2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 625080 times)
Splash
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« Reply #75 on: November 04, 2020, 05:52:33 AM »
Trump down to a 51-47 lead in Michigan after an update from Kent County (Grand Rapids). Biden is going to win Kent County and he did really well (for a Democrat) in Ottawa County too. I think he actually beat Whitmer's percentage there.
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Splash
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« Reply #76 on: November 04, 2020, 05:58:49 AM »
Bruh


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Splash
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« Reply #77 on: November 04, 2020, 06:21:00 AM »
FYI - Wayne County would still only be 54% reporting after this update.
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Splash
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« Reply #78 on: November 04, 2020, 06:36:22 AM »
Quote from: Hnv1 on November 04, 2020, 06:33:21 AM
Wisconsin's is far too narrow for my liking...no more votes from either Milwaukee or Dane?

The total doesn't include the 10K that Biden netted from the Kenosha absentees. I don't know why the county hasn't updated yet; it's been a couple of hours.
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Splash
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« Reply #79 on: November 04, 2020, 07:03:46 AM »
Quote from: Skye on November 04, 2020, 07:00:29 AM
Does somebody know what's happening in Geneese County, Michigan? It says 98% in and Trump winning by 0.2, and that would strike me as a very odd result.

I checked the county clerk's website and - while the totals for Biden and Trump matched what was being reported on the NYTs website - the AVs from Flint weren't anywhere to be found. So I am not sure why it says 98% in.

But, I mean, if Biden won Saginaw County, he's obviously winning Genesee.
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Splash
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« Reply #80 on: November 04, 2020, 04:22:14 PM »
Kent County still hasn't reported out any of their absentee ballots yet. Michigan won't be in recount territory when all is said and done.
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Splash
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« Reply #81 on: November 04, 2020, 05:50:37 PM »
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Splash
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« Reply #82 on: November 04, 2020, 07:14:15 PM »

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Splash
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« Reply #83 on: November 04, 2020, 07:15:14 PM »
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Splash
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« Reply #84 on: November 04, 2020, 09:08:19 PM »
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Splash
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« Reply #85 on: November 04, 2020, 09:36:56 PM »

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Splash
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« Reply #86 on: November 04, 2020, 09:39:37 PM »

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Splash
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« Reply #87 on: November 04, 2020, 10:44:21 PM »
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Splash
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« Reply #88 on: November 05, 2020, 01:44:18 AM »
Quote from: Meclazine on November 05, 2020, 01:41:39 AM
Quote from: Southern Governor Punxsutawney Phil on November 05, 2020, 01:40:03 AM
Quote from: Make PA Blue Again! on November 05, 2020, 01:37:52 AM
So apparently the real number of ballots left to count in PA is around 450K.
Yeah I can't see Trump winning PA by this point.

Biden would be pushing it if there were 750,000 votes left. 450K, no chance.

What's the source for the 450K figure?
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Splash
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« Reply #89 on: November 05, 2020, 02:10:37 AM »
I am hearing conflicting reports but I'll take 450K as a conservative estimate.

Let's assume Biden wins them 80-20 which isn't unrealistic given what we've seen so far and the fact that a quarter of them could be from Philadelphia. That would net him 270K which would be enough to to erase his current 164K deficit and then add a cushion of ~100K.
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Splash
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« Reply #90 on: November 05, 2020, 02:22:49 AM »

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Splash
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« Reply #91 on: November 05, 2020, 02:29:40 AM »
The PA SOS also said that they have received about 2.8 million absentee ballots so far, which is ~200K above the total reported on the Department of State's website.

So, I guess we'll have to wait and see.  Tongue
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Splash
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« Reply #92 on: November 05, 2020, 02:48:10 AM »
Quote from: chickentitilater on November 05, 2020, 02:35:20 AM
According to the Philadelphia county website, turnout was 51% and they’ve received a total of 233583
Mail votes with 97% counted.

https://results.philadelphiavotes.com/VoterTurnoutDetails.aspx?&cat=PREC

That only represents what's been reported so far. The 97% represents precincts reporting election day results and may or may not include absentee ballots. On their website, you can see that they've reported 234K absentee ballots but if you click on the "mail-in and absentee ballots status report" you will see that they recorded 346K AVs as of 11/2.

In other words, there are a lot of votes that haven't been added and that's deflating their turnout figures.
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Splash
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« Reply #93 on: November 05, 2020, 11:57:32 AM »
Quote from: rhg2052 on November 05, 2020, 11:52:21 AM
Source on the PA vote count being paused? I don't see it anywhere. Is this just a misreading of the Allegheny County situation?
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Splash
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« Reply #94 on: November 05, 2020, 12:02:33 PM »
Looks like we got some additional votes from Mecklenburg, NC. Trump's margin in the state now stands at 76,737 votes.
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Splash
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« Reply #95 on: November 05, 2020, 12:04:42 PM »
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Splash
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« Reply #96 on: November 05, 2020, 12:08:23 PM »

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Splash
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« Reply #97 on: November 05, 2020, 12:24:55 PM »
More votes in from Columbia, PA. Trump's lead now stands at 115,069 votes.
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Splash
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« Reply #98 on: November 05, 2020, 12:28:49 PM »
Quote from: Bootes Void on November 05, 2020, 12:26:08 PM
Quote from: Splash on November 05, 2020, 12:24:55 PM
More votes in from Columbia, PA. Trump's lead now stands at 115,069 votes.
how did this area vote?

It looks like Trump won the county 64-34 overall. He won it 63-31 in 2016.
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Splash
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« Reply #99 on: November 05, 2020, 01:05:54 PM »

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