Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gotta love how there are more Trump approval posts on the Biden approval page than actual Biden approval related posts.

This is about to change now that Biden is finally President.

[wbrocks67]

GALLUP

Kamala Harris fav: 53/36 (+17)
Joe Biden fav: 57/41 (+16)

Biden transitional approval: 68/31 (+37)

Both get a bump, especially Harris. Her last Gallup favorability was 45/43 (+2) in October 2020 and Biden’s was 55/41 (+14) in November.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/328640/biden-transition-approval-remains-high.aspx

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Anyone know when we will get some approval ratings? I’m getting impatient

[pbrower2a]

Anyone know when we will get some approval ratings? I’m getting impatient

Gallup? Likely early-to-mid February.

Morning Consult was fairly early to get fifty-state polls. There might be single-state polls fairly soon, especially in states in which a Senator (MO, TX) or high-profile Congressional Representative misbehaved (AZ, CO, TX).

[Tender Branson]

My prediction is that Biden will start with a 62-30 job approval rating in an average of the first 10 RCP or 538 polls.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Anyone know when we will get some approval ratings? I’m getting impatient

I'd expect the weekly trackers (YouGov/Economist and Ipsos Core Political Data) to shift to Biden immediately.

[Sharpshooter]

My prediction is that Biden will start with a 62-30 job approval rating in an average of the first 10 RCP or 538 polls.

I think that's too high.  His favorable ratings aren't even that high.

I'll go with a RCP range of 55-57%

[GeorgiaModerate]

Watch Rasmussen start out with Biden underwater.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Watch Rasmussen start out with Biden underwater.

Marist and Civatis hasBiden at 48-37 but remember the inparty loses seats at 44 percent, Biden has a long way to go before it hits that low and Biden hasn't passed legislation yet

I think Biden is at 52 Percent sice the insurrection will have a long lasting effect, since FBI have ongoing investigations

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

What gets me about this forum, is that D's believe that they will lose in 2022, I am a naysayer but if you compare my negative remarks against other D's on this forum, I would have a very low number of them.

I was just worried about the Stimulus but I filed it on my income tax already and I will get double

I haven't gotten my 600 yet

D's will win the next several Elections

[wbrocks67]

Anyone know when we will get some approval ratings? I’m getting impatient

I'd expect the weekly trackers (YouGov/Economist and Ipsos Core Political Data) to shift to Biden immediately.

Watch YouGov has like 48-27 or something.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Even if Biden has high approval ratings well into this spring, it is still too early. In Spring 2009, Obama had sky high approvals, Democrats had actually picked up a bunch of House seats in special elections. Republicans were bracing for a third straight beatdown in 2010.

It ended up being a Republican tsunami, the average American has the attention span of a peanut. 1.5 years is a absolute eternity in politics.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Even if Biden has high approval ratings well into this spring, it is still too early. In Spring 2009, Obama had sky high approvals, Democrats had actually picked up a bunch of House seats in special elections. Republicans were bracing for a third straight beatdown in 2010.

It ended up being a Republican tsunami, the average American has the attention span of a peanut. 1.5 years is a absolute eternity in politics.

We had 11 percent Unemployment, it's currently 6.7 percent, that's the difference between now and 2010

That's why everyone isn't gonna get a Stimulus check due to fact since March 2020 it's gone down from 12 to 7 percent

[GeorgiaModerate]

Watch Rasmussen start out with Biden underwater.

I was close.  Their initial Biden daily poll is:

Approve 48 (strongly 36)
Disapprove 45 (strongly 38)

Their final Trump poll on Tuesday was 51/48 (strongly 36/41).

[Tender Branson]

Watch Rasmussen start out with Biden underwater.

I was close.  Their initial Biden daily poll is:

Approve 48 (strongly 36)
Disapprove 45 (strongly 38)

Their final Trump poll on Tuesday was 51/48 (strongly 36/41).

Rasmussen is a fraud pollster.

They pushed claims about Democratic election rigging for weeks after the election ...

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Watch Rasmussen start out with Biden underwater.

I was close.  Their initial Biden daily poll is:

Approve 48 (strongly 36)
Disapprove 45 (strongly 38)

Their final Trump poll on Tuesday was 51/48 (strongly 36/41).

Rasmussen is a fraud pollster.

They pushed claims about Democratic election rigging for weeks after the election ...

Yeah, I have no idea why Nate Silver continues to insist on including them in his aggregates.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Why we are so concerned over approvals and Biden and D's haven't passed one piece of legislation

[GeorgiaModerate]

Why we are so concerned over approvals and Biden and D's haven't passed one piece of legislation

*checks thread title* Because this is the Biden approval ratings thread.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I was talking about naysayers, we are in the early stages of Biden Prez and they are not gonna be steller until we start moving legislation

[Sharpshooter]

I was talking about naysayers, we are in the early stages of Biden Prez and they are not gonna be steller until we start moving legislation

The thing is though they normally are stellar or at least at a high point when they first enter.  Every president bar Trump has entered with an approval rating above 50%.

Obama didn't pass any legislation in his first week and still started with 67% in his first gallup poll.

Biden will be above 50% but I suspect it wont be long before he drops below it, even with a covid relief bill eventually passing since he's not a very charismatic guy and the same fundementals that kept Obama's approval rating mostly below 50% for the vast majority of his presidency will probably apply to Biden as well.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

First Reuters/Ipsos poll on Biden-

Approve: 55%
Disapprove: 32%

Trump's first poll had him at 43%.

https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2021-01/2021_reuters_tracking_-_core_political_presidential_approval_tracker_01_22_2021.pdf

[GeorgiaModerate]

First Reuters/Ipsos poll on Biden-

Approve: 55%
Disapprove: 32%

Trump's first poll had him at 43%.

https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2021-01/2021_reuters_tracking_-_core_political_presidential_approval_tracker_01_22_2021.pdf

More details on this poll, using the same format as I did for Trump:

Ipsos Core Political Data (weekly), Jan. 20-21, 1115 adults including 950 RV

Adults:

Approve 55
Disapprove 32

Strongly approve 28
Strongly disapprove 20


RV:

Approve 57
Disapprove 32

Strongly approve 31
Strongly disapprove 20

[Progressive Pessimist]

I think the GOP really screwed themselves by lowering the standards so much with their enabling of Trump. Not to take anything away from the Biden administration, but them doing the bare minimum even this early already seems to be paying off in spades because of that lowered bar as far as his approval and favorability ratings go. And that's while considering that if the nation wasn't as divided they would probably be even higher.

[It’s so Joever]

I was talking about naysayers, we are in the early stages of Biden Prez and they are not gonna be steller until we start moving legislation

Pls respond

[MR DARK BRANDON]

First Reuters/Ipsos poll on Biden-

Approve: 55%
Disapprove: 32%

Trump's first poll had him at 43%.

https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2021-01/2021_reuters_tracking_-_core_political_presidential_approval_tracker_01_22_2021.pdf

Finally...