Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Who even gives a crap about Florida at this point? Scott is winning. Arizona is where the action is at rn.

[Ebsy]

So even before the undervote, it's possible that there is still enough votes left in the state to get Nelson the 15k? The hand count should be very interesting...

Since Broward is essentially done, it's highly unlikely Scott has less than a 10K lead going into the recount. The current margin shouldn't change a whole lot based on what's out. There simply aren't that many provisionals (10K at most) and military/overseas ballots tend to be a wash. There might be a few ballots in Palm Beach left, but not very many.

Broward's votes are still MIA.

[lfromnj]

So even before the undervote, it's possible that there is still enough votes left in the state to get Nelson the 15k? The hand count should be very interesting...

Since Broward is essentially done, it's highly unlikely Scott has less than a 10K lead going into the recount. The current margin shouldn't change a whole lot based on what's out. There simply aren't that many provisionals (10K at most) and military/overseas ballots tend to be a wash. There might be a few ballots in Palm Beach left, but not very many.

Broward's votes are still MIA.

Dems trying to get false hope to win a florida recount again
lol

[fldemfunds]

https://mobile.twitter.com/harrisalexc/status/1060713390660837378

Fl lead down another 2k. So 13k with provisionals and military still.

[Ebsy]

I'm not sure what you are referring to. Broward has still not posted updated totals to its site or to the SOS. Thus, there is a lot of uncertainty as to what impact Broward will have.

[RFK Jr.’s Brain Worm]

Just relax. If Mrs Sinema wins this, Nelson and Espy, too, it will be anybodies guess what's happening next. Maybe Donald has no love for McConnell anymore, and then tries to fire Mike Pence?

Espy isn't winning, lol.

Thank you. MS-special is fools gold for the Dems.

[lfromnj]

https://mobile.twitter.com/harrisalexc/status/1060713390660837378

Fl lead down another 2k. So 13k with provisionals and military still.

yeah its over
Say hello to Senator Rick Scott.

[fldemfunds]

https://mobile.twitter.com/harrisalexc/status/1060713390660837378

Fl lead down another 2k. So 13k with provisionals and military still.

yeah its over
Say hello to Senator Rick Scott.

That is premature. Hand counts are wild. There's that 23k pile votes in an 85% dem area that is basically a mystery.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Who even gives a crap about Florida at this point? Scott is winning. Arizona is where the action is at rn.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

That is premature. Hand counts are wild. There's that 23k pile votes in an 85% dem area that is basically a mystery.

23K votes splitting 85%-15% is a margin of about 16,100.

So that is in the general ballpark for a narrow Nelson win, potentially.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

https://mobile.twitter.com/harrisalexc/status/1060713390660837378

Fl lead down another 2k. So 13k with provisionals and military still.

yeah its over
Say hello to Senator Rick Scott.

Hello Senator Scott.

[Don Vito Corleone]

I've not been following Florida at all (been trying to stay off of politics for a while). Can someone ELI5 what's going on?

[Ebsy]

Current SOS turnout:


Broward County Turnout report:


As you can see, there are at least several thousand more ballots outstanding not included in the SOS tally of Broward. Throughout the count, even more ballots have been added to the turnout report, so there probably quite a bit more than 4k ballots not included.

[YE]

Can someone explain why it's over if the 23K vote tabulation in a 85-15 Dem area is real and Nelson is down 13K with provisionals still outstanding? Is that too big of an if?

[ajc0918]

https://twitter.com/electionsmith/status/1060737851426566145?s=21

[RI]

Christ, it's useless correcting you people. No one even reads the thread before they post.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Scott truly deserves to be senator

[Ebsy]

Christ, it's useless correcting you people. No one even reads the thread before they post.

I have read the thread, and you, as usual, aren't as well informed as you think.

[RI]

Christ, it's useless correcting you people. No one even reads the thread before they post.

I have read the thread, and you, as usual, aren't as well informed as you think.

The SOS site is not updated because the Broward County SOE has not transmitted the data yet! Read the f**king local reporters!

[Ebsy]

Christ, it's useless correcting you people. No one even reads the thread before they post.

I have read the thread, and you, as usual, aren't as well informed as you think.

The SOS site is not updated because the Broward County SOE has not transmitted the data yet! Read the f**king local reporters!

Then stop saying that Broward is finished, as it clearly isn't.

[RI]

Can someone explain why it's over if the 23K vote tabulation in a 85-15 Dem area is real and Nelson is down 13K with provisionals still outstanding? Is that too big of an if?

They are not in 85-15 territory. Most are not even in 67-33 territory.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

I've not been following Florida at all (been trying to stay off of politics for a while). Can someone ELI5 what's going on?

The votes are being counted, and Republicans are complaining because they oppose democracy.

It may sound harsh, but it's true.

[RI]

Christ, it's useless correcting you people. No one even reads the thread before they post.

I have read the thread, and you, as usual, aren't as well informed as you think.

The SOS site is not updated because the Broward County SOE has not transmitted the data yet! Read the f**king local reporters!

Then stop saying that Broward is finished, as it clearly isn't.

Except for provisionals and overseas, they are. The SOS page is not up to date.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Can someone explain why it's over if the 23K vote tabulation in a 85-15 Dem area is real and Nelson is down 13K with provisionals still outstanding? Is that too big of an if?

It isn't over, there is an automatic hand recount that is going to happen in which they will figure out what happened with the 85-15 Dem area and the undervotes there.

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/electionsmith/status/1060737851426566145?s=21

I imagine this would drop Scott's lead below 10,000.