Florida 2022 Megathread
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Author Topic: Florida 2022 Megathread  (Read 57183 times)
Senator Incitatus
AMB1996
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1150 on: November 07, 2022, 03:13:55 PM »

based on the early vote, Crist probably ekes out a win in his home county of Pinellas.


I actually dont care much for the other races only the Florida ones. If the GOP loses tomorrow, then they should by all means put the blame on Trump so that they can get rid of his hold on the party once in for all. I am actually crossing my fingers that the GOP may underperform tomorrow nationally so that Trump will not have a talking point or narrative that the midterm is all about him.
Which of the 5 Statewide Races in Florida Governor, Senate, AG, CFO, Ag Comm will be the closest?

I think CFO! What do you think?

Normally I’d default to AgComm because it’s open, but given the enormous gulf in quality between the two candidates, I’m tempted to agree. Could even be Senate due to Demings’s strong but hopeless campaign.
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1151 on: November 07, 2022, 03:20:03 PM »

based on the early vote, Crist probably ekes out a win in his home county of Pinellas.


I actually dont care much for the other races only the Florida ones. If the GOP loses tomorrow, then they should by all means put the blame on Trump so that they can get rid of his hold on the party once in for all. I am actually crossing my fingers that the GOP may underperform tomorrow nationally so that Trump will not have a talking point or narrative that the midterm is all about him.
Which of the 5 Statewide Races in Florida Governor, Senate, AG, CFO, Ag Comm will be the closest?

I think CFO! What do you think?

Normally I’d default to AgComm because it’s open, but given the enormous gulf in quality between the two candidates, I’m tempted to agree. Could even be Senate due to Demings’s strong but hopeless campaign.
The DEM Candidate for CFO has at least some common sense, no? Aramis Ayala & Naomi Blemur are downright terrible Candidates.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #1152 on: November 07, 2022, 04:38:37 PM »

So much for 2016 Michels Evers is winning 51/48 I told him it's a 303 map does anyone listen no, but I still hope Ryan, Beasley and McMULLIN win

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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1153 on: November 07, 2022, 04:48:23 PM »

There is one Atlas Moderator whom I would like to make a little bit of fun and that's DEREICH who claimed that Hurricane IAN would be a net negative when it comes to Turnout in SWFL for DeSantis.

Nowhere to be true. Lee County, which was hardest hit by IAN, will hit 45 % Turnout today.
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1154 on: November 07, 2022, 08:13:48 PM »

2016 PROJECTION

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iceman
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« Reply #1155 on: November 08, 2022, 07:29:36 AM »
« Edited: November 08, 2022, 07:37:03 AM by iceman »

As is expected looks like EDay votes in Florida are heavily R based on the early returns today.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #1156 on: November 08, 2022, 08:20:04 AM »

So, how many counties does Crist win?

At this point, I think the only ones he's absolutely certain to win are Alachua, Broward, Gadsden and Leon.

DeSantis will likely win every Trump county, the three Trump-Biden counties (Duval, Pinellas, Seminole), Hillsborough and Miami-Dade. Osceola is a pure tossup. Orange and Palm Beach are leaning towards Crist, but I don't think either is safe for him, especially the latter.
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iceman
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« Reply #1157 on: November 08, 2022, 08:24:39 AM »
« Edited: November 08, 2022, 08:34:28 AM by iceman »

Orange is most likely Crist. Palm Beach DEM advantage is shrinking fast with the EDay votes coming strong for GOP.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #1158 on: November 08, 2022, 08:42:25 AM »

Finally admit DeSantis and Abbott are gonna get close to 60% Rubio isn't gonna outperforming DeSantis and DEMINGS is looking at another run in 24 with non Latino Rick Scott
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1159 on: November 08, 2022, 08:48:12 AM »

Republicans have a 3,000 Ballot lead in Pinellas County; On the verge of taking the lead in Hillsborough County.

Over 350,000 Floridians have already voted this E-Day. This is going to be a Record Midterm Turnout in FL if this continues.

And the notions that High Turnout will only favor Democrats is going to be debunked in FL and most likely elsewhere.

Pinellas GOP lead is most definitly good News for Anna-Paulina Luna.
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Unelectable Bystander
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« Reply #1160 on: November 08, 2022, 08:59:48 AM »

Republicans have a 3,000 Ballot lead in Pinellas County; On the verge of taking the lead in Hillsborough County.

Over 350,000 Floridians have already voted this E-Day. This is going to be a Record Midterm Turnout in FL if this continues.

And the notions that High Turnout will only favor Democrats is going to be debunked in FL and most likely elsewhere.

Pinellas GOP lead is most definitly good News for Anna-Paulina Luna.

Where’s the link for all counties?
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1161 on: November 08, 2022, 09:06:58 AM »

Republicans have a 3,000 Ballot lead in Pinellas County; On the verge of taking the lead in Hillsborough County.

Over 350,000 Floridians have already voted this E-Day. This is going to be a Record Midterm Turnout in FL if this continues.

And the notions that High Turnout will only favor Democrats is going to be debunked in FL and most likely elsewhere.

Pinellas GOP lead is most definitly good News for Anna-Paulina Luna.

Where’s the link for all counties?

FL SWING COUNTIES

https://www.freshtake.vote/home/index.php?county=Hillsborough

https://www.freshtake.vote/home/index.php?county=Pinellas

https://www.freshtake.vote/home/index.php?county=Duval

https://www.freshtake.vote/home/index.php?county=Seminole
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Unelectable Bystander
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« Reply #1162 on: November 08, 2022, 09:18:41 AM »

Republicans have a 3,000 Ballot lead in Pinellas County; On the verge of taking the lead in Hillsborough County.

Over 350,000 Floridians have already voted this E-Day. This is going to be a Record Midterm Turnout in FL if this continues.

And the notions that High Turnout will only favor Democrats is going to be debunked in FL and most likely elsewhere.

Pinellas GOP lead is most definitly good News for Anna-Paulina Luna.

Where’s the link for all counties?

FL SWING COUNTIES

https://www.freshtake.vote/home/index.php?county=Hillsborough

https://www.freshtake.vote/home/index.php?county=Pinellas

https://www.freshtake.vote/home/index.php?county=Duval

https://www.freshtake.vote/home/index.php?county=Seminole

Thank you. I wonder if there is anything similar for other states with registration party such as AZ, NV, PA, and NC. I think it would be very telling of how much the E-day vote is skewing.
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iceman
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« Reply #1163 on: November 08, 2022, 09:20:15 AM »

If anyone is familiar, what time of the day does it usually has the most voters on Eday?
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Unelectable Bystander
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« Reply #1164 on: November 08, 2022, 09:21:42 AM »

Republicans have a 3,000 Ballot lead in Pinellas County; On the verge of taking the lead in Hillsborough County.

Over 350,000 Floridians have already voted this E-Day. This is going to be a Record Midterm Turnout in FL if this continues.

And the notions that High Turnout will only favor Democrats is going to be debunked in FL and most likely elsewhere.

Pinellas GOP lead is most definitly good News for Anna-Paulina Luna.

Where’s the link for all counties?

FL SWING COUNTIES

https://www.freshtake.vote/home/index.php?county=Hillsborough

https://www.freshtake.vote/home/index.php?county=Pinellas

https://www.freshtake.vote/home/index.php?county=Duval

https://www.freshtake.vote/home/index.php?county=Seminole

For convenience being in the same spot

https://tqv.vrswebapps.com/?state=FL&county=DAD
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citizenZ
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« Reply #1165 on: November 08, 2022, 01:17:35 PM »



Holy cow!
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iceman
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« Reply #1166 on: November 08, 2022, 01:20:53 PM »

for some reason Orange and Lee counties are not updating their election day ballots. But for the rest of Florida, the GOP is killing it everywhere and it is essentially tied in Broward county!
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TodayJunior
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« Reply #1167 on: November 08, 2022, 03:09:49 PM »

This is a full blown apocalyptic 10.5 earthquake. Going to bed early tonight. Congrats, Republicans. You definitely earned this one.
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Hope For A New Era
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« Reply #1168 on: November 08, 2022, 03:54:34 PM »

I guess we just blame the hurricane?

Whatever. Any Democrats who hadn't already given up on this state are getting what they deserve. Literally just dissolve the state party. Let it rot. We're wasting time, money, and effort on a state that is always going to be decided by Cuban Socialism Psychosis and Midwestern boomer retirees.

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iceman
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« Reply #1169 on: November 08, 2022, 04:13:02 PM »

Looking more like a >1M margin for DeSantis
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EastwoodS
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« Reply #1170 on: November 08, 2022, 05:06:28 PM »

My mom and her BF live in FL and she just called me and told me there’s a one hour wait to vote in Ft. Myers. It’s going to be a landslide
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Unelectable Bystander
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« Reply #1171 on: November 08, 2022, 05:38:18 PM »

It truly looks like 60% for DeSantis
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iceman
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« Reply #1172 on: November 08, 2022, 07:07:54 PM »

Crist leading 56-42. Titanium D!
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Woody
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« Reply #1173 on: November 08, 2022, 08:15:25 PM »

PALM BEACH!!
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1174 on: November 08, 2022, 08:23:09 PM »

EVERYBODY,
I cannot believe what I am seeing! What Ron DeSantis is doing was an absolute PIPE DREAM for the last twenty years. This is CRAZY!
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