Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1

[Illini Moderate]

If Democrats manage to take the Arizona senate seat and all of the outstanding California congressional districts...then I would say they had a very good midterm overall.  It certainly wasn't perfect and I probably wouldn't even call it a wave, but I would still be happy with the results.

I would definitely feel better. I would consider it a splash or a ripple. But even if I end up feeling that way, remembering Florida will happen and make me feel s****y again. That is, unless Nelson pulls off a miracle. As for the Governor's race, f*** Andrew Gillum. I don't think I even want him to be Governor anymore. It's not like I have to live in Florida. They deserve to live with another one of their mistakes for the next four years. Scott winning though, does affect me and the rest of the country, and it is driving me bonkers! It's like Scott is casting a cruciatus curse on me!

*rolls eyes 
Your whining is just getting annoying at this point. Definitely a certified snowflake

[IceSpear]

If Democrats manage to take the Arizona senate seat and all of the outstanding California congressional districts...then I would say they had a very good midterm overall.  It certainly wasn't perfect and I probably wouldn't even call it a wave, but I would still be happy with the results.

I would definitely feel better. I would consider it a splash or a ripple. But even if I end up feeling that way, remembering Florida will happen and make me feel s****y again. That is, unless Nelson pulls off a miracle. As for the Governor's race, f*** Andrew Gillum. I don't think I even want him to be Governor anymore. It's not like I have to live in Florida. They deserve to live with another one of their mistakes for the next four years. Scott winning though, does affect me and the rest of the country, and it is driving me bonkers! It's like Scott is casting a cruciatus curse on me!

Dems only losing a seat or two in an extremely stacked Senate map, gaining 35-40 seats in an extremely gerrymandered House map, and gaining 7 governors is not a "ripple", lol. It's a wave.

My condition is basically Florida senate to be called a wave. Ik its a small margin but there is no reason a swing state senator should have lost in a wave.

It's definitely an outlier...but outliers happen. You wouldn't have expected Gary Peters and Tom Wolf to win by double digits in a Republican wave. Or Harry Reid and Michael Bennet to win re-election in a Republican wave. Pretty much everything outside of Florida is consistent with a wave.

[Aurelio21]

Anybody, who thought it would end with FakeNews: Now, simply declaring himself election winner suffices. Ask Mr Kemp and Mr Scott how this is done.

If this is not enough, just mention "Hillary Clinton" in any sentence. This justifies anything and deflects from your own misdeeds ;-)

[GeorgiaModerate]

If Democrats manage to take the Arizona senate seat and all of the outstanding California congressional districts...then I would say they had a very good midterm overall.  It certainly wasn't perfect and I probably wouldn't even call it a wave, but I would still be happy with the results.

I would definitely feel better. I would consider it a splash or a ripple. But even if I end up feeling that way, remembering Florida will happen and make me feel s****y again. That is, unless Nelson pulls off a miracle. As for the Governor's race, f*** Andrew Gillum. I don't think I even want him to be Governor anymore. It's not like I have to live in Florida. They deserve to live with another one of their mistakes for the next four years. Scott winning though, does affect me and the rest of the country, and it is driving me bonkers! It's like Scott is casting a cruciatus curse on me!

Dems only losing a seat or two in an extremely stacked Senate map, gaining 35-40 seats in an extremely gerrymandered House map, and gaining 7 governors is not a "ripple", lol. It's a wave.

My condition is basically Florida senate to be called a wave. Ik its a small margin but there is no reason a swing state senator should have lost in a wave.

Maybe the characterization of Florida as a swing state is becoming less valid.

[Ebsy]

https://twitter.com/harrisalexc/status/1060713390660837378

Still not clear when updated numbers are going to be posted in the SOS system.

[The Free North]

Scott has filed a lawsuit agains the Broward County election supervisor

https://www.nationalreview.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/scottvsnipes.pdf

[The Free North]

Scott has filed a lawsuit agains the Broward County election supervisor

https://www.nationalreview.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/scottvsnipes.pdf

And Marco Rubio is still complaining to whoever will listen on twitter.

[lfromnj]

If Democrats manage to take the Arizona senate seat and all of the outstanding California congressional districts...then I would say they had a very good midterm overall.  It certainly wasn't perfect and I probably wouldn't even call it a wave, but I would still be happy with the results.

I would definitely feel better. I would consider it a splash or a ripple. But even if I end up feeling that way, remembering Florida will happen and make me feel s****y again. That is, unless Nelson pulls off a miracle. As for the Governor's race, f*** Andrew Gillum. I don't think I even want him to be Governor anymore. It's not like I have to live in Florida. They deserve to live with another one of their mistakes for the next four years. Scott winning though, does affect me and the rest of the country, and it is driving me bonkers! It's like Scott is casting a cruciatus curse on me!

Dems only losing a seat or two in an extremely stacked Senate map, gaining 35-40 seats in an extremely gerrymandered House map, and gaining 7 governors is not a "ripple", lol. It's a wave.

My condition is basically Florida senate to be called a wave. Ik its a small margin but there is no reason a swing state senator should have lost in a wave.

Maybe the characterization of Florida as a swing state is becoming less valid.

Then again scott only won by 1 point in 2014 too.
Its just tough to make it out. It seems like national environment really does affect it much.

[henster]

This is from the Sinema campaign. Three more batches one is expected to be good for McSally.

https://twitter.com/VaughnHillyard/status/1060251726467469312

[Progressive Pessimist]

If Democrats manage to take the Arizona senate seat and all of the outstanding California congressional districts...then I would say they had a very good midterm overall.  It certainly wasn't perfect and I probably wouldn't even call it a wave, but I would still be happy with the results.

I would definitely feel better. I would consider it a splash or a ripple. But even if I end up feeling that way, remembering Florida will happen and make me feel s****y again. That is, unless Nelson pulls off a miracle. As for the Governor's race, f*** Andrew Gillum. I don't think I even want him to be Governor anymore. It's not like I have to live in Florida. They deserve to live with another one of their mistakes for the next four years. Scott winning though, does affect me and the rest of the country, and it is driving me bonkers! It's like Scott is casting a cruciatus curse on me!

Dems only losing a seat or two in an extremely stacked Senate map, gaining 35-40 seats in an extremely gerrymandered House map, and gaining 7 governors is not a "ripple", lol. It's a wave.

My condition is basically Florida senate to be called a wave. Ik its a small margin but there is no reason a swing state senator should have lost in a wave.

That's basically my caveat too. And I know I'm pissing people off with my negativity, but it's always been there. It's in my username.

[Coolface Sock #42069]

If Democrats manage to take the Arizona senate seat and all of the outstanding California congressional districts...then I would say they had a very good midterm overall.  It certainly wasn't perfect and I probably wouldn't even call it a wave, but I would still be happy with the results.

I would definitely feel better. I would consider it a splash or a ripple. But even if I end up feeling that way, remembering Florida will happen and make me feel s****y again. That is, unless Nelson pulls off a miracle. As for the Governor's race, f*** Andrew Gillum. I don't think I even want him to be Governor anymore. It's not like I have to live in Florida. They deserve to live with another one of their mistakes for the next four years. Scott winning though, does affect me and the rest of the country, and it is driving me bonkers! It's like Scott is casting a cruciatus curse on me!

Dems only losing a seat or two in an extremely stacked Senate map, gaining 35-40 seats in an extremely gerrymandered House map, and gaining 7 governors is not a "ripple", lol. It's a wave.

My condition is basically Florida senate to be called a wave. Ik its a small margin but there is no reason a swing state senator should have lost in a wave.

It's definitely an outlier...but outliers happen. You wouldn't have expected Gary Peters and Tom Wolf to win by double digits in a Republican wave. Or Harry Reid and Michael Bennet to win re-election in a Republican wave. Pretty much everything outside of Florida is consistent with a wave.

In all four of those races, you would expect that result if you knew who their opponents were.

[RI]

https://twitter.com/TRussellCBS4/status/1060703585552474113

https://twitter.com/TRussellCBS4/status/1060705247700623360

[The Free North]

deleted.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

This is from the Sinema campaign. Three more batches one is expected to be good for McSally.

https://twitter.com/VaughnHillyard/status/1060251726467469312

So pretty much Senator-elect Sinema is going to happen. If McSally can only get one of those batches to favor her, she's done.

[Sestak]

This is from the Sinema campaign. Three more batches one is expected to be good for McSally.

https://twitter.com/VaughnHillyard/status/1060251726467469312

So pretty much Senator-elect Sinema is going to happen. If McSally can only get one of those batches to favor her, she's done.

It’s actually only two more batches. This conversation is from yesterday, today’s drop was one.

[Pandaguineapig]

https://twitter.com/TRussellCBS4/status/1060703585552474113

https://twitter.com/TRussellCBS4/status/1060705247700623360

If that's true, good news for Scott

[MillennialModerate]

Can’t someone compare past votes in these counties and this years?

[Snipee356]

Can someone explain to me what is going on in Florida? What is Scott trying to accomplish with this lawsuit? Can Nelson win?

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

This is from the Sinema campaign. Three more batches one is expected to be good for McSally.

https://twitter.com/VaughnHillyard/status/1060251726467469312

So pretty much Senator-elect Sinema is going to happen. If McSally can only get one of those batches to favor her, she's done.

It’s actually only two more batches. This conversation is from yesterday, today’s drop was one.

Okay so we have this one favoring Sinema, the next one will be McSally and number three will be Sinema.

[InheritTheWind]

This is from the Sinema campaign. Three more batches one is expected to be good for McSally.

https://twitter.com/VaughnHillyard/status/1060251726467469312

So pretty much Senator-elect Sinema is going to happen. If McSally can only get one of those batches to favor her, she's done.

Yeah if Sinema breaks even or even nets votes from this next batch, she’s won IMO. Anyone know when they’ll be counted?

[KingSweden]

This is from the Sinema campaign. Three more batches one is expected to be good for McSally.

https://twitter.com/VaughnHillyard/status/1060251726467469312

So pretty much Senator-elect Sinema is going to happen. If McSally can only get one of those batches to favor her, she's done.

Yeah if Sinema breaks even or even nets votes from this next batch, she’s won IMO. Anyone know when they’ll be counted?

There’ll be a batch tomorrow

[Zaybay]

https://twitter.com/TRussellCBS4/status/1060703585552474113

https://twitter.com/TRussellCBS4/status/1060705247700623360

If that's true, good news for Scott

I seriously have no idea where you are getting this. All they said was that they finished counting the ballots and were reviewing them, which was expected.

[IceSpear]

If Democrats manage to take the Arizona senate seat and all of the outstanding California congressional districts...then I would say they had a very good midterm overall.  It certainly wasn't perfect and I probably wouldn't even call it a wave, but I would still be happy with the results.

I would definitely feel better. I would consider it a splash or a ripple. But even if I end up feeling that way, remembering Florida will happen and make me feel s****y again. That is, unless Nelson pulls off a miracle. As for the Governor's race, f*** Andrew Gillum. I don't think I even want him to be Governor anymore. It's not like I have to live in Florida. They deserve to live with another one of their mistakes for the next four years. Scott winning though, does affect me and the rest of the country, and it is driving me bonkers! It's like Scott is casting a cruciatus curse on me!

Dems only losing a seat or two in an extremely stacked Senate map, gaining 35-40 seats in an extremely gerrymandered House map, and gaining 7 governors is not a "ripple", lol. It's a wave.

My condition is basically Florida senate to be called a wave. Ik its a small margin but there is no reason a swing state senator should have lost in a wave.

It's definitely an outlier...but outliers happen. You wouldn't have expected Gary Peters and Tom Wolf to win by double digits in a Republican wave. Or Harry Reid and Michael Bennet to win re-election in a Republican wave. Pretty much everything outside of Florida is consistent with a wave.

In all four of those races, you would expect that result if you knew who their opponents were.

Sure, but you can say the same thing here. Scott is a popular incumbent governor who outspent Nelson by a bazillion dollars and will win by like 0.1% if he's lucky. In a "Dem ripple" this race wouldn't even be in question right now.

[MillennialModerate]

Can someone explain to me what is going on in Florida? What is Scott trying to accomplish with this lawsuit? Can Nelson win?

Scott is trying to safety net his victory.

Anything is technically possible but I’d put the odds at literally 100/1 against.

Then again that’s just my “act” I guess

[Pandaguineapig]

https://twitter.com/TRussellCBS4/status/1060703585552474113

https://twitter.com/TRussellCBS4/status/1060705247700623360

If that's true, good news for Scott

I seriously have no idea where you are getting this. All they said was that they finished counting the ballots and were reviewing them, which was expected.

That means other than about 250 provisionals and overseas ballots Broward is done