Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/jjabbott/status/1591062849954381824

[Sir Mohamed]

No matter how this finally goes, I really ask myself what happens with the speakership election? If the small majority of either party can't produce a winner? Does Pelosi remain in office until a successor is elected?

Instead of Cheney, I could see a less controversial GOP member or former member introduced as compromise candidate. Adam Kinzinger? Charlie Dent?

[new_patomic]

https://twitter.com/JacobRubashkin/status/1591101574625234945?s=20&t=Partivi...

[America Needs R'hllor]

Hobbs +1-2 can still theoretically happen so I'd wait with this

[Pres Mike]

No matter how this finally goes, I really ask myself what happens with the speakership election? If the small majority of either party can't produce a winner? Does Pelosi remain in office until a successor is elected?

Instead of Cheney, I could see a less controversial GOP member or former member introduced as compromise candidate. Adam Kinzinger? Charlie Dent?

I’d be fine with Kinzinger, as long as he allows a vote on any legislation passed by the senate

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/JacobRubashkin/status/1591101574625234945

[Pres Mike]

According to politico, Democrats should win 209 seats. Republicans will win 215. 11 are true tossups.

So, what are the 11 seats?

[wbrocks67]

As expected, the VBMs will easily push Trone ahead in MD-06.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Btw all this talk about how the gop GOP performance with young voter means for the future forgets to remember how hard the 18-29 cohort from 2008 moved to the right by 2020 as well

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

According to politico, Democrats should win 209 seats. Republicans will win 215. 11 are true tossups.

So, what are the 11 seats?

I hate when articles do stuff like that. 

"It's the third most Republican district in Texas."

Ohhkay, so what are one and two??

[Virginiá]

https://twitter.com/jeremysmiles/status/1590825261947584512

[wbrocks67]

Btw all this talk about how the gop GOP performance with young voter means for the future forgets to remember how hard the 18-29 cohort from 2008 moved to the right by 2020 as well

Where's the evidence of that? Republicans are still losing 30-44 year olds too.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

https://twitter.com/jeremysmiles/status/1590825261947584512

As long as they leave leggings alone, you can take away all the pants in the world. 

[Roll Roons]

According to politico, Democrats should win 209 seats. Republicans will win 215. 11 are true tossups.

So, what are the 11 seats?

AZ-01, AZ-06, CA-13, CA-22, CA-27, CA-41, OR-05, WA-03 are definitely among them. The last three are probably some combination of CA-03, CA-45, CA-47, CA-49?

[Sir Mohamed]

Why haven't other outlets called AZ-Sen yet? Masters is pretty much finished.

Any news on gov? Is Hobbs going to win?

[Lief 🗽]

https://twitter.com/jeremysmiles/status/1590825261947584512

There are MILLIONS of us and we are sick and tired of being told that shorts, a hoodie/sweatshirt, and a puffer jacket in the 30s is a “stupid outfit” that “doesn’t make any sense.”

[Gass3268]

Why haven't other outlets called AZ-Sen yet? Masters is pretty much finished.

Any news on gov? Is Hobbs going to win?

They probably want to see what the day-of drop off's look like before making a call. Nobody wants to be Fox in 2020 again.

[Inmate Trump]

https://www.mediaite.com/news/breaking-democrat-mark-kelly-defeats-blake-masters-in-key-senate-race-per-cook-political-report/

Cook is calling it. But I haven’t seen anyone else call it.

[Oryxslayer]

Arizona, Pennsylvania and Nevada were ground zero for sh**tty Republican polls this cycle.

What I want to know is why everyone seemingly collectively forgot Nevada polling always underestimates Dems by a percent or two cause pollsters can't reach night shift union workers. This isn't to say Sisolack can't still lose, but the people writing off Nevada were always weird.

[wbrocks67]

Also, why is AZ-04 not being called yet? Stanton is up nearly 15%.

[Podgy the Bear]

https://twitter.com/dellavolpe/status/1590939577661161473

Longterm these voters are a huge problem for the gop. They are more secular, more lgbt, more atheist, more leftist, more educated (many went to college and dropped out or conscientiously chose not to go to college). They are definitely up for grabs, but in order to grab them the gop has got to veer left hard and fast on key issues at odds with their base

Tough to know how hard they have to veer left on the issues, but they must drop the crackpot religious crap. They don't have to abandon Christianity, but they have to tone down the ExtremeRepublican fake version of Christianity. That is a dying monster.

As a marketer, I’ll also say Christianity in general needs to clean up its act or it will lose a lot of adherents. I myself became a Buddhist a while back and think there will be plenty who follow me if the church can’t find its proper place in contemporary society fast (which saddens me because unlike a lot of other leftists I’m actually a big fan of properly done organized religion)

You don't need to trash a faith because of the actions of a relatively small group (several million out of 2.4 billion Christians worldwide).  It's not like Buddhism is perfect--look at what's going on in Myanmar with the Rohingya.  

And back to the political aspect (which is the point of this forum), leftists don't need to knock people who are involved in an organized religion.  It's no different from the other side that trashes atheists and agnostics.  In any political election, the "God and country side" will win out over the opposite stand.

[America Needs R'hllor]

https://twitter.com/jeremysmiles/status/1590825261947584512

There are MILLIONS of us and we are sick and tired of being told that shorts, a hoodie/sweatshirt, and a puffer jacket in the 30s is a “stupid outfit” that “doesn’t make any sense.”

TRUE! Every November, I'm oppressed by society (don't want to draw attention and be weird ) into wearing stuffy, uncomfortable jeans. Every May, I feel the life returning to me. FETTERMAN FOR PRESIDENT!

(I'll also give my Gay Opinion that men look, like, thrice better with shorts on average)

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

What’s left in CA-13?

[Kamala's side hoe]

Haven't checked any other posts, sorry.

From the CNN exit poll (I assume similar to other exit polls.) Of course the 2022 exit polls are based  on the vote for the U.S House whereas the 2020 exit poll is based on the Presidential vote. While Biden won 51.3-46.9, the House Democrats in 2020 won only 50.8-47.8.

Latinos have continued to trend Republican since 2018: from 65-32% to 60-39%
Black voters showed a slight continuing trend to Repblicans from 87-12 to 86-13.  At worst, this is a consolidation for Republicans.)

It seems Democrats improved among young whites. So, some of the racial disparities may be declining, if the U.S remains a democracy.

On the one hand, abortion probably won't be as big an issue in 2024, on the other hand, the economy should be in much better shape.

The problem for pollsters (the honest ones anyway), this election anyway, was trying to determine who would vote. The overall turnout will be 50% at best.

Not original, but the U.S voting has a race gap, a gender gap, a wealth gap, a region gap and an urban/rural divide.

Quoting this before catching up on the last few pages, but here’s what the AP Votecast exit poll said for race:



White: 39-59
Black: 83-14
Latino: 56-40
Asian: 64-34
AIAN: 37-57 (? Evidently doesn’t include Alaska natives)
NHPI: 58-38
Other: 44-51

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/11/08/exit-polls-2022-elections/

https://twitter.com/dellavolpe/status/1590939577661161473

Not that surprising when you have the likes of Laxalt, Masters, Walker, and Öz running for Senate.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

I just hope we win OR 5 b/c if we don’t centrists will be insufferable
Wapost thinks it will go d, correct?