2020 Poll Hype Thread
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
May 20, 2024, 04:21:21 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  2020 Poll Hype Thread		 « previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 3 4 5 6 7 [8] 9 10 11 12 13 ... 99
Author Topic: 2020 Poll Hype Thread  (Read 191647 times)
redjohn
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,697


Political Matrix
E: -3.35, S: -4.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #175 on: January 11, 2020, 01:47:25 PM »
I'd love to see data on how the results of IA/NH affect the results in NV. If Sanders wins IA & NH, does Biden get a bounce from voters who are nervous about Sanders in NV? Does Sanders get more of a boost from appearing as the front-runner?
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #176 on: January 11, 2020, 01:49:28 PM »
Quote from: redjohn on January 11, 2020, 01:47:25 PM
I'd love to see data on how the results of IA/NH affect the results in NV. If Sanders wins IA & NH, does Biden get a bounce from voters who are nervous about Sanders in NV? Does Sanders get more of a boost from appearing as the front-runner?

Wins breed wins. If Sanders wins IA+NH, he probably wins NV.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,600
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #177 on: January 11, 2020, 01:50:20 PM »
It'd be nice to get another poll of NV or SC just to check if the Steyer surge Fox News is showing is for real.
Logged
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,066
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #178 on: January 13, 2020, 02:05:55 AM »

Logged
bilaps
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,789
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #179 on: January 13, 2020, 08:39:30 AM »
Their last poll was in September. Biden was at 23, Warren 19, Bernie 14
Logged
Cinemark
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 870


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #180 on: January 13, 2020, 09:27:14 AM »
Logged
bilaps
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,789
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #181 on: January 13, 2020, 10:04:30 AM »
Pete 22, Biden 19, Warren 18 and Sanders only 13 in their last poll.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,600
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #182 on: January 13, 2020, 10:08:44 AM »
Quote from: bilaps on January 13, 2020, 10:04:30 AM
Pete 22, Biden 19, Warren 18 and Sanders only 13 in their last poll.

Yeah, Sanders always seems to do poorly in Monmouth's state polling for whatever reason so no idea who will lead in this poll.
Logged
Pollster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,763


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #183 on: January 13, 2020, 11:40:47 AM »
I expect both polls to show the top 4 in a virtual tie in the high teens/low twenties, with Pete maybe trailing the pack in Nevada.

Will be interesting to see if the surge of undecideds in Selzer's poll is shown here as well.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,192
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #184 on: January 13, 2020, 12:11:53 PM »
Logged
Cinemark
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 870


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #185 on: January 13, 2020, 12:13:28 PM »
From drought to downpour.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,600
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #186 on: January 13, 2020, 01:00:44 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on January 13, 2020, 12:11:53 PM


Ugh.
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,679
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #187 on: January 13, 2020, 06:54:14 PM »
I hope that Buttigieg or Warren leads the next Iowa poll, just to add to the chaos. Oh, no, no wait! Klobuchar should lead!
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,192
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #188 on: January 15, 2020, 12:44:16 PM »
New Marist national poll is coming.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,600
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #189 on: January 15, 2020, 03:39:37 PM »

National?
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,923


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #190 on: January 15, 2020, 04:31:50 PM »

Unless there's something else coming, it probably refers to the monthly NPR/Marist poll that came out today.  This doesn't include GE or primary matchups.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,600
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #191 on: January 15, 2020, 04:53:54 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on January 15, 2020, 04:31:50 PM

Unless there's something else coming, it probably refers to the monthly NPR/Marist poll that came out today.  This doesn't include GE or primary matchups.

That's lame. Thanks.
Logged
Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #192 on: January 16, 2020, 05:38:13 PM »
Emerson poll of New Hampshire this evening. I know who I think will be leading!
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #193 on: January 16, 2020, 07:25:47 PM »
Quote from: Ebsy on January 16, 2020, 05:38:13 PM
Emerson poll of New Hampshire this evening. I know who I think will be leading!

Y A N G
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,600
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #194 on: January 16, 2020, 07:46:19 PM »
Quote from: Ebsy on January 16, 2020, 05:38:13 PM
Emerson poll of New Hampshire this evening. I know who I think will be leading!

Hopefully. Emerson's early state polling is sometimes surprising in a bad way.
Logged
eric82oslo
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,501
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.00, S: -5.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #195 on: January 17, 2020, 02:27:42 AM »
Quote from: Eraserhead on January 16, 2020, 07:46:19 PM
Quote from: Ebsy on January 16, 2020, 05:38:13 PM
Emerson poll of New Hampshire this evening. I know who I think will be leading!

Hopefully. Emerson's early state polling is sometimes surprising in a bad way.

Rather in an amazingly awesome way as we all know by now. Besides Morning Consult, it's more or less the only honest pollster out there.
Logged
rhg2052
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 827


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -6.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #196 on: January 17, 2020, 05:01:33 PM »
Quote from: eric82oslo on January 17, 2020, 02:27:42 AM
Quote from: Eraserhead on January 16, 2020, 07:46:19 PM
Quote from: Ebsy on January 16, 2020, 05:38:13 PM
Emerson poll of New Hampshire this evening. I know who I think will be leading!

Hopefully. Emerson's early state polling is sometimes surprising in a bad way.

Rather in an amazingly awesome way as we all know by now. Besides Morning Consult, it's more or less the only honest pollster out there.

And by honest, you mean the only pollster where Yang gets higher than 3%, right?
Logged
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,066
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #197 on: January 20, 2020, 01:01:56 PM »

Logged
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,066
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #198 on: January 20, 2020, 01:05:43 PM »
With two weeks to go before Iowa, I'm wondering if any pollsters who haven't polled the state yet will give us one poll there before caucus day.  Seems like Fox is a possibility.  They've polled NV and SC, but not yet IA or NH.  But they *did* poll Iowa in 2016, so maybe they'll give us one in these final weeks.  There are also some pollsters that have polled Iowa this cycle, but haven't given us one in a while.  E.g., no Quinnipiac poll of Iowa since November, and no Suffolk/USA Today poll since October.
Logged
Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,502
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #199 on: January 20, 2020, 01:29:05 PM »
There were also reports that CBS/YouGov was polling the Super Tuesday States again.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 3 4 5 6 7 [8] 9 10 11 12 13 ... 99  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.054 seconds with 11 queries.