2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 624773 times)
politics_king
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« Reply #8625 on: November 04, 2020, 11:33:16 PM »



LOL! I live in Los Angeles and I don't know who these fringe people are, but believe me. Ain't nobody got time to go trolling LAPD, they'll whoop your a** without hesitation. Just being stupid, not sorry if one of them gets a backhand from one of the cops.
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Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden
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« Reply #8626 on: November 04, 2020, 11:33:51 PM »

I mean Texas will be a Trump 5-6 point victory. To pull of Texas, you need gain back votes in South Texas that Biden didnt have an advantage over and run up the score in cities and suburbs.

And current indicators suggest that Hispanics are moving away from Democrats this time. If they're having a problem retaining South Texas Hispanics, they're not winning the state, no matter how close it is.



ACAB.
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GALeftist
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« Reply #8627 on: November 04, 2020, 11:34:13 PM »



Based and ACAB pilled
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politics_king
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« Reply #8628 on: November 04, 2020, 11:36:43 PM »

Erie, PA count will be finished tomorrow. Ugh. We have one more day of this... I'm over it. lol
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Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
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« Reply #8629 on: November 04, 2020, 11:36:56 PM »

From the perspective of a supporter of Trump, the past 24 hours could not have been more horrifying.

Most of them were expecting a quick victory, allowing them to get ample and sound sleep. Many of them did.

Then they woke to the news that Wisconsin flipped due to black people in Milwaukee voting fraud, and then the news that 1.5 million almost entirely Democratic mail-in ballots in Pennsylvania seemingly came from thin air. Then came the flip in Michigan, caused by black people in Detroit more fraud. News from Georgia and Arizona depressed their spirits further.

If Biden won a 413 landslide on election night, it would have been the equivalent of a shot to the head. But this drawn-out turn of events was death by a thousand cuts. It was definitely much worse than how Democrats felt in 2016.

Are you sure they even know he's losing? Given their propensity for misinformation, I figure they think he won and it's over — maybe even off celebrating somewhere

Nope. Go to Twitter. Don himself has been circulating rumours of votes being made up overnight, and vowing to defend himself. In Detroit, they were gathered outside the convention center chanting "stop the count". In Phoenix, they're chanting "count the votes".

Chanting two totally different things makes no sense? WTF.

It makes perfect sense once you internalize the reality that Republicans are all wanna-be jackbooted authoritarian thugs (or the beneficiaries of such a regime) and that they regard laws as tools for use against their opponents.
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Rep Jessica
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« Reply #8630 on: November 04, 2020, 11:37:10 PM »



This country is full of some very angry people. Things could get hot. Sad
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TopShelfGoal
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« Reply #8631 on: November 04, 2020, 11:37:20 PM »

Philly being the one to deliver Trump the knockout punch after he bashed that city so much would be poetic justice.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #8632 on: November 04, 2020, 11:37:31 PM »

Seems like he’s seen enough...

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EliteLX
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« Reply #8633 on: November 04, 2020, 11:37:41 PM »

Georgia margin now down to 12k.

It's over, if you're reading with 0.0001% glimpse of concern or hope. It's over. Donald Trump lost lol
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Rand
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« Reply #8634 on: November 04, 2020, 11:37:45 PM »

What a beautiful turn of events.
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« Reply #8635 on: November 04, 2020, 11:38:36 PM »

Georgia margin now down to 12k.

It's over, if you're reading with 0.0001% glimpse of concern or hope. It's over. Donald Trump lost lol
WHERE
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politics_king
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« Reply #8636 on: November 04, 2020, 11:39:19 PM »

Georgia margin now down to 12k.

It's over, if you're reading with 0.0001% glimpse of concern or hope. It's over. Donald Trump lost lol

Now it's time to go and win those two Runoff elections!
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GP270watch
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« Reply #8637 on: November 04, 2020, 11:40:00 PM »

Georgia margin now down to 12k.

It's over, if you're reading with 0.0001% glimpse of concern or hope. It's over. Donald Trump lost lol
WHERE

Yeah I need a link bro.
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Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook
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« Reply #8638 on: November 04, 2020, 11:40:35 PM »

Based on the 253-214 scoreboard, here's Biden's 9 possible paths to push him over the line:

1. PN
2. GA and NC
3. GA and AZ
4. NC and AZ
5. GA and NV
6. NC and NV
7. AZ and NV
8. GA and AK
9. NC and AK

So which one is the most likely to happen right now?
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Meclazine for Israel
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« Reply #8639 on: November 04, 2020, 11:41:02 PM »

WI - Biden WINS by > 20,000 (98% counted)

MI - Biden WINS by > 100,000 (98% counted)

AZ - Biden up by 79,173 (86% counted)

Of the remaining ~464,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 192,300 of them - (41.5%)

NV - Biden up by 7,647 (86% counted)

Of the remaining ~194,200 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 93,300 of them - (48.0%)

GA - Biden down by 31,748 (95% counted)

Of the remaining ~257,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 144,370 of them - (56.2%)

PA - Biden down by 164,414 (89% counted)

Of the remaining ~784,672 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 474,600 of them - (60.5%)

AK - Biden down by 51,400 (56% counted)

Of the remaining ~135,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 93,200 of them - (69.0%)

This plot shows how Biden wins each state by just plotting the drop in % needed to win. Obviously, when he falls below 50%, he is in the lead on the way to 100% vote counted.



Based on the current trajectory, Biden will hit the front in GA before the end of vote counting.

But PA is still up in the air.
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Ye We Can
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« Reply #8640 on: November 04, 2020, 11:41:05 PM »



LOL! I live in Los Angeles and I don't know who these fringe people are, but believe me. Ain't nobody got time to go trolling LAPD, they'll whoop your a** without hesitation. Just being stupid, not sorry if one of them gets a backhand from one of the cops.

Lol, cant wait for the tear gas
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BigSerg
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« Reply #8641 on: November 04, 2020, 11:41:20 PM »

Based on the 253-214 scoreboard, here's Biden's 9 possible paths to push him over the line:

1. PN
2. GA and NC
3. GA and AZ
4. NC and AZ
5. GA and NV
6. NC and NV
7. AZ and NV
8. GA and AK
9. NC and AK

So which one is the most likely to happen right now?
5
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #8642 on: November 04, 2020, 11:41:57 PM »



That’s about 80%! He’s well on-pace...
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Rep Jessica
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« Reply #8643 on: November 04, 2020, 11:42:22 PM »

Georgia margin now down to 12k.

It's over, if you're reading with 0.0001% glimpse of concern or hope. It's over. Donald Trump lost lol
Yep, the horse is now running out of the barn and you won't be getting it back in. Trumps screwed.
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politics_king
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« Reply #8644 on: November 04, 2020, 11:43:11 PM »



LOL! I live in Los Angeles and I don't know who these fringe people are, but believe me. Ain't nobody got time to go trolling LAPD, they'll whoop your a** without hesitation. Just being stupid, not sorry if one of them gets a backhand from one of the cops.

Lol, cant wait for the tear gas

They'll probably just walk them down and out. Those people just look like their being annoying. Anyone who's smart isn't going start some s*** with them, especially when it's been super mellow in the entire county. But SoCal is usually pretty mellow.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #8645 on: November 04, 2020, 11:43:22 PM »

Based on the 253-214 scoreboard, here's Biden's 9 possible paths to push him over the line:

1. PN
2. GA and NC
3. GA and AZ
4. NC and AZ
5. GA and NV
6. NC and NV
7. AZ and NV
8. GA and AK
9. NC and AK

So which one is the most likely to happen right now?

Number 1 but 2, 3, 5, 7 all possible.
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Buffalo Mayor Young Kim
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« Reply #8646 on: November 04, 2020, 11:43:41 PM »

Well this news of 12 kids cosplaying anarchists in Los Angeles has made me very upset about Hunter Biden’s laptop.
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Illiniwek
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« Reply #8647 on: November 04, 2020, 11:44:00 PM »

Georgia Georgia Georgia Georgia!!!
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #8648 on: November 04, 2020, 11:44:40 PM »


howardfineman
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My best vote-counter source in #PA now predicting final #Biden victory margin of 200K - 300K. That’s a tick up from a few hours ago.
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n1240
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« Reply #8649 on: November 04, 2020, 11:44:55 PM »



That’s about 80%! He’s well on-pace...

This seems wrong comparing the SOS statewide result to the Fulton County result.

https://results.enr.clarityelections.com/GA/105369/web.264614/#/summary
https://results.enr.clarityelections.com/GA/Fulton/105430/web.264614/#/summary?v=269253%2F

Margin only increased in Fulton by 3k votes but still a lot outstanding.
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