Official Maine Caucus Results Thread
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True Democrat
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« Reply #50 on: February 10, 2008, 04:17:21 PM »
Quote from: pollwatch99-b on February 10, 2008, 04:15:12 PM
Quote from: TheresNoMoney on February 10, 2008, 04:12:13 PM
Just saw that Obama has a 50%-48% lead with 11% reporting. Based on what I'm reading at Daily Kos, Obama is winning big in the cities (Portland area, Bangor area) and is winning by smaller margins in the more rural areas.

Also just saw that Hillary's campaign manager Patti Solis Doyle has been FIRED! She is being replaced by Maggie Williams.

If he is winning big in cities and winning by smaller margins in more rural area's; it cannot be a 50%-48% lead.  Something doesn't track with what you're hearing and the numbers

If it is indeed 50-48, I will interpret TheresNoMoney's response without the spin:

Obama is winning a good amount in the cities but losing to Clinton in the rural areas.
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #51 on: February 10, 2008, 04:18:08 PM »
Stonington to Obama, 3-1, Scarborough goes 31-22. (Those are delegates.) Stonington's an artsy coastal town in Down East. Scarborough is a Portland "suburb".
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8 out of 11 is not deserved
pollwatch99-b
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« Reply #52 on: February 10, 2008, 04:18:43 PM »
Quote from: True Democrat on February 10, 2008, 04:17:21 PM
Quote from: pollwatch99-b on February 10, 2008, 04:15:12 PM
Quote from: TheresNoMoney on February 10, 2008, 04:12:13 PM
Just saw that Obama has a 50%-48% lead with 11% reporting. Based on what I'm reading at Daily Kos, Obama is winning big in the cities (Portland area, Bangor area) and is winning by smaller margins in the more rural areas.

Also just saw that Hillary's campaign manager Patti Solis Doyle has been FIRED! She is being replaced by Maggie Williams.

If he is winning big in cities and winning by smaller margins in more rural area's; it cannot be a 50%-48% lead.  Something doesn't track with what you're hearing and the numbers

If it is indeed 50-48, I will interpret TheresNoMoney's response without the spin:

Obama is winning a good amount in the cities but losing to Clinton in the rural areas.
that would make sense
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #53 on: February 10, 2008, 04:19:26 PM »
Quote from: True Democrat on February 10, 2008, 04:17:21 PM
Quote from: pollwatch99-b on February 10, 2008, 04:15:12 PM
Quote from: TheresNoMoney on February 10, 2008, 04:12:13 PM
Just saw that Obama has a 50%-48% lead with 11% reporting. Based on what I'm reading at Daily Kos, Obama is winning big in the cities (Portland area, Bangor area) and is winning by smaller margins in the more rural areas.

Also just saw that Hillary's campaign manager Patti Solis Doyle has been FIRED! She is being replaced by Maggie Williams.

If he is winning big in cities and winning by smaller margins in more rural area's; it cannot be a 50%-48% lead.  Something doesn't track with what you're hearing and the numbers

If it is indeed 50-48, I will interpret TheresNoMoney's response without the spin:

Obama is winning a good amount in the cities but losing to Clinton in the rural areas.

50-48 is the CNN entrance poll, apparently, not the results so far. CBS's entrance poll says 51-48 Obama.
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TheresNoMoney
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« Reply #54 on: February 10, 2008, 04:19:44 PM »
Here are some preliminary results:

http://www.turnmaineblue.com/showDiary.do;jsessionid=CEE53A2EBF0B8083F08E24E84500F8C2?diaryId=779
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TheresNoMoney
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #55 on: February 10, 2008, 04:20:06 PM »
Quote from: Verily on February 10, 2008, 04:19:26 PM
50-48 is the CNN entrance poll, apparently, not the results so far.

You are correct! My bad.
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Meeker
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« Reply #56 on: February 10, 2008, 04:21:11 PM »
CNN says with 11% reporting it's 50-48 Obama...
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Aizen
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« Reply #57 on: February 10, 2008, 04:21:27 PM »
Quote from: Ben. on February 10, 2008, 04:05:26 PM
Is there a decent source for comment or results from ME this evening?


Not that I know of. I guess the lovely Nora won't be reading results this evening *Sigh*
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #58 on: February 10, 2008, 04:21:48 PM »
Winterport and Ellsworth are the only ones of those that I haven't covered here yet (and LOL at only one vote in Byron). Looks like Obama is very strong in Down East.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #59 on: February 10, 2008, 04:24:08 PM »
Quote from: pollwatch99-b on February 10, 2008, 04:18:43 PM
Quote from: True Democrat on February 10, 2008, 04:17:21 PM
Quote from: pollwatch99-b on February 10, 2008, 04:15:12 PM
Quote from: TheresNoMoney on February 10, 2008, 04:12:13 PM
Just saw that Obama has a 50%-48% lead with 11% reporting. Based on what I'm reading at Daily Kos, Obama is winning big in the cities (Portland area, Bangor area) and is winning by smaller margins in the more rural areas.

Also just saw that Hillary's campaign manager Patti Solis Doyle has been FIRED! She is being replaced by Maggie Williams.

If he is winning big in cities and winning by smaller margins in more rural area's; it cannot be a 50%-48% lead.  Something doesn't track with what you're hearing and the numbers

If it is indeed 50-48, I will interpret TheresNoMoney's response without the spin:

Obama is winning a good amount in the cities but losing to Clinton in the rural areas.
that would make sense
No. Hintie Hintie: None of the cities are in yet.
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TheresNoMoney
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #60 on: February 10, 2008, 04:24:16 PM »
Quote from: meekermariner on February 10, 2008, 04:21:11 PM
CNN says with 11% reporting it's 50-48 Obama...

Link? I don't think any official results will be reported until the last caucuses end at 8:00 PM EST.

I think the 50%-48% you saw is an entrance poll.
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TheresNoMoney
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« Reply #61 on: February 10, 2008, 04:25:29 PM »
They are saying over at Daily Kos that Obama got 70% in Bangor.
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #62 on: February 10, 2008, 04:25:47 PM »
Quote from: Loser Defeato-Poster on February 10, 2008, 04:24:08 PM
Quote from: pollwatch99-b on February 10, 2008, 04:18:43 PM
Quote from: True Democrat on February 10, 2008, 04:17:21 PM
Quote from: pollwatch99-b on February 10, 2008, 04:15:12 PM
Quote from: TheresNoMoney on February 10, 2008, 04:12:13 PM
Just saw that Obama has a 50%-48% lead with 11% reporting. Based on what I'm reading at Daily Kos, Obama is winning big in the cities (Portland area, Bangor area) and is winning by smaller margins in the more rural areas.

Also just saw that Hillary's campaign manager Patti Solis Doyle has been FIRED! She is being replaced by Maggie Williams.

If he is winning big in cities and winning by smaller margins in more rural area's; it cannot be a 50%-48% lead.  Something doesn't track with what you're hearing and the numbers

If it is indeed 50-48, I will interpret TheresNoMoney's response without the spin:

Obama is winning a good amount in the cities but losing to Clinton in the rural areas.
that would make sense
No. Hintie Hintie: None of the cities are in yet.

Except a single huge Obama victory in a Bangor precinct. Although the cities will split; Bangor, Augusta and Portland should be strong for Obama, but Lewiston will be Clinton territory, and maybe Biddeford will be as well.
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Cuivienen
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« Reply #63 on: February 10, 2008, 04:27:35 PM »
Map of results so far
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Cuivienen
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« Reply #64 on: February 10, 2008, 04:29:03 PM »
Kucinich won a delegate in Phillips (1-1-1). I think. Could be someone else, I suppose, given the location. Maybe Edwards.
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jfern
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« Reply #65 on: February 10, 2008, 04:30:48 PM »
Humorous prediction: If Clinton wins this, her campaign slogan becomes "Remember the Maine".
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #66 on: February 10, 2008, 04:31:20 PM »
The 50-48% or 51-48% is *not* just an entrance poll.  It's actual results so far.  See here for example:

http://election.cbsnews.com/campaign2008/state.shtml?state=ME

Those look like real vote totals to me (or state delegate equivalents or whatever), not entrance poll numbers.
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Meeker
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« Reply #67 on: February 10, 2008, 04:32:18 PM »
Quote from: TheresNoMoney on February 10, 2008, 04:24:16 PM
Quote from: meekermariner on February 10, 2008, 04:21:11 PM
CNN says with 11% reporting it's 50-48 Obama...

Link? I don't think any official results will be reported until the last caucuses end at 8:00 PM EST.

I think the 50%-48% you saw is an entrance poll.

They said it on the Teevee
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Cuivienen
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« Reply #68 on: February 10, 2008, 04:32:54 PM »
« Edited: February 10, 2008, 04:37:20 PM by Verily »
Yay, Obama won Damariscotta (102-36)! That's where we used to vacation when I was little. It's sort of Mid-Coast but the town itself (as opposed to the inland areas where we stayed) is more like Down East.

Edit: And Newcastle as well, Damariscotta's twin. (Maine has a lot of those, two towns of similar sizes each on opposite sides of a river or narrow bay.)
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8 out of 11 is not deserved
pollwatch99-b
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« Reply #69 on: February 10, 2008, 04:33:27 PM »
Watching CNN; yes the 51-48 with 11% reporting is official results
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Hashemite
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« Reply #70 on: February 10, 2008, 04:34:02 PM »
Anything from Ogunquit?
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #71 on: February 10, 2008, 04:38:15 PM »

Not yet, but given the York results I would be pretty shocked if Clinton won Ogunquit.
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Cuivienen
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« Reply #72 on: February 10, 2008, 04:41:24 PM »
Bangor delegate count is apparently 64-27 with one Uncommitted. Big margin for Obama in an expected stronghold.
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TheresNoMoney
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« Reply #73 on: February 10, 2008, 04:43:06 PM »
« Edited: February 10, 2008, 04:44:50 PM by TheresNoMoney »
Obama got 15 of the 25 delegates in Old Town (larger town just north of Bangor/Orono).
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Cuivienen
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« Reply #74 on: February 10, 2008, 04:44:35 PM »
Apparently those Bangor results are only part of the city. So we'll wait.
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