Ohio Ballot Issue 1 Megathread (August 8)

[BigZuck08]

Flipping pro-choice Republicans into regular Democratic voters should be the biggest focus for the rest of this decade. Imagine what we could accomplish if we got even half of them to come over.

The issue is trying to convince them. There are Republican voters who don't agree with abortion rights being completely taken away, but will never vote Democrats for partisan reasons.

True, but in this day and age, I can't imagine it being very successful. The only way you would get these voters to vote on the D side is on ballot questions like OH Issue 1.

I will say it at least works well as a rallying call.

True.

[WalterWhite]

With 72% of the state vote in, Mahoning, Lake, Portage, and Trumbull are all to the LEFT of the state now. Democrats might be able to capitalize on this issue in that part of the state.

[Frodo]

With 72% of the state vote in, Mahoning, Lake, Portage, and Trumbull are all to the LEFT of the state now. Democrats might be able to capitalize on this issue in that part of the state.

What are the statewide results? 

[WalterWhite]

With 72% of the state vote in, Mahoning, Lake, Portage, and Trumbull are all to the LEFT of the state now. Democrats might be able to capitalize on this issue in that part of the state.

What are the statewide results? 

I will just give you the place where I am getting my data:

https://www.dispatch.com/story/news/politics/2023/08/08/ohio-issue-1-special-electionresults-voters-decide-tuesday-on-august-8-ballot-issue/70487461007/

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Flipping pro-choice Republicans into regular Democratic voters should be the biggest focus for the rest of this decade. Imagine what we could accomplish if we got even half of them to come over.

The issue is trying to convince them. There are Republican voters who don't agree with abortion rights being completely taken away, but will never vote Democrats for partisan reasons.

True, but in this day and age, I can't imagine it being very successful. The only way you would get these voters to vote on the D side is on ballot questions like OH Issue 1.

I will say it at least works well as a rallying call.

The thing with persuading voters is you have to have something to at least start the conversation. Dems have that now, whereas before they were being ignored before the conversation even started.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

It’s going to get annihilated. Wouldn’t be surprised if no hits upper 60s/70s.

Something like uniform No among Ds, 3-1 No from indies, 2-1 Yes or 50/50 for Rs.

this didn't age well lol.

Looks like the current 14 point margin is where it will stay though.

[WalterWhite]

Butler County, which typically votes 15-20 points right of the state, has voted only about seven points to the right of the state. It voted for "NO" by 7%, and the state voted for "NO" by 14%.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Butler County, which typically votes 15-20 points right of the state, has voted only about seven points to the right of the state. It voted for "NO" by 7%, and the state voted for "NO" by 14%.

Butler still has like half the vote out, according to Washington Post. Might end up pretty close to 50-50.

[WalterWhite]

Lake County - >99% in

"NO" - 58.6%

"YES" - 41.4%


Portage County - >99% in

"NO" - 57.94%

"YES" - 42.04%

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Can't spell pro-life without L. Really happy the people of Ohio came to their senses.

[WalterWhite]

Half of the vote is still yet to be reported in the highly Democratic counties of Cuyahoga and Hamilton.

[Minnesota Mike]

Raw vote lead for NO up to over 300K. Looks like NO is winning the ED vote narrowly.

[Nyvin]

It looks like No will start to gain again soon, there's still lots of votes left in Cuyahoga, Hamilton, and Lucas.   The rural vote is almost all in except some in Richland and Miami counties and a few other small bits here and there.

[Badger]

This is a good night for people who support democracy.

[Yoda]

I waited until today to vote, and I was in and out really quickly, but it was kinda funny how pissed everyone was that we were even there. A lot of people remarking to the poll workers that it was ridiculous we were voting on literally one thing. They pretty much dropped their professionalism and agreed haha.

[pbrower2a]

Just a question: Does the measure to increase the threshold have a threshold?  In other words, can this pass with just 50%+1?

Try again later on something that does not involve the potential of life and death.

To be sure, initiatives and referenda should not decide trivial issues. Abortion is far from trivial. This initiative is an effort to ensure that an unpopular measure can stick.

[WalterWhite]

I waited until today to vote, and I was in and out really quickly, but it was kinda funny how pissed everyone was that we were even there. A lot of people remarking to the poll workers that it was ridiculous we were voting on literally one thing. They pretty much dropped their professionalism and agreed haha.

That is what a special election is for ya!

[henster]

Looks like maybe 10-12 point win for 'NO' seems to point for a tighter margin for abortion amendment in November. Going off of how Michigan voted 57/43 I could see it being pretty tight given OH's lean, probably like 3-5 point win in November.

[WalterWhite]

Look at the Clark County results

Clark County: >99% in

"NO": 50.00%; 16015 votes

"YES": 50.00%: 16014 votes

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

Not Holmes county voting yes... I'm renouncing them

It's like it's the most Republican county in the whole state and also full of super-anti-abortion Amish people.

Holmes County voting the way it did isn't a surprise, but at the risk of nitpicking, voting is actually frowned upon in the Amish community and only a single-digit percentage of them does. Holmes is a rural Republican county like any other in the Midwest, only this one happens to contain a lot of Amish (~6,000 total votes cast in a county of >44,000 people).

Great night for democracy.

[The Economy is Getting Worse]

The outstanding vote is disproportionately Cuyahoga and Lucas. No should gain slightly.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Look at the Clark County results

Clark County: >99% in

"NO": 50.00%; 16015 votes

"YES": 50.00%: 16014 votes

STOP THE COUNT!!!

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

https://twitter.com/kb__314/status/1689106329703518208

Just made this and I think it about sums it up, tbh

[Aurelius2]

Not Holmes county voting yes... I'm renouncing them

It's like it's the most Republican county in the whole state and also full of super-anti-abortion Amish people.

Holmes County voting the way it did isn't a surprise, but at the risk of nitpicking, voting is actually frowned upon in the Amish community and only a single-digit percentage of them does. Holmes is a rural Republican county like any other in the Midwest, only this one happens to contain a lot of Amish (~6,000 total votes cast in a county of >44,000 people).

Great night for democracy.

This is all true, but Amish attitudes toward voting have started to slowly shift lately, and the Trump campaign in 2020 made a big push to get more of them to vote in Pennsylvania in particular.

[Holmes]

Vance was on twitter earlier today saying a yes on 1 vote would be a vote against Nancy Pelosi lmao. These people think their voters are idiots (but they keep voting like they are).