2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 643731 times)
Asta
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« Reply #5600 on: November 04, 2020, 07:00:43 AM »
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Scottholes 2.0
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« Reply #5601 on: November 04, 2020, 07:01:00 AM »
Let's go, Wisconsin!!
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philly09
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« Reply #5602 on: November 04, 2020, 07:02:09 AM »
Quote from: Asta on November 04, 2020, 07:00:43 AM


Please be true. I know Erie County will heavily for Biden once the mail votes come in.
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n1240
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« Reply #5603 on: November 04, 2020, 07:02:29 AM »
New batch from Brown

Biden 25036
Trump 21123
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Splash
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« Reply #5604 on: November 04, 2020, 07:03:46 AM »
Quote from: Skye on November 04, 2020, 07:00:29 AM
Does somebody know what's happening in Geneese County, Michigan? It says 98% in and Trump winning by 0.2, and that would strike me as a very odd result.

I checked the county clerk's website and - while the totals for Biden and Trump matched what was being reported on the NYTs website - the AVs from Flint weren't anywhere to be found. So I am not sure why it says 98% in.

But, I mean, if Biden won Saginaw County, he's obviously winning Genesee.
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #5605 on: November 04, 2020, 07:04:04 AM »
So, do the Green Bay numbers mean that Trump is basically out of votes in Wisconsin?
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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« Reply #5606 on: November 04, 2020, 07:04:10 AM »
Quote from: Skye on November 04, 2020, 07:00:29 AM
Does somebody know what's happening in Geneese County, Michigan? It says 98% in and Trump winning by 0.2, and that would strike me as a very odd result.
A lot of this stuff is being thrown off due to the large amount of mail ins
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Scottholes 2.0
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« Reply #5607 on: November 04, 2020, 07:04:46 AM »
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #5608 on: November 04, 2020, 07:05:00 AM »
Quote from: Skye on November 04, 2020, 07:00:29 AM
Does somebody know what's happening in Geneese County, Michigan? It says 98% in and Trump winning by 0.2, and that would strike me as a very odd result.

I mean, let's face it:  after the last 12 hours, a ten-point swing from 2016 in-isolation wouldn't be the most unbelievable fantastical thing.  

But I have to think that's either a glitch or a data error.  
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n1240
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« Reply #5609 on: November 04, 2020, 07:05:16 AM »
Quote from: DaleCooper on November 04, 2020, 07:04:04 AM
So, do the Green Bay numbers mean that Trump is basically out of votes in Wisconsin?

Yeah everything except Richland (which Biden also probably wins on their outstanding ballots) in terms of what is left to be counted.
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Scottholes 2.0
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« Reply #5610 on: November 04, 2020, 07:05:55 AM »
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #5611 on: November 04, 2020, 07:06:28 AM »
Yeah, in PA, major Dem counties still have lots of mail, and all counties are at least 80%+ Biden so far in mail ins.

84K mail in votes left in Chester, where Biden is winning 80% of mail ins
227K mail in votes left in Allegheny, where Biden is winning 81% of mail ins
90K-120K mail in votes left in Montco, where Biden is winning 88% of mail ins
~250K mails in left in Philly, where Biden was winning 90%+
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #5612 on: November 04, 2020, 07:07:06 AM »
Is Wisconsin done counting? Or is there any provisionals/absentees outstanding? I know they had to be in by Election Day, correct?
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #5613 on: November 04, 2020, 07:07:22 AM »
Quote from: Scottholes 2.0 on November 04, 2020, 07:05:55 AM

Of course the last domino is Kenosha. The writers for this season are getting too cute for my liking
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #5614 on: November 04, 2020, 07:07:54 AM »
Quote from: n1240 on November 04, 2020, 07:05:16 AM
Quote from: DaleCooper on November 04, 2020, 07:04:04 AM
So, do the Green Bay numbers mean that Trump is basically out of votes in Wisconsin?

Yeah everything except Richland (which Biden also probably wins on their outstanding ballots) in terms of what is left to be counted.

So there's Richland, a little bit of Eau Claire and Milwaukee, and then the Biden gains from Kenosha that're for some reason taking forever to get released?
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Podgy the Bear
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« Reply #5615 on: November 04, 2020, 07:08:00 AM »
Quote from: n1240 on November 04, 2020, 07:02:29 AM
New batch from Brown

Biden 25036
Trump 21123


This is going to be a bad sign all day for Trump as red counties are reporting their mail-in ballots.
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SPQR
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« Reply #5616 on: November 04, 2020, 07:09:56 AM »
As it is, Iowa is Trump +7 #Selzer
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Vaccinated Russian Bear
Russian Bear
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« Reply #5617 on: November 04, 2020, 07:10:01 AM »

So Biden will probably win by 4-6%.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #5618 on: November 04, 2020, 07:10:11 AM »
(CNN) Trump now down to a 48,000-vote lead in Michigan.  
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Silent Hunter
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« Reply #5619 on: November 04, 2020, 07:10:49 AM »
So closer to RCP's average than 538's...
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #5620 on: November 04, 2020, 07:10:54 AM »
so what's going on with NY? are they just taking forever to count mail ins or was there a giant Trump swing?
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philly09
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« Reply #5621 on: November 04, 2020, 07:10:58 AM »
Trump's MI margin now down to 46,000.
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n1240
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« Reply #5622 on: November 04, 2020, 07:11:01 AM »
Quote from: DaleCooper on November 04, 2020, 07:07:54 AM
Quote from: n1240 on November 04, 2020, 07:05:16 AM
Quote from: DaleCooper on November 04, 2020, 07:04:04 AM
So, do the Green Bay numbers mean that Trump is basically out of votes in Wisconsin?

Yeah everything except Richland (which Biden also probably wins on their outstanding ballots) in terms of what is left to be counted.

So there's Richland, a little bit of Eau Claire and Milwaukee, and then the Biden gains from Kenosha that're for some reason taking forever to get released?

Eau Claire is likely done based on their county website. Milwaukee also seems effectively done.
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Angasboy15
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« Reply #5623 on: November 04, 2020, 07:11:33 AM »
How certain are we Biden has a winning lead in WI?

It seems like absolute best case scenario for Trump is that he cuts the lead by 5000 in Kenosha. (Assuming absentee votes like in person, which it won't.)

What does that leave?
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Inmate Trump
GWBFan
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« Reply #5624 on: November 04, 2020, 07:11:43 AM »
Why are states not finishing their count?
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