Wisconsin Megathread v2: Hagedorn vs. Neubauer

[Grassroots]

Why is this board so biased that a thread title like "Bye Felicia" is met with no criticism?

[Scottholes 2.0]

Why is this board so biased that a thread title like "Bye Felicia" is met with no criticism?

Because Scott Walker freaking ruined Wisconsin! Now it's going to take a LOT of work for Evers to undo the damage Walker has done to this state and get rid of the gerrymandered thugs that infiltrate Wisconsin! It starts with the April 2nd election.

[Grassroots]

Why is this board so biased that a thread title like "Bye Felicia" is met with no criticism?

Because Scott Walker freaking ruined Wisconsin! Now it's going to take a LOT of work for Evers to undo the damage Walker has done to this state and get rid of the gerrymandered thugs that infiltrate Wisconsin! It starts with the April 2nd election.

He actually hasn't but ok. As a person who lives rather close to the state and who knows alot of people from Wisconsin, he's done a decent job. While I may not be a huge fan of his union-busting, I can understand why a lot of people support it and it may benefit the state. As for his other policies, I support them. You can dislike someone without saying that he ruined the state. He didn't, and he overall improved the state actually if you leave your democratic bubble.

[Scottholes 2.0]

Why is this board so biased that a thread title like "Bye Felicia" is met with no criticism?

Because Scott Walker freaking ruined Wisconsin! Now it's going to take a LOT of work for Evers to undo the damage Walker has done to this state and get rid of the gerrymandered thugs that infiltrate Wisconsin! It starts with the April 2nd election.

He actually hasn't but ok. As a person who lives rather close to the state and who knows alot of people from Wisconsin, he's done a decent job. While I may not be a huge fan of his union-busting, I can understand why a lot of people support it and it may benefit the state. As for his other policies, I support them. You can dislike someone without saying that he ruined the state. He didn't, and he overall improved the state actually if you leave your democratic bubble.

My "democratic bubble"? I live in Janesville (Paul Ryan country) and commute to Walworth County (a GOP stronghold also in Ryan country) for work. And, yes, he has destroyed the state. He accelerated the teacher shortage in the state with his union-busting, refused funding for the high-speed rail project (which could have increased job growth and attracted talent to the state, but he didn't want them darn millennials comin' to WI voting Democrat!), abandoned our roads (hence our low ranking in infrastructure), etc, etc. He's also very corrupt and has little to no class: He passed a law to stop people from investigating him (self-incrimination much?), tried to block special elections after a Democratic win, took a while to concede to Tony Evers, refused to veto the GOP lame-duck bill stripping the incoming Democratic governor and AG of their executive powers, and diverted the will of WI voters by signing ACT 10 knowing over a hundred thousand people voiced clear opposition to it. He has put his political ambitions before the state, and I have seen MANY of my unionized family members suffer because of it.

Therefore, I am HAPPY Walker is gone. I hope he never holds another political position again!

[CityofSinners]

Only 1 day left until the important SC Election. Now I'm not sure if I would rate this race as Lean Neubauer or Likely Neubauer

My heart says Likely Neubauer because Hagedorn ran such a bad campaign. My brain says Lean Neubauer because we have so little polling and the dem enthusiasm seems to be a bit lower compared to the last SC race.

[Doimper]

Why is this board so biased that a thread title like "Bye Felicia" is met with no criticism?

Because Scott Walker freaking ruined Wisconsin! Now it's going to take a LOT of work for Evers to undo the damage Walker has done to this state and get rid of the gerrymandered thugs that infiltrate Wisconsin! It starts with the April 2nd election.

He actually hasn't but ok. As a person who lives rather close to the state and who knows alot of people from Wisconsin, he's done a decent job. While I may not be a huge fan of his union-busting, I can understand why a lot of people support it and it may benefit the state. As for his other policies, I support them. You can dislike someone without saying that he ruined the state. He didn't, and he overall improved the state actually if you leave your democratic bubble.

lmfao, imagine presenting yourself as an authority on a state because you happen to live close to it

[MasterJedi]

At least when Hagedorn loses he has a job lined up as chief stoner in Brunei. That's where he belongs with the views he has.

[Wiz in Wis]

I have seen several Hagedorn yard signs in rural Wisconsin and WOW.

how about neubauer signs?

I saw nothing but Neubauer signs in Wauwatosa when I visited Milwaukee this past week. I saw a handful of Neubauer signs in Mequon (which is slowly starting to vote D like the North Shore), but mostly Hagedorn signs there and in Brookfield when I visited.

See anything in driftless?

Hi Hi,

I live in Sauk County (Reedsburg) and there are a fair number of signs for both Hagedorn and Neubauer, but they all are in the same spots that Evers/Walker Mega-signs lived last year so not real clue there. Not much presence for either candidate IMHO.

[GeorgiaModerate]

At least when Hagedorn loses he has a job lined up as chief stoner in Brunei. That's where he belongs with the views he has.

Chief stoner in Colorado would be a lot more fun.

[Dr. Arch]

Proudly voted for Neubauer and Satya early this morning. I was in the 60s at my precinct.

[Gass3268]

Dane County turnout is essentially matching last year's Supreme Court Race:

https://twitter.com/samcdonell/status/981212666227281920

https://twitter.com/samcdonell/status/1113116670762123264

This actually means there are more raw voters this year than last year as there are 358,346 registered Dane County voters as of 4/1/2019 compared to 309,581 as of 4/1/2019.

So in terms of raw votes:
- 43,341 in 2018
- 46,585 in 2019   

[MasterJedi]

Proudly voted for Neubauer and Satya early this morning. I was in the 60s at my precinct.

Got my vote in for Neubauer and Shelton, forgot to check what position I was in the south burbs.

[Gass3268]

In fact the biggest % gainers for registered voters between April of last year and April of this year were predominately Democratic counties, with a couple swing counties. The statewide increase was 12% and here are the counties that matched that or were larger:

19%   MILWAUKEE COUNTY
16%   DANE COUNTY
14%   LA CROSSE COUNTY
14%   EAU CLAIRE COUNTY
13%   BROWN COUNTY
13%   MENOMINEE COUNTY
12%   KENOSHA COUNTY
12%   DUNN COUNTY

[Gass3268]

Madison itself is also seeing strong turnout.

https://twitter.com/MadisonWIClerk/status/1113116255379247106

https://twitter.com/MadisonWIClerk/status/1113119001427787776

They Mayor's race is really going to help boost turnout. FYI, that 2011 race was a very contested mayor race that saw Soglin knock off the then incumbent Mayor Dave.

[Politician]

In fact the biggest % gainers for registered voters between April of last year and April of this year were predominately Democratic counties, with a couple swing counties. The statewide increase was 12% and here are the counties that matched that or were larger:

19%   MILWAUKEE COUNTY
16%   DANE COUNTY
14%   LA CROSSE COUNTY
14%   EAU CLAIRE COUNTY
13%   BROWN COUNTY
13%   MENOMINEE COUNTY
12%   KENOSHA COUNTY
12%   DUNN COUNTY

But Atlas told me the population trends in Wisconsin were horrible for Democrats.

Anyway, this is Neubauer's race to lose at this point, but I still don't believe she wins by double digits.

[Gass3268]

In fact the biggest % gainers for registered voters between April of last year and April of this year were predominately Democratic counties, with a couple swing counties. The statewide increase was 12% and here are the counties that matched that or were larger:

19%   MILWAUKEE COUNTY
16%   DANE COUNTY
14%   LA CROSSE COUNTY
14%   EAU CLAIRE COUNTY
13%   BROWN COUNTY
13%   MENOMINEE COUNTY
12%   KENOSHA COUNTY
12%   DUNN COUNTY

But Atlas told me the population trends in Wisconsin were horrible for Democrats.

Anyway, this is Neubauer's race to lose at this point, but I still don't believe she wins by double digits.

A mix of this is population growth and a mix of this is recovery from the Walker/Republican voter purge that took place.

[Zaybay]

This has nothing to do with the election, but Im just getting flashbacks to last year, lurking on the forum and reading the thread on the election of WISC Judge Dallet. Good times. Seems like we are heading for a repeat of that.

[Scottholes 2.0]

In fact the biggest % gainers for registered voters between April of last year and April of this year were predominately Democratic counties, with a couple swing counties. The statewide increase was 12% and here are the counties that matched that or were larger:

19%   MILWAUKEE COUNTY
16%   DANE COUNTY
14%   LA CROSSE COUNTY
14%   EAU CLAIRE COUNTY
13%   BROWN COUNTY
13%   MENOMINEE COUNTY
12%   KENOSHA COUNTY
12%   DUNN COUNTY

But Atlas told me the population trends in Wisconsin were horrible for Democrats.

Anyway, this is Neubauer's race to lose at this point, but I still don't believe she wins by double digits.

Wisconsin is the biggest target of Republican hackery on Atlas. I will never understand why. Indiana voted D in the 2008 presidential election for the first time in 44 years. Did that mean Indiana was trending D? WI will remain a swing state for a long time due to the WWC and fast-aging population (an advantage for Repubs) and the increasing D margins in Dane, Milwaukee metro, and St. Croix.

Also, Dunn County is where UW-Stout (my alma mater) is located. Go Blue Devils!

[Scottholes 2.0]

The counties of Eau Claire, Dane, La Crosse and Portage will be a good indicator on how much Young People are turning out today.

Don't forget about Dunn!

[ajc0918]

Dane County turnout is essentially matching last year's Supreme Court Race:

https://twitter.com/samcdonell/status/981212666227281920

https://twitter.com/samcdonell/status/1113116670762123264

This actually means there are more raw voters this year than last year as there are 358,346 registered Dane County voters as of 4/1/2019 compared to 309,581 as of 4/1/2019.

So in terms of raw votes:
- 43,341 in 2018
- 46,585 in 2019   

Is Dane really growing that fast? 50K new voters in one year is insane.

[Wiz in Wis]

Dane County turnout is essentially matching last year's Supreme Court Race:

https://twitter.com/samcdonell/status/981212666227281920

https://twitter.com/samcdonell/status/1113116670762123264

This actually means there are more raw voters this year than last year as there are 358,346 registered Dane County voters as of 4/1/2019 compared to 309,581 as of 4/1/2019.

So in terms of raw votes:
- 43,341 in 2018
- 46,585 in 2019   

Is Dane really growing that fast? 50K new voters in one year is insane.

Registration gain from 2018, population gain is probably only 10k

[Xing]

Looking good for Neubauer so far, but I'll try to stay cautiously optimistic.

[Gass3268]

Dane County turnout is essentially matching last year's Supreme Court Race:

https://twitter.com/samcdonell/status/981212666227281920

https://twitter.com/samcdonell/status/1113116670762123264

This actually means there are more raw voters this year than last year as there are 358,346 registered Dane County voters as of 4/1/2019 compared to 309,581 as of 4/1/2019.

So in terms of raw votes:
- 43,341 in 2018
- 46,585 in 2019   

Is Dane really growing that fast? 50K new voters in one year is insane.

Registration gain from 2018, population gain is probably only 10k

Yeah, a lot of it is recovery from the Walker/Republican purge that occurred post-2016.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Looking good for Neubauer so far, but I'll try to stay cautiously optimistic.

I'll be optimistically cautious.

[Scottholes 2.0]

I really hope Hagedorn doesn't win. Turnout (while ok) isn't looking as good as last year's SCOTUS race.