Iowa Caucus Results Thread (pg 148 - full results)

[Lisa's voting Biden]

Not sure if this has been posted yet but NYT has their results page up:
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/02/03/us/elections/results-iowa-caucus-democrats.html

[Gass3268]

Is it just me or was it a terrible idea for Democrats to decide to have a caucus in St. Petersburg after all the Russian interference stuff? Terrible imagery.

It's the 5th largest city in Florida...

[Xing]

The only thing I'm really getting out of these early satellite caucuses is entertainment value. Of course it means very little in terms of the actual results, but let's not forget what site we're on, now.

[atheist4thecause]

Is it just me or was it a terrible idea for Democrats to decide to have a caucus in St. Petersburg after all the Russian interference stuff? Terrible imagery.

It's the 5th largest city in Florida...

...and the 2nd largest city in Russia.

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Port Charlotte Satellite Caucus First Alignment results

Klobuchar 48
Buttigieg 38
Biden 33
Warren 12
Steyer 2
Sanders 1
Yang 1

Was this caucus literally held in a nursing home or something?

It sure looked like it.

I think it was a Unitarian Universalist church.

Seems like Bernie country, then.

[izixs]

Is it just me or was it a terrible idea for Democrats to decide to have a caucus in St. Petersburg after all the Russian interference stuff? Terrible imagery.

It's the 5th largest city in Florida...

...and the 2nd largest city in Russia.

Are you saying that they are the same city?!?!?

[NYSforKennedy2024]

I'm just gonna say, Klobuchar made a good choice going with green(inspired by Paul Wellstone). Its pretty easy to spot her shirts and stickers in crowds.

This is an underrated take.

[MT Treasurer]

The only thing I'm really getting out of these early satellite caucuses is entertainment value. Of course it means very little in terms of the actual results, but let's not forget what site we're on, now.

So you’re saying I shouldn’t have changed my rating from Safe Bernie to Likely Biden after the St. Petersburg caucus results were declared?

[W]

While satellite caucuses are overall unimportant I think Klobuchar's performance so far certainly bodes well for her in the actual caucuses.

[We Live in Black and White]

While satellite caucuses are overall unimportant I think Klobuchar's performance so far certainly bodes well for her in the actual caucuses.

I hesitate to confidently extrapolate this from the results so far, but it seems like Klobuchar is directly eating up enormous swathes of Biden voters.

[atheist4thecause]

Is it just me or was it a terrible idea for Democrats to decide to have a caucus in St. Petersburg after all the Russian interference stuff? Terrible imagery.

It's the 5th largest city in Florida...

...and the 2nd largest city in Russia.

Are you saying that they are the same city?!?!?

Obviously not, I'm saying that it looks bad. When people hear St. Petersburg they think Russia more than Florida.

[DrScholl]

Port Charlotte Satellite Caucus First Alignment results

Klobuchar 48
Buttigieg 38
Biden 33
Warren 12
Steyer 2
Sanders 1
Yang 1

Was this caucus literally held in a nursing home or something?

It sure looked like it.

I think it was a Unitarian Universalist church.

Seems like Bernie country, then.

That is a liberal church, but then again the definition of liberal can vary from place to place.

[Senator Spark]

While satellite caucuses are overall unimportant I think Klobuchar's performance so far certainly bodes well for her in the actual caucuses.

#UnderdogAmy

[Gracile]

Yes, we know these satellite caucuses don't really say much about who will actually win the caucus. That doesn't mean that they have no value from an election observing perspective on a site devoted to election results. At the very least, it's important to post the results as a way to keep a record of how certain satellite constituencies vote.

[We Live in Black and White]

Alright, I don't necessarily have confidence in this, but after correctly predicting Drew McIntyre's entire performance at Royal Rumble 2020, I'm ready to hedge my bets a bit and adjust my prediction: Bernie wins, Amy comes in second, Biden comes in a pathetic third or fourth.

Everybody please feel free to hold me to this bold prediction I've made purely on a burst of confidence stemming from my recent good luck at sports predictions.

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1224453693136756736

Similar to the Florida snowbirds, the Arizona ones seem to be preferring Amy to a greater degree than expected.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

NYT results pages are up

results: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/02/03/us/elections/results-iowa-caucus-democrats.html

THE NEEDLE: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/02/03/us/elections/results-iowa-caucus-live-forecast.html?action=click&module=ELEX_results&pgtype=Interactive&region=Component

[Xing]

The only thing I'm really getting out of these early satellite caucuses is entertainment value. Of course it means very little in terms of the actual results, but let's not forget what site we're on, now.

So you’re saying I shouldn’t have changed my rating from Safe Bernie to Likely Biden after the St. Petersburg caucus results were declared?

Why Likely Biden instead of Likely Klobuchar?

[We Live in Black and White]

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1224453693136756736

Similar to the Florida snowbirds, the Arizona ones seem to be preferring Amy to a greater degree than expected.

If this is at all a reflection of old people in Iowa, Biden is absolutely hosed.

[Sestak]

[transcription]

The AZ - abc15 - Data Guru
@Garrett_Archer
As of right now, the candidate section with the most committed delegates is @amyklobuchar. #IowaCaucusAZ


11
4:04 PM - Feb 3, 2020

Similar to the Florida snowbirds, the Arizona ones seem to be preferring Amy to a greater degree than expected.

[KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸]

If you’re an Iowan living abroad and participate in a satellite caucus, is it on you to abstain from the Democrats Abroad primary? Or how does that work?

Yes, you are abstaining from the Democrats Abroad primary. You are still an Iowan who is registered with the Iowa Democratic Party, you just so happen to be somewhere outside of Iowa tonight. IIRC, the Democrats Abroad thing is for those who hold American citizenship and live abroad but aren't registered as a voter with a state or territory. It's the same reason why an Iowa Democrat who is currently in Florida votes in the satellite caucus but not the Florida primaries.

(at least if I'm making sense here)

[bilaps]

Maybe maybe maybe Selzer really had Biden at 13

[Hydera]

I could smell an astroturfing when i see one and im pretty sure its being done on twitter with the #Caucusforyang. Pretty sad since I supported him over the summer before switching to Bernie and you can smell how propped up and fake it is.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Maybe maybe maybe Selzer really had Biden at 13

Biden was only at 15 in the previous Selzer poll, so probably.

[Queen Isuelt]

Two points with regards to the retirement home number in Florida.

I had Klobuchar only losing by 50k to Trump which is nothing but Sanders losing by 300k.
The old vote is going to critical for any democratic nominee in Florida/Arizona if a dem is to win here. Sanders offers different strengths like in ohio, kentucky, west virginia but I don't think he can win in florida or arizona.

Klobuchar does expand the map but she has zero support with young people or people in the liberal states. However she can carry areas of the country that will vote republican if you don't give us a choice.

Dems think the fracking policy is bad but its actually sound policy for votes in the midwest.