2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 622798 times)
Yeahsayyeah
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 794


Political Matrix
E: -9.25, S: -8.15

« on: November 03, 2020, 05:55:58 PM »

Is there a precinct map without paywall available anywhere?
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Yeahsayyeah
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 794


Political Matrix
E: -9.25, S: -8.15

« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2020, 07:01:24 PM »

Lol, CNN didn't call Kentucky.
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Yeahsayyeah
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 794


Political Matrix
E: -9.25, S: -8.15

« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2020, 07:03:10 PM »

NYT called Vermont and Kentucky but not Indiana
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Yeahsayyeah
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 794


Political Matrix
E: -9.25, S: -8.15

« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2020, 09:19:06 PM »

Well, the conventional wisdom was that the sunbelt states would be close, and the midwest must win states not so. This still seems to hold. Florida is unfortunate, though.
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Yeahsayyeah
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 794


Political Matrix
E: -9.25, S: -8.15

« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2020, 09:26:02 PM »

If you give the callled states, Florida to Trump, and Ohio to Biden. Biden's chance would be 98 percent in the 538-calculator.
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Yeahsayyeah
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 794


Political Matrix
E: -9.25, S: -8.15

« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2020, 10:02:41 PM »

Moral of the story:

People vote FOR something.

Not against something. 

I don't understand this as there was nothing like of a semblance of a positive message to vote for by Trump. It was all about "Joe Biden will destroy everything and let BLM and Castro run the US"
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Yeahsayyeah
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 794


Political Matrix
E: -9.25, S: -8.15

« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2020, 10:30:08 PM »

Ok, I'm calling it quits as it is half past four in the morning, in Germany. We will really not know who won for a while, but I still think (and hope), Biden has the edge.
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Yeahsayyeah
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 794


Political Matrix
E: -9.25, S: -8.15

« Reply #7 on: November 04, 2020, 02:05:35 PM »
« Edited: November 04, 2020, 02:14:10 PM by Yeahsayyeah »

So far, in what states did Trump win by a bigger margin than he did in 2016 (Or lose by a smaller margin)? Is it just Florida?

As of now, according to the NYT numbers, so this will change

SD (+0,9)
AR (+1,1)
UT (+1,9)
IN (+2,1)
FL (+2,2)
MS (+8,1)


He would have bettered his margin in the following states he likely looses

NV (+2,2)
IL (+3,2)
NY (+4,8)

And there is still this 7,5 % margin improvement in Pennsylvania that will probably not hold, although he could still win it with a better margin than 2016.

Edit: And I totaly forgot about Alaska for a moment which would be +15% margin-wise at the moment.
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Yeahsayyeah
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 794


Political Matrix
E: -9.25, S: -8.15

« Reply #8 on: November 05, 2020, 06:01:58 AM »
« Edited: November 05, 2020, 06:07:56 AM by Yeahsayyeah »

Quote
It’s simply not happening.
I think, everybody now has read your very data-driven and detailed take now  for only twenty times. Maybe, if you repeat it just fifty times more, the vote-counters will forget to count the votes, so it will happen, definitely. Unless this is the case, we just don't know, yet, it's a pure tossup. So, would you, please, just stop, spamming the thread with it?
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Yeahsayyeah
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 794


Political Matrix
E: -9.25, S: -8.15

« Reply #9 on: November 05, 2020, 06:18:28 AM »

This election is getting on my nerves. I wish Biden could just clinch PA to get this nightmare over with.

Tomorrow night.
Sorry, that I am confused now, as you ar answering another European poster. Central European or American night?
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Yeahsayyeah
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 794


Political Matrix
E: -9.25, S: -8.15

« Reply #10 on: November 05, 2020, 02:55:49 PM »

You hate to see it.




"...declared ... the winner before the votes were counted". They are so inconsistent, that it is really hillarious. If not 45 percent of your country would take their bogus as gospel, at least.
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Yeahsayyeah
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 794


Political Matrix
E: -9.25, S: -8.15

« Reply #11 on: November 06, 2020, 04:08:30 AM »

Quote
a multi racial party of the working class.
A multi racial party of the working class whose main policy goals are tax cuts for the rich and gutting unions is actually something that I really can hardly fathom.
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Yeahsayyeah
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 794


Political Matrix
E: -9.25, S: -8.15

« Reply #12 on: November 06, 2020, 06:52:23 PM »

Posted by a friend of mine on Facebook:


For an uninformed German: Who is this?
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Yeahsayyeah
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 794


Political Matrix
E: -9.25, S: -8.15

« Reply #13 on: November 07, 2020, 07:19:59 AM »

Idiot



sh**t like this is why I'm 99% convinced Trump will remain president after Jan 20 and why I think any celebration and gloating should hold off until after that. These subversive traitors are going to do whatever it takes to stay in power. And the networks are 100% complicit in giving them enough leverage by entertaining their conspiracy theories and treating this race as if Trump can still win the vote count.
No pasaran!
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Yeahsayyeah
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 794


Political Matrix
E: -9.25, S: -8.15

« Reply #14 on: November 07, 2020, 09:33:04 AM »
« Edited: November 07, 2020, 09:40:14 AM by Yeahsayyeah »



Wow, I literally spilled my cofeve...coffee because of this. Thanks, Joebama!

Edit: Btw, they forgot "partly immigrant family"
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Yeahsayyeah
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 794


Political Matrix
E: -9.25, S: -8.15

« Reply #15 on: November 08, 2020, 05:07:19 AM »

How so? "Most reasonable" does not mean they actually have to be reasonable.

Not even 12 hours out & the revisionist history of this era already begins to emerge.
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Yeahsayyeah
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 794


Political Matrix
E: -9.25, S: -8.15

« Reply #16 on: November 08, 2020, 07:39:47 AM »

I don't think, that Biden would like a public congratulation by any of those people. It would just look bad.
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Yeahsayyeah
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 794


Political Matrix
E: -9.25, S: -8.15

« Reply #17 on: November 15, 2020, 02:36:49 AM »


Of all the hillarious and ridiculous stuff in this "article" the cognitive dissonance of the "Democratic party dominated by far-left extrimists" nominating "segregationist Joe Biden" is the most striking. Is this more then a troll site?
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