2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 643537 times)
DaleCooper
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« Reply #9075 on: November 05, 2020, 02:32:07 AM »

I'm wondering if a lot of votes have been counted in PA but not reported yet. There hasn't been any new releases of data in a while.
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AGA
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« Reply #9076 on: November 05, 2020, 02:32:14 AM »

You guys think Fox was premature in calling Arizona or do they know something we don't?
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #9077 on: November 05, 2020, 02:32:33 AM »

90,000 ballots across the state of GA. SOS won't speak until the morning, as they counting furiously through the night.

Is 90,000 enough?

The way they've been going so far, yes.

Yes, it would be around +68,000 votes for Biden, which would put GA at Biden+1 or so, with a margin of +45,000.


Note: I'm being conservative by giving Biden 75% of these ballots, which is a bit under where he's been so far with these votes.
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ObamaMichael
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« Reply #9078 on: November 05, 2020, 02:33:15 AM »

You guys think Fox was premature in calling Arizona or do they know something we don't?

It was indeed a premature calling, but I still hope it was a right calling. I want to stop thinking about Joe's chances in PA and GA
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musicblind
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« Reply #9079 on: November 05, 2020, 02:33:18 AM »

You guys think Fox was premature in calling Arizona or do they know something we don't?

Premature, but they still have a chance of being right.
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GoTfan
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« Reply #9080 on: November 05, 2020, 02:34:51 AM »

A bit concerned about Arizona
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jfern
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« Reply #9081 on: November 05, 2020, 02:35:04 AM »

You guys think Fox was premature in calling Arizona or do they know something we don't?

Premature, but they still have a chance of being right.

They're probably right, but still premature.
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chickentitilater
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« Reply #9082 on: November 05, 2020, 02:35:20 AM »

According to the Philadelphia county website, turnout was 51% and they’ve received a total of 233583
Mail votes with 97% counted.

https://results.philadelphiavotes.com/VoterTurnoutDetails.aspx?&cat=PREC
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Pyro
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« Reply #9083 on: November 05, 2020, 02:36:24 AM »

You guys think Fox was premature in calling Arizona or do they know something we don't?

Premature, but they still have a chance of being right.

They're probably right, but still premature.

It's a bit premature still, but I think they may be right.
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philly09
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« Reply #9084 on: November 05, 2020, 02:36:37 AM »

You guys think Fox was premature in calling Arizona or do they know something we don't?

As someone said earlier, the most GOP heavy county, Yavapai County, has finished counting. Trump will get votes from Maricopa, but not enough to pass Joe. Ruben Gallago's part of Maricopa has yet to report.  
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Andy Hine
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« Reply #9085 on: November 05, 2020, 02:36:47 AM »


Of course you are.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #9086 on: November 05, 2020, 02:36:54 AM »

According to the Philadelphia county website, turnout was 51% and they’ve received a total of 233583
Mail votes with 97% counted.

https://results.philadelphiavotes.com/VoterTurnoutDetails.aspx?&cat=PREC

Listen to the SOS here. These state websites are likely not updating at these hours. Alternatively, we can just wait until tomorrow and stop speculating.
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AGA
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« Reply #9087 on: November 05, 2020, 02:37:25 AM »

According to the Philadelphia county website, turnout was 51% and they’ve received a total of 233583
Mail votes with 97% counted.

https://results.philadelphiavotes.com/VoterTurnoutDetails.aspx?&cat=PREC

How is that possible?
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roxas11
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« Reply #9088 on: November 05, 2020, 02:37:58 AM »

You guys think Fox was premature in calling Arizona or do they know something we don't?

Not only did they make the call they also spent 24 hours defending it
they have not tried to walk it back at all

because of that this I have to believe that they are seeing data that has them convinced that trump will not catch up to Biden in AZ
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
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« Reply #9089 on: November 05, 2020, 02:38:12 AM »

You guys think Fox was premature in calling Arizona or do they know something we don't?

Not sure but my guess is their confidence comes from precinct level results they're seeing. It's possible Biden is exceeding his benchmarks in each neighborhood in Maricopa.
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GoTfan
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« Reply #9090 on: November 05, 2020, 02:38:28 AM »


Rack off mate. I'm sitting in the mental ward of my hospital because I suffered a mental collapse yesterday.
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philly09
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« Reply #9091 on: November 05, 2020, 02:39:23 AM »

New AZ numbers:

62,00 ballots counted

Biden: 912,585 51%

Trump: 838,071 47%

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Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook
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« Reply #9092 on: November 05, 2020, 02:39:39 AM »


Rack off mate. I'm sitting in the mental ward of my hospital because I suffered a mental collapse yesterday.
Election-related?
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Andy Hine
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« Reply #9093 on: November 05, 2020, 02:40:00 AM »


Rack off mate. I'm sitting in the mental ward of my hospital because I suffered a mental collapse yesterday.

I'm sorry to hear that. You shouldn't take elections that seriously. None of this matters in the grand scheme of things.
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Pyro
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« Reply #9094 on: November 05, 2020, 02:40:10 AM »

Per CNN, 62K new Maricopa ballot count.

Biden: 912,585, 51%
Trump: 838,071, 47%
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chickentitilater
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« Reply #9095 on: November 05, 2020, 02:40:28 AM »

According to the Philadelphia county website, turnout was 51% and they’ve received a total of 233583
Mail votes with 97% counted.

https://results.philadelphiavotes.com/VoterTurnoutDetails.aspx?&cat=PREC

How is that possible?

What was expected?
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OBD
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« Reply #9096 on: November 05, 2020, 02:41:44 AM »

Per CNN, 62K new Maricopa ballot count.

Biden: 912,585, 51%
Trump: 838,071, 47%
is this good?
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #9097 on: November 05, 2020, 02:41:52 AM »

You guys think Fox was premature in calling Arizona or do they know something we don't?
I don't think it was premature. They obviously had access to data most didn't and had reason enough to have reasonable confidence that they could call it.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #9098 on: November 05, 2020, 02:43:52 AM »

Per CNN, 62K new Maricopa ballot count.

Biden: 912,585, 51%
Trump: 838,071, 47%
is this good?

It was the last update where Trump was expected to do better, and he netted only +11k. The rest is from reliably blue areas (like Gallego's district).
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Pyro
PyroTheFox
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« Reply #9099 on: November 05, 2020, 02:43:56 AM »

Per CNN, 62K new Maricopa ballot count.

Biden: 912,585, 51%
Trump: 838,071, 47%
is this good?

Moves the needle to Trump a bit. If that keeps up, Trump will catch up in AZ. Dunno if it will though.
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