Wisconsin Megathread v2: Hagedorn vs. Neubauer
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  Wisconsin Megathread v2: Hagedorn vs. Neubauer
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Author Topic: Wisconsin Megathread v2: Hagedorn vs. Neubauer  (Read 89115 times)
MT Treasurer
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« Reply #1600 on: April 02, 2019, 08:23:26 PM »

A few counties where Hagedorn seems to be doing well right now (not even 50% of all precincts in, though):  

Hagedorn +10 in Kenosha (was Evers +5 in 2018)
Neubauer +2 in Douglas (was Evers +20 in 2018)

Basically meaningless because we don’t know where the vote is coming from.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #1601 on: April 02, 2019, 08:24:56 PM »

Does WI ave a democratic counting bias?

No. Usually it's the the other way around. WOW reports first.
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Scottholes 2.0
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« Reply #1602 on: April 02, 2019, 08:25:30 PM »

Her lead is going to explode once those Dane County numbers start rolling!
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1603 on: April 02, 2019, 08:26:00 PM »

Sorry, no one is doing results by ward, my spreadsheet is useless.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #1604 on: April 02, 2019, 08:26:30 PM »

Her lead is going to explode once those Dane County numbers start rolling!

She will lose and it won't be close. Losing Winnebago by 1 point with more than half reported. Not doing well enough in MWK, and getting crushed in its suburbs.
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Duke of York
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« Reply #1605 on: April 02, 2019, 08:26:32 PM »

Her lead is going to explode once those Dane County numbers start rolling!

I hope so because right now this looks like a loss.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #1606 on: April 02, 2019, 08:27:00 PM »

Her lead is going to explode once those Dane County numbers start rolling!

I hope so because right now this looks like a loss.

Huh
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Linus Van Pelt
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« Reply #1607 on: April 02, 2019, 08:27:34 PM »

Soglin is looking like he's in trouble - only a few Madison wards reporting but he is losing some suburban areas narrowly, and getting hammered in the central wards.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #1608 on: April 02, 2019, 08:28:26 PM »

Does WI ave a democratic counting bias?

No. Usually it's the the other way around. WOW reports first.
2011 WI Supreme court.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #1609 on: April 02, 2019, 08:30:15 PM »

Hagedorn is outperforming Walker 2018 in many counties so far. Still think he loses, but this will probably be closer than expected.
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Xing
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« Reply #1610 on: April 02, 2019, 08:30:16 PM »

Ignore the concern troll, guys.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #1611 on: April 02, 2019, 08:30:17 PM »

Soglin is looking like he's in trouble - only a few Madison wards reporting but he is losing some suburban areas narrowly, and getting hammered in the central wards.

Yep, 66% in and he's in the 30s. He's done. Thank goodness.
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Duke of York
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« Reply #1612 on: April 02, 2019, 08:31:08 PM »


They concern troll everything.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #1613 on: April 02, 2019, 08:31:32 PM »


Dallet won it by 28 points while winning the state by 11. Bodes horribly for Neubauer.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #1614 on: April 02, 2019, 08:31:40 PM »

According to Decision Desk, Neubauer is up 9% with 30% in. No idea what's in and what isn't, though.
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #1615 on: April 02, 2019, 08:31:48 PM »

in all seriousness, i think she is gonna lose.
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Sestak
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« Reply #1616 on: April 02, 2019, 08:31:59 PM »

Where are you guys getting countywide exact results? JS on mobile just shows the map.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #1617 on: April 02, 2019, 08:32:17 PM »

Brian Hagedorn    115,169    54%    
   Lisa Neubauer    96,288    46%    
19% reporting (683 of 3600 precincts)

Hagedorn leading 70-30(!) in Waukesha with 59% in.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #1618 on: April 02, 2019, 08:32:33 PM »

Most of WOW is in now. It's not enough to keep him up from the looks of it.
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Duke of York
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« Reply #1619 on: April 02, 2019, 08:32:51 PM »


As do I. A very ominous sign for next year.
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Sestak
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« Reply #1620 on: April 02, 2019, 08:33:17 PM »

Where are you guys getting countywide exact results? JS on mobile just shows the map.
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #1621 on: April 02, 2019, 08:33:29 PM »

Where are you guys getting countywide exact results? JS on mobile just shows the map.
shows county map on my laptop
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Sestak
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« Reply #1622 on: April 02, 2019, 08:34:10 PM »

Where are you guys getting countywide exact results? JS on mobile just shows the map.
shows county map on my laptop

Yeah but how do you get the vote count for each county?
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Scottholes 2.0
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« Reply #1623 on: April 02, 2019, 08:34:24 PM »

I'm getting super nervous! Has Dane County started reporting?
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #1624 on: April 02, 2019, 08:34:25 PM »

On Dane county's site, Neubauer is at 81%. That's perfect shape for a comfortable win.
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