Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread

[MillennialModerate]

A quick look at the seats reporting for the House, the Democrats lead in 215 seats, and the Republicans on 220 seats. Of course, many of these seats are too close to call and in many of them a lot of ballots are still uncounted.

This hurts to even read

[Yoda]

Going into mom mode again: for my Atlas peeps who have been up all night -- GET SOME SLEEP

We have a whole day of hand-wringing, arguing, gloating, whining, celebrating, despairing, and just a little bit of apologizing to do!

 I never went to bed and now I just realized the new episode of Andor has been up all night. There's no hope for me. Leave me behind

[SCNCmod]

Hobbs should be kicked out of the party for her neglect.

The race is close enough where she could have won

Hobbs is still up by almost 2Pts... I would certainly rather be her at this point rather than Lake.

[MillennialModerate]

Hobbs should be kicked out of the party for her neglect.

The race is close enough where she could have won

I think that Kelly and Fontes probably win? Hobbs is dead?

Kelly - TOTAL tossup. Maybe Tilt somewhere but TOSSUP
Fontes: Lean D
Hobbs: Likely R

[MillennialModerate]

Hobbs should be kicked out of the party for her neglect.

The race is close enough where she could have won

Hobbs is still up by almost 2Pts... I would certainly rather be her at this point rather than Lake.

Are you high? Biden and Kelly were up by more in 2020 at this stage. Kelly will lose or win by 10-20k either way. Hobbs is defeated - this I’m sure of

[Person Man]

Hobbs should be kicked out of the party for her neglect.

The race is close enough where she could have won

Hobbs is still up by almost 2Pts... I would certainly rather be her at this point rather than Lake.

Are you high? Biden and Kelly were up by more in 2020 at this stage. Kelly will lose or win by 10-20k either way. Hobbs is defeated - this I’m sure of

I’m pretty sure Kelly is somewhere between where he and Biden were. Isn’t the needle pretty accurate?

[brucejoel99]

So can Barnes pull through with the estimated remaining votes in Milwaukee & Dane?

[Crackerjack McJohnson]

PART III.

The big one: Philadelphia County.  A cornerstone of the American Revolution, home to big names like Walt Whitman, Will Smith, Kevin Bacon, the late Kobe Bryant and Bob Saget, and let's not forget the location of the greatest University in the world (the University of Pennsylvania!), there's too many things about Philadelphia to mention here. 

With 88% of the vote in, Fetterman leads 82-17.  Biden won here 81-18 in 2020. 

--

Schuylkill County, PA is home to Hawk Mountain Sanctuary (one of the first places in the world to set aside land for and count birds of prey during migration). 

With 95% of the vote in, Oz leads 64-32.  Trump won here 69-29 in 2020. 

--

Last but not least, Wayne County is the northeastern-most county in PA.  It has a longstanding GOP voting streak at the Presidential level and has not given its votes to a Democrat since 1892 (it was one of four in the state that voted for Barry Goldwater in 1964). 

With >95% of the vote in, Oz leads 65-35.  Trump won here 66-33. 

--

I think that does it! Exits are on your left, be sure to stop by the gift shop on your way out

Thanks you for the rundown Penn Quaker Girl these were good! 

[America Needs R'hllor]

Hobbs should be kicked out of the party for her neglect.

The race is close enough where she could have won

Hobbs is still up by almost 2Pts... I would certainly rather be her at this point rather than Lake.

Are you high? Biden and Kelly were up by more in 2020 at this stage. Kelly will lose or win by 10-20k either way. Hobbs is defeated - this I’m sure of

You're not necessarily wrong, but might you have some humility after getting 2022 so wrong? This goes for all members of this forum's prediction mafia lol

[morgieb]

So can Barnes pull through with the estimated remaining votes in Milwaukee & Dane?

I think a few people have punched the numbers and have suggested it's possible. Not likely, but possible.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It wasn't a blue wave Cook and Sabato lost big time they said 237 RH they will never have that type of majority again

[MillennialModerate]

So can Barnes pull through with the estimated remaining votes in Milwaukee & Dane?

No.

Dane and Milwaukee have more votes out but not enough especially since some R’s are outstanding

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Anybody have any insights into the AK-SEN race? How's Murkowski looking?

[7,052,770]

I wake up after 5 hours to check the numbers, and basically nothing has changed!

[ProgressiveModerate]

I also want to point out that with AZ, the reason it narrowed so fast in the last 10% of the vote was because of many mid sized red counties dropping EDay votes it seems. The NYT needle for AZ has actually been remarkably consistent.

I would still rather be Kelly.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Anybody have any insights into the AK-SEN race? How's Murkowski looking?

Sussybaka is only at 44% to Murkowski 43% which means Murkowski should have the consolidation to beat her; I doubt they’ll be a dramatic shift in the outstanding votes.

[MillennialModerate]

Anybody have any insights into the AK-SEN race? How's Murkowski looking?

Looks like she’s got this, thank god

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

I wake up after 5 hours to check the numbers, and basically nothing has changed!

Not terribly shocking -- during the 2020 cycle, things really slowed down in the early morning hours after election day (as though everybody was taking a breather). 

That said, I do recall that GA flipped in the wee hours of the morning before sun-up here in Philly a couple of days later, so don't go too far!

[brucejoel99]

Anybody have any insights into the AK-SEN race? How's Murkowski looking?

I'd imagine that literally everybody who voted for Chesbro has Murkowski 2nd:

https://twitter.com/fintwitpulse/status/1590319100030746624

[win win]

why are our elections always so close
senate looks like 50/50
and house 50/50 pretty much

In european countries like France and germany, it's not ever so close

[MillennialModerate]

why are our elections always so close
senate looks like 50/50
and house 50/50 pretty much

In european countries like France and germany, it's not ever so close

The House? Because Republicans rig the maps.

The Senate? Because the Senate methods are outdated. Each state regardless of population was one thing when a state could be double the size of another. But when one state is 50x the other and has the same amount it’s insane.

[Hope For A New Era]

This is as far as I go. I'm unplugging from election for the night. I tried as long as I could, but I no longer feel that I can go on.

See you on the other side.

Well that's an interesting set of results. Starting to think I shouldn't have left!

[brucejoel99]

Gurl, bye:

https://twitter.com/galenmetzger1/status/1590326682854264832

[Torie]

It seems like almost all of the Pub kook candidates went down. Trump wasn't literally on the ballot, but I think he is the biggest loser of them all.

[MillennialModerate]

Gurl, bye:

https://twitter.com/galenmetzger1/status/1590326682854264832

I think her losing was already factored in to most house seat projections - so for instance when NBC has 220-215, they are counting that district was one of the 215.

And I don’t think she has gone down yet ?

I mean we know she definetly has gone down alot … but I meant, electorally speaking