Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[pbrower2a]

https://twitter.com/PollsandOdds/status/1456293020194725894?s=20

Civiqs had Biden underwater in March. It’s bullsh*t

That's a slight (if perhaps not statistically significant) uptick for President Biden.  He needs some successes if he is not to be the New Jimmy Carter who ushers in a new and protracted era of politics opposite his. That's mirror-image Marxism, the endorsement of the very practices, behaviors, and conditions that Marxists attribute to capitalism, differing with the Marxists only in endorsing the vileness of capitalism at its worst (inequality, militarism, class privilege, plutocratic organization, and managerial brutality) as virtues.

Where is the maps, man? C'mon, we need the maps!

Btw, per CNN's exit-poll Biden's approval in Virginia is at 46/53.

I can't find them!

I 'd love to show them. I'm not going to say that the current bad polling will go in any direction, but showing how bad things got may have some interest should things change. In the last map I had my first polling numbers for Minnesota and Ohio. [

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/PollsandOdds/status/1456293020194725894?s=20

Civiqs had Biden underwater in March. It’s bullsh*t

That's a slight (if perhaps not statistically significant) uptick for President Biden.  He needs some successes if he is not to be the New Jimmy Carter who ushers in a new and protracted era of politics opposite his. That's mirror-image Marxism, the endorsement of the very practices, behaviors, and conditions that Marxists attribute to capitalism, differing with the Marxists only in endorsing the vileness of capitalism at its worst (inequality, militarism, class privilege, plutocratic organization, and managerial brutality) as virtues.

Where is the maps, man? C'mon, we need the maps!

Btw, per CNN's exit-poll Biden's approval in Virginia is at 46/53.

It won't matter next yr when infrastructure and  Spending is passed and Biden is above 50

Perhaps, or, perhaps not. Most experts thinks "sticky" inflation will last at least to the summer 2022, which means real wage will be sinking. Moreover, oil prices seem, too, to be pretty high. GASOLINE!

https://edition.cnn.com/2021/11/04/business/opec-russia-oil-gas-prices-climate/index.html
Gasoline prices are soaring. OPEC and Russia aren't coming to the rescue

To get along with Russia is a good thing, not a bad thing! You should've listened to 45th.

[pbrower2a]

Salman and Vladimir would both like to have Trump again as President.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://twitter.com/PollsandOdds/status/1456293020194725894?s=20

Civiqs had Biden underwater in March. It’s bullsh*t

That's a slight (if perhaps not statistically significant) uptick for President Biden.  He needs some successes if he is not to be the New Jimmy Carter who ushers in a new and protracted era of politics opposite his. That's mirror-image Marxism, the endorsement of the very practices, behaviors, and conditions that Marxists attribute to capitalism, differing with the Marxists only in endorsing the vileness of capitalism at its worst (inequality, militarism, class privilege, plutocratic organization, and managerial brutality) as virtues.

Where is the maps, man? C'mon, we need the maps!

Btw, per CNN's exit-poll Biden's approval in Virginia is at 46/53.

It won't matter next yr when infrastructure and  Spending is passed and Biden is above 50

Perhaps, or, perhaps not. Most experts thinks "sticky" inflation will last at least to the summer 2022, which means real wage will be sinking. Moreover, oil prices seem, too, to be pretty high. GASOLINE!

https://edition.cnn.com/2021/11/04/business/opec-russia-oil-gas-prices-climate/index.html
Gasoline prices are soaring. OPEC and Russia aren't coming to the rescue

To get along with Russia is a good thing, not a bad thing! You should've listened to 45th.

WHAT, Don Jr got the DIRT On Hillary thru Russia meeting at Trump Towers and broke into DNC HQ to get 39 K emails that's why Trump was impeached it's laughable you tell me listen to twice impeached Trump


WE LOST VA, WE DIDNT LOSE A MIDTERM  YET, NO ONE DEFINITELY KNOWS EVEN WITH INFLATION DEFINITELY What BIDEN APPROVALS WILL BE SOME POLLS HAVE BIDEN NOW AT 50 PERCENT

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/PollsandOdds/status/1456293020194725894?s=20

Civiqs had Biden underwater in March. It’s bullsh*t

That's a slight (if perhaps not statistically significant) uptick for President Biden.  He needs some successes if he is not to be the New Jimmy Carter who ushers in a new and protracted era of politics opposite his. That's mirror-image Marxism, the endorsement of the very practices, behaviors, and conditions that Marxists attribute to capitalism, differing with the Marxists only in endorsing the vileness of capitalism at its worst (inequality, militarism, class privilege, plutocratic organization, and managerial brutality) as virtues.

Where is the maps, man? C'mon, we need the maps!

Btw, per CNN's exit-poll Biden's approval in Virginia is at 46/53.

It won't matter next yr when infrastructure and  Spending is passed and Biden is above 50

Perhaps, or, perhaps not. Most experts thinks "sticky" inflation will last at least to the summer 2022, which means real wage will be sinking. Moreover, oil prices seem, too, to be pretty high. GASOLINE!

https://edition.cnn.com/2021/11/04/business/opec-russia-oil-gas-prices-climate/index.html
Gasoline prices are soaring. OPEC and Russia aren't coming to the rescue

To get along with Russia is a good thing, not a bad thing! You should've listened to 45th.

Don Jr got the Fort on Hillary thru Russia meeting at Trump Towers and broke into DNC HQ to get 39 K emails that's why Trump was impeached it's laughable you tell me listen to twice impeached Trump

Don't your own a car? How's inflation in CA?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rich people called celebrities don't care, about gas prices, but no I don't own a car

Riding buses and trains will cost you zero it's free and jumping turnstyles won't get you arrested because public transportation is free due to Covid


It's totally free on SF too, public transportation
Rents are out of control though

[GeorgiaModerate]

Ipsos Core Political Data (weekly), Nov. 3-4, 1005 adults

Approve 48 (+4)
Disapprove 47 (-4)

[pbrower2a]

Ipsos Core Political Data (weekly), Nov. 3-4, 1005 adults

Approve 48 (+4)
Disapprove 47 (-4)

Is the shock over?

We have just endured some of the worst inflation since the Civil War. We have a death toll from COVID-19 that resembles a very bad war. "Afghanistan" is sinking in as a fait accompli by #45.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ipsos Core Political Data (weekly), Nov. 3-4, 1005 adults

Approve 48 (+4)
Disapprove 47 (-4)
.

Biden wound up at 50/45 percent Approvals when he won the FREIWALL last time, it's still a 304 blue wall but Laura Kelly is overperforming and so iwill Andy Beshear, if we win KS, Tim Ryan which is our 53 Rd seat, Katie H and Jackson or Beasley and Nan W can win too


I have donated to Whaley and Ryan

Demings whom is a Socialistic has a DeSantis problem, she or Crist weren't there during Surfside, Debbie Wasserman Schultz, Rubio and DeSantis were that's why Demings is down by 20 pts and Crist by 10 and he is a blue dog

Is the shock over?

We have just endured some of the worst inflation since the Civil War. We have a death toll from COVID-19 that resembles a very bad war. "Afghanistan" is sinking in as a fait accompli by #45.

Andy Beshear in 2023, McMullin and Bill Walker can win too in a blue wave.
Vaccinated Bear thinks Gas prices Trump's Infrastructure abd Spending bill it won't at least not the 304 blue wall which 48 Approvals are close to 50/45

That's why you shouldn't overdonate donate to one wave insurance candidate that's not DEMING'S

NC D's would be silly to nominate another Socialist in Beasley Jackson is a blue dog like Ryan, but Beasley leads in all fundraising

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

D's are in such denial about FL, we ran a Demings socialist candidate in Gillium and we lost and Crist is a retread like TMac

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Colorado, (B/C)-rated Global Strategy Group* (D)


https://live-gsg-new.pantheonsite.io/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/Mountaineer-Q4-Topline-F10.28.21.pdf


Job Approval:
47 (-9 since June)
50 (+10)
strongly 19/41

Corona:
50 (-13)
47 (+14)

Favs:
Biden 45/50, very - 24/40
Trump 38/58, very 24/51


Note, it's D-afilliated pollster!

https://coloradosun.com/2021/11/03/colorado-democrats-poll-november-2021/


Let's hope, pbrower2a stops making excuses and gives us a MAP!

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Texas, University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll ,1,200 registered voters was conducted online from Oct. 22-31


https://www.texastribune.org/2021/11/05/texas-poll-greg-abbott-beto-orourke/


Job Approval
Biden 35/55
Abbot 43/48

[BigSerg]

Ipsos Core Political Data (weekly), Nov. 3-4, 1005 adults

Approve 48 (+4)
Disapprove 47 (-4)

Is the shock over?

We have just endured some of the worst inflation since the Civil War. We have a death toll from COVID-19 that resembles a very bad war. "Afghanistan" is sinking in as a fait accompli by #45.

No.

[Sir Mohamed]

Ipsos Core Political Data (weekly), Nov. 3-4, 1005 adults

Approve 48 (+4)
Disapprove 47 (-4)

Is the shock over?

We have just endured some of the worst inflation since the Civil War. We have a death toll from COVID-19 that resembles a very bad war. "Afghanistan" is sinking in as a fait accompli by #45.

Not yet; not before Manchin, Sinema and Blue Dogs in the House get their sh-t together and actually send meaningful bills to Biden's desk.

[roxas11]

I just saw the latest job report and I wonder what political impact this news will have on Biden



I do think that if things keep going in this direction that Biden and Dems will eventually start to benefit from the economy. Even with inflation that still may not enough to hide the fact that were are in the middle of a booming economy and that could be a big problem for the GOP since thier message in 2022 will be primarily all about inflation.

At this point the GOP needs to hope that inflation becomes a bigger deal by 2022 but if economics turn out to right and inflation starts to decline during 2022 than the GOP economic message may not be as effective by November 2022

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Obvs, it's good news and will likely help Biden, if persists. But it's not "booming economy" it's moderate recovery (as for now). 4 millions jobs down since 2020, and 6 mln fewer than "trajectory".

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I just saw the latest job report and I wonder what political impact this news will have on Biden



I do think that if things keep going in this direction that Biden and Dems will eventually start to benefit from the economy. Even with inflation that still may not enough to hide the fact that were are in the middle of a booming economy and that could be a big problem for the GOP since thier message in 2022 will be primarily all about inflation.

At this point the GOP needs to hope that inflation becomes a bigger deal by 2022 but if economics turn out to right and inflation starts to decline during 2022 than the GOP economic message may not be as effective by November 2022

Not huge because Biden Approvals are tied to inflation high gas prices it's not about the 304 map, the Senate is most likely and Give to have 304 Govs it's about the H without VR, voter suppression in red states are gonna cost D's in red states Seats

Manchin just knocked down reporters question on a VR or Debt Ceiling carve out and he says he is a compromiser blue dog not a partisan liberal and if D's want to get rid of Filibuster hold the H and elect 52 Senators

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/PollProjectUSA/status/1456659095700705285?s=20

[pbrower2a]

After the infrastructure bill, a political BFD upon which the President has staked everything, I can basically start over with polls  that have been hideous. Those are worth showing as a contrast to what may emerge. Legislative successes can decide success or failure of an Administration, even if it is only one big one (like Obama's Affordable Care Act).

Folks, legislative successes are leadership. I'm not going to predict how such will appear in subsequent polling. It is far too easy to measure that, and polls will measure that.

So there is mass resistance to the President's reasonable means of crushing an enemy that makes Osama bin Laden look like a piker even if such resistance leads to mass death. We have the President's foreign policy blind-0sided in Afghanistan because of a fait accompli that the previous President "gave" us -- and also gave the unfortunate people of Afghanistan. (I am no prophet, but I have every cause to believe that we will end up with American boots on the ground in Afghanistan; I don't trust the Taliban to make the right choice on anything).   

Approval

[/quote]

I will need to backtrack. Of course, I am tempted to start "Biden approval ratings thread, 1.1" as the infrastructure bill will decide whether Democrats have a chance of winning the Presidency in 2024.   

[pbrower2a]

Backtracking starts here.

https://twitter.com/PollsandOdds/status/1456305354254561282?s=20

[/quote]

Biden approval:

negative and  below 40%

With numbers like these, the Republican party should end up with the sort of power in America that the Communist Party has in China, and for a very long time.

[pbrower2a]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1453728970508177422?s=20

New Hampshire, (A/B)-rated Saint Anselm College, 1323 New Hampshire registered voters.

https://htv-prod-media.s3.amazonaws.com/files/saintanselmcollegesurveyoctober2021-1635277209.pdf

Approvals
Biden 44/56 (strongly 19/52)
Sununu 56/42
Shaheen 46/48
Hassan 44/50

GB - R+3

Would you say that things in our country are heading in the right direction, or have things
gotten off on the wrong track?

    Right 21%
    Wrong 68%

Connecticut: PPP, Oct. 21-22, 729 LV

Approve 48
Disapprove 43

https://mobile.twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1453021819691311114

[/quote]

Biden approval:


positive and between 50% and 54%
positive and under 50%
white: tie
negativeand between 45% and 49%
negative and between 40% and 45%
negative and  below 40% [

With numbers like these, the Republican party should end up with the sort of power in America that the Communist Party has in China, and for a very long time.

[pbrower2a]

Go back to page 107, and approval numbers for President Biden are nearly 50% nationwide.

The map that I have looks like a good place from which to restart. All polls are from before the passage of the infrastructure bill, and this shows what a failed Presidency looks like.  President Biden would win California, Massachusetts, and New York, so that precludes the Republicans winning a landslide of the style of Reagan in 1980, at least in the Electoral College. 

Salivate, O Republicans, for this is the prettiest map you are likely to see (unless you see one of those medieval maps better known for artistic value than for geographical accuracy I expect plenty of approval polls being taken even this weekend. I'm not predicting which ones and how they will look.   

[pbrower2a]

OK -- it turns out that CIVIQs has fiffty state polls, so I in fact have far more data here. These are interactive polls, and they really should not be compared to others except between other such polls. All fifty states are included, which is something that no other pollster offers.  

I still do not fully trust interactive polls, and these are the first of this kind to be released.  I have seen no polls of this kind at least since the Trump Presidency, and I almost expect these to come out regularly. They might be especially good as fill-ins for states that rarely get polled (like Illinois).

[/quote]

Biden approval:

positive and over 55%
between 50% and 54%
positive and under 50%
white=tie
negative and between 45% and 49%
negative and between 40% and 44%
negative and  below 40%

Some general comments on what I see:

1. This map suggests that if running for re-election, Joe Biden would get somewhere near 110 electoral votes.  

2. Democrats will be trounced in the 2022 Congressional election and can expect to lose just about everything contested in the Senate.

3. Although predictions of the death of a political party are hysterical, the GOP is much more ruthless and fanatical than it was in the Reagan era and far more so than Democrats in FDR's time. The sorts of politicians who are the mainstream within the GOP  are no more trustworthy with human rights, civil liberties, the rule of law, and respect for ideological difference than are Commies, fascists, Ba'athists, or Iranian Hezbollah.

I'll stop there. You can imagine the rest.  

"Einigkeit und Recht und Freiheit!"

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It doesn't mean much Biden only needs to be at 50/45 to be where he was on Election night it's a 304 map

Kelly is Leading in KS if she overperformed and a Clarity polls showw her leading there can be a blue wave

48/47 is very close to 50/45, but Newsom and the Ds keep giving out child tax credits that benefits Immigrants instead of passing a stimulus that benefits SSA people too and Seniors don't get a Stimulus is a slap in the face especially in a retirement state like FL, many Seniors have grown kids over 24 and Newsom is a DLC Dem he wanted me to donate to him, NOT


I will only donate to Ryan, Whaley and if Jackson wins the primary to him real reform, Ryan on his website says internal.polls show him tied at 38%, the Rs ever since polling began hasn't had a substantial lead in OH every poll had been tied and that similar to KS and KY polls in 2018/19

D's aren't losing IL and Biden leads in WI
It's a yr before the Election

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1457414545266327553?s=20