Wisconsin Megathread v2: Hagedorn vs. Neubauer
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  Wisconsin Megathread v2: Hagedorn vs. Neubauer
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Author Topic: Wisconsin Megathread v2: Hagedorn vs. Neubauer  (Read 89370 times)
Sestak
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« Reply #1700 on: April 02, 2019, 09:22:13 PM »

63% in, margin down to 2.4%. Getting pretty nervous.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #1701 on: April 02, 2019, 09:22:53 PM »

Lisa Neubauer (Nonpartisan)     51.2%   435,488
Brian Hagedorn (Nonpartisan)     48.8%   415,840

A win is a win, one more liberal justice, etc. etc., but the fact that it’s this close is pretty amazing.
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YE
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« Reply #1702 on: April 02, 2019, 09:23:05 PM »

Where's all the concern coming from? Aside from low turnout in Milwaukee, Neubauer seems to be doing fine, and should win barring a blowout in the Driftless.
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Scottholes 2.0
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« Reply #1703 on: April 02, 2019, 09:24:19 PM »

Her lead is plummeting.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #1704 on: April 02, 2019, 09:24:26 PM »

Where's all the concern coming from? Aside from low turnout in Milwaukee, Neubauer seems to be doing fine, and should win barring a blowout in the Driftless.

Her lead is down to 20,000 in ddhq. I’d rather be her than him, but it’s just too close to feel comfortable.
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« Reply #1705 on: April 02, 2019, 09:24:38 PM »

How much of WOW is yet to report
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Sestak
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« Reply #1706 on: April 02, 2019, 09:25:10 PM »

Where's all the concern coming from? Aside from low turnout in Milwaukee, Neubauer seems to be doing fine, and should win barring a blowout in the Driftless.

I’m just seeing the margin tick down faster than the reporting % ticks up on DDHQ. Not sure where it’s from ofc but the trend there isn’t great.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1707 on: April 02, 2019, 09:25:12 PM »

Where's all the concern coming from? Aside from low turnout in Milwaukee, Neubauer seems to be doing fine, and should win barring a blowout in the Driftless.

Welcome to Atlas.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #1708 on: April 02, 2019, 09:25:20 PM »


it's all reported
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1709 on: April 02, 2019, 09:25:29 PM »

Where's all the concern coming from? Aside from low turnout in Milwaukee, Neubauer seems to be doing fine, and should win barring a blowout in the Driftless.

Marathon, Outagamie, and Walworth are scary.

But...



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Brittain33
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« Reply #1710 on: April 02, 2019, 09:26:24 PM »


JSOnline, which is running a bit behind ddhq, has literally all precincts except 1 in Waukesha. This is a rural fight now.
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Sestak
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« Reply #1711 on: April 02, 2019, 09:26:48 PM »

Where's all the concern coming from? Aside from low turnout in Milwaukee, Neubauer seems to be doing fine, and should win barring a blowout in the Driftless.

Marathon, Outagamie, and Walworth are scary.

But...





Well that’s reassuring I guess.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #1712 on: April 02, 2019, 09:27:38 PM »

All eyes on the Driftless
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #1713 on: April 02, 2019, 09:27:55 PM »

This is up to the driftless area now
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Sestak
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« Reply #1714 on: April 02, 2019, 09:28:36 PM »



Yup.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #1715 on: April 02, 2019, 09:29:50 PM »

So far, Lisa is overpreforming in the Driftless, but of course, that could change.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #1716 on: April 02, 2019, 09:30:35 PM »

I'm about to poop my pants from the suspense...
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💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)
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« Reply #1717 on: April 02, 2019, 09:31:18 PM »

What we have from Driftless is good for Neubauer so far. Hagedorn is hella underperforming Walker in Vernon and Buffalo and is losing Jackson so far (all are around 50%).

Flip side is so far Neubauer is losing Portage and Brown (both at 20%) and Outagamie and Marathon haven't reported yet.

Also from MSJ there are still eight precincts in Dane outstanding.
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Scottholes 2.0
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« Reply #1718 on: April 02, 2019, 09:31:40 PM »

I'm about to poop my pants from the suspense...

Same. It's reasonable to be worried about a 2-point lead with 67% of the precincts reporting. Come on, Driftless!
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Xing
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« Reply #1719 on: April 02, 2019, 09:32:52 PM »

Are you all enjoying the teaser trailer for the 2020 election? Tongue
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Scottholes 2.0
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« Reply #1720 on: April 02, 2019, 09:32:56 PM »

50.9%-49.1% Neubauer lead.

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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1721 on: April 02, 2019, 09:34:24 PM »

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Gass3268
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« Reply #1722 on: April 02, 2019, 09:34:48 PM »

Hagedorn's lead was cut big time in Brown County, 86.81% and he's only up 53-57.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1723 on: April 02, 2019, 09:35:40 PM »

Neubauer is ahead by 1 vote in Portage. lol



That will shift to Neubauer once Stevens Point starts fully rolling in.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #1724 on: April 02, 2019, 09:35:53 PM »

Reminder that while we have 1/3 of the precincts out on ddhq, there were 1 million votes cast in 2018 and already 915,000 cast this year.
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