

[RI]

Sanders is officially winning the black vote so far.

[Florida Man for Crime]

*Breaking News*

Bernie currently leading first round with 93%, Warren a distant second with 7%.

And with the Warren supporter declining to re-align, that comes out to a 100% to 0% lead for Bernie in the delegates.

Truly a Stalinist election system, Sanders is un-opposed. The people have chosen to unanimously support him.

So now is the time for the party establishment to unify around the inevitable universally supported nominee, and turn all our focus to the General Election and defeating Trump.

[Xing]

*Breaking News*

Bernie currently leading first round with 93%, Warren a distant second with 7%.

Stop the count!

[Joe Republic]

As goes Ottumwa, so goes the nation.

[jaichind]

Judging from the sound of that caucus Sanders has probably already won big and probably will be over 50% at the end of the night. The nomination fight is probably over tonight and the rest of the process is just a formality. Congratulations, Sanders supporters.

But that is a very tiny sample and it is illogical to extrapolate that to the entire state.

[Gass3268]

So the Warren supporter didn't realign to Sanders, so is their vote "exhausted"?

I think there isn't viability and non-viability for the satellite and international caucuses, they just get added in to the various other caucus totals (as they don't elect state delegates themselves, and that's what site-by-site viability is for). But I'm not certain on that.

They apparently do have viability and 2nd round realignment, but the Warren supporter declined to re-align.

https://twitter.com/brianneDMR/status/1224397961678983168

And this result will be bundled together with other satellite caucus results in IA-02 and it considered as if it was another county in the district.

[MT Treasurer]

Judging from the sound of that caucus Sanders has probably already won big and probably will be over 50% at the end of the night. The nomination fight is probably over tonight and the rest of the process is just a formality. Congratulations, Sanders supporters.

But that is a very tiny sample and it is illogical to extrapolate that to the entire state.

Sarcasm detector...

[jaichind]

Judging from the sound of that caucus Sanders has probably already won big and probably will be over 50% at the end of the night. The nomination fight is probably over tonight and the rest of the process is just a formality. Congratulations, Sanders supporters.

But that is a very tiny sample and it is illogical to extrapolate that to the entire state.

Sarcasm detector...

Ah ... I guess I am just to dull.

[Sorenroy]

Why is there an in-state satellite caucus? Is it just for local people who won't be able to attend tonight? If so, why does this group seem to almost uniquely have this type of allowance?

What, people who work the night shift at meat packing plants should not be able to vote?

These satellite caucuses are an improvement over the previous system and make it a bit fairer (a bit less biased to wealthy old whites who are more likely to be able to caucus on a weekday evening), although IIRC they still give less delegates than the regular caucus.

People working night shift should be able to vote, and they shouldn't have to go through the archaic Iowa caucus system to do it. But everything I've read about this anti-democratic process has led me to believe that such exceptions weren't really an option. Just from a definitional sense, calling an in-state early caucus a satellite caucus is confusing.

Also, not really the point, but it's debatable that this is an improvement over the old system. If these people truly couldn't have participated otherwise (which seems to be the case here) then it does include more people in the process. However, the reason that the virtual caucus was canceled was because people feared it would have pulled attendees away from the actual events and, in the process, weakened their representation when it came to total delegates. Same applies here.

[Florida Man for Crime]

But that is a very tiny sample and it is illogical to extrapolate that to the entire state.

Nah, it can safely be extrapolated not only to the state, and not only to the entire country, but to the entire multiverse.

[DrScholl]

A primary and vote by mail would solve the problem of people who work not having time to caucus. We really need all primaries and vote by mail everywhere (of course vote by mail would have to be approved by states, which is not likely in some GOP states).