Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1

[Virginiá]

This thread is toxic for my mental health. How am I supposed to grieve with all of this hopey changey stuff

Maybe an amazing thing happens and Nelson and/or Gillum ends up winning, but I've learned to not invest much hope in recounts or post-election ballot counting (other than in CA)

[ajc0918]

Not relevant to most of you but I expect Nikki Fried, Dem candidate for Commissioner of Agriculture, to win once all of the votes are in. She's currently down by 4,000 votes, the closest of any of the statewide races.

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

The 24th CD race was uncontested, so that race wouldn't even appear on the ballots in that districts.  I wonder if that somehow screwed up the format of the other races on those ballots.

[Mr. Smith]

Looks like Williams will end up doing better than Quist after all.

RATINGS CHANGE: Montana: #Populist -> Neoliberal Shill

No Mark Wicks this time.

[windjammer]

Unless there is a huge error in the estimates of how much vote is left, Scott has won

Yes this.

Seriously, I don't want to be a d*** but I don't believe Nelson is going to win this.

[Sestak]

The 24th CD race was uncontested, so that race wouldn't even appear on the ballots in that districts.  I wonder if that somehow screwed up the format of the other races on those ballots.

Yeah I'd like to see a CD24 Broward ballot.

[Tintrlvr]

The 24th CD race was uncontested, so that race wouldn't even appear on the ballots in that districts.  I wonder if that somehow screwed up the format of the other races on those ballots.

FL-20 was also uncontested but still appeared on the ballot in the example RI provided upthread. But still, need to see the FL-24 ballot, including some actual undervotes in case there were misprinted ballots.

[RI]

¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Regardless of the reason, Broward County election administration is clearly incompetent.

[Tintrlvr]

¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Regardless of the reason, Broward County election administration is clearly incompetent.

True, and not news. Brenda Snipes has been messing up elections for 15 years now.

[Gass3268]

Unless there is a huge error in the estimates of how much vote is left, Scott has won

Yes this.

Seriously, I don't want to be a d*** but I don't believe Nelson is going to win this.

They thing is we don't know how many votes there are left, if we did I might agree with you. As of right now we know there are at least ~33,000 votes in very Democratic areas. It's possible, if not probable, that there is more out there. Plus you have provisionals.

[CellarDoor]

Marc Elias was lead counsel for Al Franken during the 2008 MN recount.

[GP270watch]

¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Regardless of the reason, Broward County election administration is clearly incompetent.

True, and not news. Brenda Snipes has been messing up elections for 15 years now.

She's always in the news for one screwup or another.

[Pollster]

AZ GOP is worried

[KingSweden]

Marc Elias was lead counsel for Al Franken during the 2008 MN recount.

And for Roy Cooper two years ago

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Wow, Torres Small won!!!!!!

[Dr. Arch]

Wow, Torres Small won!!!!!!

Republican delegation from NM = 0. 

[OBD]

Wow Handel went down

[lfromnj]

Wow, Torres Small won!!!!!!

Republican delegation from NM = 0. 

Name a more classic duo
Steve Pearce and running for statewide office during a democrat leaning year and also losing his congressional district in the process.

[lfromnj]

Wow Handel went down

So democrats wanted Ryans seat the most in 2016 instead they got Gingrich's Hasterts and Hw bush's.

and RINO Tom says nothing changed.

[SPQR]

Looking at the NYT map, Scott has a 21,986 votes lead.
There are 7 precints to be counted, all in Bay county (where Scott leads 46,595 vs 16,659 with 37/44 counts), so I guess the lead will end up being around 25,000 votes.

That's without considering any provisionals or the likes.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Maybe we did not get Ryan's seat, but it is a sign of the shifting of the political climate in this country when Daddy Bush's old cd he repped in congress just flipped.

[Tintrlvr]

Looking at the NYT map, Scott has a 21,986 votes lead.
There are 7 precints to be counted, all in Bay county (where Scott leads 46,595 vs 16,659 with 37/44 counts), so I guess the lead will end up being around 25,000 votes.

There are zero votes left to count in Bay County. The precinct counts are off because Bay County (hit hard by Hurricane Michael) only had six "mega" precincts open as compared to the typical 44 smaller precincts they would have had otherwise. (A lot of typical precinct locations, like schools, etc., were not reopened yet, so they had to consolidate precincts.) Not sure where the 37 figure is coming from but Bay is done.

Remaining votes are all from Broward and maybe some in Palm Beach and Duval (unclear, some people said everything in those two were counted last night, other sources have said there are still some in one or both). They're all mail-in ballots so don't show up in precinct counts.

[Ben.]

¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Regardless of the reason, Broward County election administration is clearly incompetent.

They've had 18 years to get this right!

[RI]

Looking at the NYT map, Scott has a 21,986 votes lead.
There are 7 precints to be counted, all in Bay county (where Scott leads 46,595 vs 16,659 with 37/44 counts), so I guess the lead will end up being around 25,000 votes.

There are zero votes left to count in Bay County. The precinct counts are off because Bay County (hit hard by Hurricane Michael) only had six "mega" precincts open as compared to the typical 44 smaller precincts they would have had otherwise. (A lot of typical precinct locations, like schools, etc., were not reopened yet, so they had to consolidate precincts.) Not sure where the 37 figure is coming from but Bay is done.

Remaining votes are all from Broward and maybe some in Palm Beach and Duval (unclear, some people said everything in those two were counted last night, other sources have said there are still some in one or both). They're all mail-in ballots so don't show up in precinct counts.

I wouldn't say zero votes. Bay, as with most counties, has not finished counting provisionals and military ballots: https://floridaelectionwatch.gov/CountyReportingStatus

[Tintrlvr]

Looking at the NYT map, Scott has a 21,986 votes lead.
There are 7 precints to be counted, all in Bay county (where Scott leads 46,595 vs 16,659 with 37/44 counts), so I guess the lead will end up being around 25,000 votes.

There are zero votes left to count in Bay County. The precinct counts are off because Bay County (hit hard by Hurricane Michael) only had six "mega" precincts open as compared to the typical 44 smaller precincts they would have had otherwise. (A lot of typical precinct locations, like schools, etc., were not reopened yet, so they had to consolidate precincts.) Not sure where the 37 figure is coming from but Bay is done.

Remaining votes are all from Broward and maybe some in Palm Beach and Duval (unclear, some people said everything in those two were counted last night, other sources have said there are still some in one or both). They're all mail-in ballots so don't show up in precinct counts.

I wouldn't say zero votes. Bay, as with most counties, has not finished counting provisionals and military ballots: https://floridaelectionwatch.gov/CountyReportingStatus

Well, okay, but that's not unique to Bay.