Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread
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  Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread
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Author Topic: Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread  (Read 292817 times)
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BRTD
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« Reply #6775 on: November 10, 2022, 04:55:26 PM »

Nevada actually is still accepting ballots for two more days, but I really doubt many are coming in now.
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Yeahsayyeah
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« Reply #6776 on: November 10, 2022, 04:56:04 PM »

Of course, most civilized nations are able to count mail ballots at election day or the day after, even if they start counting them at the closing of the polls.
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TheReckoning
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« Reply #6777 on: November 10, 2022, 04:56:29 PM »

The problem isn't that they weren't in by election day - it's that laws prevent them from being tallied before election day.

Why do Democrats across the western states refuse to change those laws?

Arizona House, Senate and Governorship are Republican controlled.

That’s one state out of like, the 5 that are having problems. Stop deflecting. Why do Democrats in CA, Oregon, Washington, Nevada refuse to change those laws?
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #6778 on: November 10, 2022, 04:57:14 PM »

Young voter turnout can't be understated. Exits are now 34% 18-44, which is nearly identical to 2018 (35%). A ton of polls were predicated on terrible young turnout (CBS's model kept saying 27% 18-44)

The margins in the swing states were insane. Fetterman won 18-29 year olds 70-28%!



Keeping the campaign promise to forgive student debt mattered.
As progressives have been saying over and over, this is a winning issue.

Agreed - if it’s blocked like I expect - I wonder if that’ll hurt the Dems or help them (being able to point the finger at Republicans)
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YPestis25
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« Reply #6779 on: November 10, 2022, 04:58:52 PM »

The problem isn't that they weren't in by election day - it's that laws prevent them from being tallied before election day.

Why do Democrats across the western states refuse to change those laws?

Arizona House, Senate and Governorship are Republican controlled.

That’s one state out of like, the 5 that are having problems. Stop deflecting. Why do Democrats in CA, Oregon, Washington, Nevada refuse to change those laws?

That's not a deflection. It's not a partisan problem insomuch as a geographic one. I'd prefer the votes be counted faster but behaving like this is some sort of solely Democratic problem is disingenuous.
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Spectator
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« Reply #6780 on: November 10, 2022, 04:59:39 PM »

Looks like Aaron Ford is behind in the NV-02 parts in NV-AG by only around 4000 votes. He has a great shot of winning the seat overall if the remaining Washoe mail ballots are anywhere like before.

From the worst performing Democrat winner in 2018 to the best performing now. Wow.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #6781 on: November 10, 2022, 04:59:46 PM »
« Edited: November 10, 2022, 05:03:36 PM by Miscellaneous Top Secret Crumpets »

If the ballot isn't in by election day, it doesnt count.

End this sh**t.

No. We shouldn't allow the whims/prices of the post office or private mail carriers to determine which ballots get there on time and are counted and which ones are late and don't. When I voted in 2020, I sent my ballot in from the UK weeks before the election, and it barely got there by election day. If Washington had had this standard and I couldn't have afforded to have it express mailed, or if I had tried to use DeJoy's postal service, it would have been impossible for me to vote legally.
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« Reply #6782 on: November 10, 2022, 05:00:00 PM »

The problem isn't that they weren't in by election day - it's that laws prevent them from being tallied before election day.

Why do Democrats across the western states refuse to change those laws?

Arizona House, Senate and Governorship are Republican controlled.

That’s one state out of like, the 5 that are having problems. Stop deflecting. Why do Democrats in CA, Oregon, Washington, Nevada refuse to change those laws?

Presumably because people in those states don't see the current system as a problem and don't care if Republicans in other states do?
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pantsaregood
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« Reply #6783 on: November 10, 2022, 05:00:09 PM »

Young voter turnout can't be understated. Exits are now 34% 18-44, which is nearly identical to 2018 (35%). A ton of polls were predicated on terrible young turnout (CBS's model kept saying 27% 18-44)

The margins in the swing states were insane. Fetterman won 18-29 year olds 70-28%!



Keeping the campaign promise to forgive student debt mattered.
As progressives have been saying over and over, this is a winning issue.

Agreed - if it’s blocked like I expect - I wonder if that’ll hurt the Dems or help them (being able to point the finger at Republicans)

Now that you say this, we'll probably never know since you have an amazing gift for predicting things incorrectly.
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pppolitics
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« Reply #6784 on: November 10, 2022, 05:00:13 PM »

Is this "Ballot Progress" page on the AZ SOS website any accurate?

https://apps.arizona.vote/info/bps/2022-general-election/33/0
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #6785 on: November 10, 2022, 05:00:25 PM »

I wonder if Tony Evers won WI-03. Lions like it’d be really close.

I wonder if Dems goofed on WI-03. Van Orden only won by 4%.
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TheReckoning
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« Reply #6786 on: November 10, 2022, 05:00:57 PM »

The problem isn't that they weren't in by election day - it's that laws prevent them from being tallied before election day.

Why do Democrats across the western states refuse to change those laws?

Arizona House, Senate and Governorship are Republican controlled.

That’s one state out of like, the 5 that are having problems. Stop deflecting. Why do Democrats in CA, Oregon, Washington, Nevada refuse to change those laws?

That's not a deflection. It's not a partisan problem insomuch as a geographic one. I'd prefer the votes be counted faster but behaving like this is some sort of solely Democratic problem is disingenuous.

So is it a problem with the laws, or a problem with geography? And why do Democratic states have these problems much worse than Republican ones?
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Gracile
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« Reply #6787 on: November 10, 2022, 05:01:58 PM »

I wonder if Tony Evers won WI-03. Lions like it’d be really close.

I wonder if Dems goofed on WI-03. Van Orden only won by 4%.

I wonder if Ron Kind is regretting retiring now.
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xavier110
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« Reply #6788 on: November 10, 2022, 05:02:06 PM »

Even more confusion w.r.t. AZ ballots remaining



I am generally very kind to the election runners here, but I am confused why it’s so difficult to provide the number of outstanding ballots, their “method” and party composition.
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AZDem
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« Reply #6789 on: November 10, 2022, 05:02:12 PM »

The problem isn't that they weren't in by election day - it's that laws prevent them from being tallied before election day.

Why do Democrats across the western states refuse to change those laws?

You mean in AZ where we've had 2 GOP governors and a fully crazy GOP house and senate since 2009? It's their fault things haven't changed, not the Dems. And even when Napolitano was governor from '02-''09 the house and senate were still full of GOP crazies and the only thing they ever really accomplished but passing yearly budget without cutting taxes.

The same crazies that are now screaming FRAUD! because the counting is taking the same amount of time is always does. Every close race since at least 2006 has taken a week or more to count. It's nothing new.

The GQP is just pissed because now every important race is close and they're losing their iron grip on the state and we're becoming more like CO.
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Spectator
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« Reply #6790 on: November 10, 2022, 05:02:14 PM »

I wonder if Tony Evers won WI-03. Lions like it’d be really close.

I wonder if Dems goofed on WI-03. Van Orden only won by 4%.

Kind probably would have narrowly held on based on what we saw elsewhere, but beyond that, Pfaff was probably the strongest Democrat.
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TheReckoning
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« Reply #6791 on: November 10, 2022, 05:03:13 PM »

The problem isn't that they weren't in by election day - it's that laws prevent them from being tallied before election day.

Why do Democrats across the western states refuse to change those laws?

You mean in AZ where we've had 2 GOP governors and a fully crazy GOP house and senate since 2009? It's their fault things haven't changed, not the Dems. And even when Napolitano was governor from '02-''09 the house and senate were still full of GOP crazies and the only thing they ever really accomplished but passing yearly budget without cutting taxes.

The same crazies that are now screaming FRAUD! because the counting is taking the same amount of time is always does. Every close race since at least 2006 has taken a week or more to count. It's nothing new.

The GQP is just pissed because now every important race is close and they're losing their iron grip on the state and we're becoming more like CO.

I’m not talking about AZ. I’m talking about CA, NV, OR, WA, where these problems are worst.
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Pres Mike
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« Reply #6792 on: November 10, 2022, 05:03:47 PM »

The problem isn't that they weren't in by election day - it's that laws prevent them from being tallied before election day.

Why do Democrats across the western states refuse to change those laws?

Arizona House, Senate and Governorship are Republican controlled.

That’s one state out of like, the 5 that are having problems. Stop deflecting. Why do Democrats in CA, Oregon, Washington, Nevada refuse to change those laws?

Presumably because people in those states don't see the current system as a problem and don't care if Republicans in other states do?
But it is a problem. The rest of the country thinks it’s a problem.

The 2020 presidential election couldn’t be called until Nevada finished counting. The Arizona senate race determined control. House control came down to several races in California.

Same thing is happening two years later. Who controls the United States government affects the entire world. If votes can be counted quickly, they should. Other US states and cities count quickly. Brazil, a nation of 215 million people, counts the entire vote in hours.
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Pyro
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« Reply #6793 on: November 10, 2022, 05:04:32 PM »




Per CNN, that batch will not be included in tonight's result.
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pppolitics
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« Reply #6794 on: November 10, 2022, 05:05:46 PM »

This "Ballot Progress" page on AZ's SOS website appears accurate:

https://apps.arizona.vote/info/bps/2022-general-election/33/0

For example:



Greenlee is also shown a completed on the "Ballot Progress" page.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #6795 on: November 10, 2022, 05:05:47 PM »

It begins:


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Yeahsayyeah
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« Reply #6796 on: November 10, 2022, 05:06:13 PM »

On the other hand, most civilized countries don't have this ridiculously long transition/lame duck period, because they don't have to get to Washington on horseback, so these snail pace counts don't matter that much in essence. But, for demcocracy and the trust in institutions it would be clearly better to know who won the next morning and not somewhere at a random moment while doing last minute Christmas shopping.
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #6797 on: November 10, 2022, 05:06:41 PM »

I know PredictIt is wild so take them with a grain of salt. But Hobbs odds sky rocketed and Lakes fell …. Then all of a sudden a reversal back to original stance (Lake 68 / Hobbs high 30’s)

Did something change in that period or?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #6798 on: November 10, 2022, 05:07:22 PM »

So do we all want to agree that there should be a NATIONAL standard for conduct of an election and counting ballots?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #6799 on: November 10, 2022, 05:07:32 PM »


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