Georgia senate seats runoff(s) megathread

[EastwoodS]

Holy crap those Gwinnett numbers!!!

What are they? Who does it benefit?

[They not like us]

Give it to me straight—how’s it looking so far

[Kalimantan]

There's now a 3 point gap between Perdue and Loeffler. I can't see any candidate winning by 3% of more given the results right now so this might be an indication we are headed for a split verdict?

For some reason Rockdale has reported votes in the Loefffler race but not the Perdue one, about 10000 votes total which accounts for most of the difference

[MillennialModerate]

Ossoff has gone from +<0.1% projected margin and 50% chance of winning to 0.1% projected margin and 51% chance of winning. Discuss with maps.

Okay I laughed and in a real laugh not a way you’re insane for thinking this way

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Looks like the polls were right on this one, both Warnock Nd Ossoff are matching Biden numbers in the state

[ProgressiveModerate]

Tossup is still tossup.

[Malarkey Decider]

Give it to me straight—how’s it looking so far

Nobody really knows

[It’s so Joever]

Holy crap those Gwinnett numbers!!!

What are they? Who does it benefit?

Al Gore

[W]

I am going to do a needle dance in the hopes that it influences the needle to bestow good results. Also I encourage everyone to make a sacrifice to the needle (though not one that harms any person or creature).

I had to throw out a sock with too many holes in it yesterday, can that count?

The needle just went from +0.1 R in both races to +0.1D. The dance is working! If anyone (who wants the Ds to win) has not yet done a needle dance or a sacrifice, now is your moment! R's should please not do a needle dance, however................

ANYTHING FOR RADICAL LIBERAL RAPHAEL WARNOCK AND ESTABLISHMENT SOCIALIST JON OSSOFF!

[Adam Griffin]

Give it to me straight—how’s it looking so far

Mixed bag. Problem is many counties we don't know whether it's early in-person vote or mail vote. On balance, raw vote at this point looks slightly better for Democrats than in November. Also, Democratic counties are dumping votes far quicker than November.

[MillennialModerate]

How come every single really postive bit of news feels like sniffing pain killers off of a super models ass and every bit of negative news feels like I just watched my childhood dog get hit by a bus

[ajc0918]

Dems appear to be consistently outperforming the expected margin on NYT needle vote dump watch thing so far.

[Omolloy]

Give it to me straight—how’s it looking so far

Way too early to tell. Seems like Democrats are exceeding their early vote compared to November, but for all we know at this stage, that could just be more Democrats and Republicans bifurcating into early and e-day vote respectively.

[Crumpets]

Give it to me straight—how’s it looking so far

Nobody really knows

It probably won't be a surprise landslide in either direction. That's about where we're at.

[KaiserDave]

How come every single really postive bit of news feels like sniffing pain killers off of a super models ass
and every bit of negative news feels like I just watched my childhood dog get hit by a bus

Get help

[The Free North]

Predictit has reps still winning?

[Thunder98]

It's going to be a long night as both races should be extremely close.

[Holmes]

How come every single really postive bit of news feels like sniffing pain killers off of a super models ass
and every bit of negative news feels like I just watched my childhood dog get hit by a bus

Because deep down you’re a pessimist so bad news hits harder and your brain shrugs off the good news.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Dems appear to be consistently outperforming the expected margin on NYT needle vote dump watch thing so far.

Again, this is the early vote where Democrats likely did better than Biden. Grain of salt for you.

[They not like us]

Give it to me straight—how’s it looking so far

Mixed bag. Problem is many counties we don't know whether it's early in-person vote or mail vote. On balance, raw vote at this point looks slightly better for Democrats than in November. Also, Democratic counties are dumping votes far quicker than November.

So break out the hard stuff either way? Can do.

[Adam Griffin]

CNN expects 28% of vote to be Election Day.

This points to 4.3m votes overall and 1.2m ED votes. Ugh.

[MT Treasurer]

RIP GA's traditional R counting bias

[Omolloy]

How come every single really postive bit of news feels like sniffing pain killers off of a super models ass and every bit of negative news feels like I just watched my childhood dog get hit by a bus

If that is true, there might be much deeper issues going on than just the election

[Alben Barkley]

I'm feeling pretty good right now, they seem to be getting the numbers they need. Fingers crossed...

[WD]

How come every single really postive bit of news feels like sniffing pain killers off of a super models ass and every bit of negative news feels like I just watched my childhood dog get hit by a bus

are you ok?