2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Stuart98]

Looks like both Biden and Peters should be fine in MI. Much more of a close shave than it should have been though.

But PA.....?

I think he pulls through in PA but lots of unknowns. 306 map looking very good.

[NOVA Green]

Many of y'all appear to be forgetting the concept of the "Red Mirage".

PA, WI, and MI are the exact reverse of that, where once again DEM Cities in Swing States in the Midwest are the last to turn out the vote.

Keep Calm, don't panic, fundamental numbers look good in all three States (Plus we got AZ and NE-02 and possibly GA & NC as backups).

Work Swing Shift West Coast, so nowhere close to crash yet tonight.

[politics_king]

https://twitter.com/reidepstein/status/1323926165590052864

Get it together!

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

WTF is happening with Decision Desk in Georgia?

[Tekken_Guy]

People underestimate Democrats chances in 2022. Suburbanites are more important in midterms than presidential elections because there’s a lot of low info WWC voters who only vote when the president is on the ballot. So a lot of those low info Trumpists won’t come out to vote in 2022

Those “low info WWC voters” are still more reliable than people of color.

[Hope For A New Era]

How is Georgia looking?

Sorry for all the questions, results pages are refusing to load on my phone.

[soundchaser]

WTF is happening with Decision Desk in Georgia?

What do you mean?

[Tender Branson]

Even if Biden wins WI and MI, it seems PA and NV are lost causes.

There are also not enough votes left for him in GA or NC, right ?

Nevada will go to Biden, Georgia's remaining votes is in the Atlanta area which is heavily Democrat. North Carolina, I'm not sure but the margin is 70k votes. But if Biden gets Wisconsin & Michigan, it's over.

Isn't what's left in NV mostly R-leaning election day votes ?

Same in AZ(which is also not really safe at this point), GA and NC  ?

I would assume what's left in the upper states is just mail-votes, which could lead to big Biden vote dumps, but that might still not be enough for PA ...

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

WTF is happening with Decision Desk in Georgia?

What do you mean?

It's saying 99% of the vote in on their website. Is it a misentry?

[VBM]

Many of y'all appear to be forgetting the concept of the "Red Mirage".

PA, WI, and MI are the exact reverse of that, where once again DEM Cities in Swing States in the Midwest are the last to turn out the vote.

Keep Calm, don't panic, fundamental numbers look good in all three States (Plus we got AZ and NE-02 and possibly GA & NC as backups).

Work Swing Shift West Coast, so nowhere close to crash yet tonight.

Is NC not already gone?

[MillennialModerate]

I’m sorry but what are you guys seeing that gives Wisconsin to Biden?! 9k is not holding up

[DaleCooper]

WTF is happening with Decision Desk in Georgia?

What do you mean?

It's saying 99% of the vote in on their website. Is it a misentry?

That has to be a mistake. I thought that Atlanta couldn't resume counting until 10 am?

[soundchaser]

WTF is happening with Decision Desk in Georgia?

What do you mean?

It's saying 99% of the vote in on their website. Is it a misentry?

Well, we know it’s literally impossible because of Atlanta, so it must be an error.

[Stuart98]

WTF is happening with Decision Desk in Georgia?

What do you mean?

It's saying 99% of the vote in on their website. Is it a misentry?

Yeah that's wrong. I think they're going by partially reported precincts. Trust NYT over them.

[gf20202]

I’m sorry but what are you guys seeing that gives Wisconsin to Biden?! 9k is not holding up

The remaining vote is basically all absentee votes which will either go slightly to Biden or heavily to Biden.

[MillennialModerate]

I’m sorry but what are you guys seeing that gives Wisconsin to Biden?! 9k is not holding up

The remaining vote is basically all absentee votes which will either go slightly to Biden or heavily to Biden.

Even the Green Bay ones?

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Are we at a relative stand-still in AZ?

[Meclazine for Israel]

Have now included NC.

WI - Biden up by 8,789 (89% counted)

Of the remaining 389,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 190,400 of them. (48.8%)

MI - Biden down by 229,500 (78% counted)

Of the remaining 1,218,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 724,024 of them. (59.4%)

GA - Biden down by 102,134 (92% counted)

Of the remaining 406,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 254,000 of them. (62.6%)

NC - Biden down by 76,737 (95% counted)

Of the remaining 283,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 180,000 of them. (63.5%)

PA - Biden down by 677,988 (74% counted)

Of the remaining 1,850,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 1,257,000 of them. (67.8%)

Biden needs to win 2 of the above 5 scenarios to win. One more state in addition to WI, and he will be elected as POTUS.

[forsythvoter]

Remaining Green Bay votes are from city of Green Bay, which was Hillary +4K or so

I’m sorry but what are you guys seeing that gives Wisconsin to Biden?! 9k is not holding up

The remaining vote is basically all absentee votes which will either go slightly to Biden or heavily to Biden.

Even the Green Bay ones?

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

So are the next big numbers gonna come out of Michigan?

[JerryArkansas]

I’m sorry but what are you guys seeing that gives Wisconsin to Biden?! 9k is not holding up

The remaining vote is basically all absentee votes which will either go slightly to Biden or heavily to Biden.

Even the Green Bay ones?

The city voted for Hillary in 2016.

So are the next big numbers gonna come out of Michigan?

Right now the Margin is Under a 100 Thousand, so any big county with a big drop could send it over the edge.  I'd expect either Wayne or Oakland will update later this morning.

[gf20202]

I’m sorry but what are you guys seeing that gives Wisconsin to Biden?! 9k is not holding up

The remaining vote is basically all absentee votes which will either go slightly to Biden or heavily to Biden.

Even the Green Bay ones?

Yes, Kenosha was red with what came in previously but even then Biden gained 9k in the absentee portions. This is the reverse of what happened earlier in Florida where it started dem and finished republican because Wisconsin counted mostly election day first.

[politics_king]

WTF is happening with Decision Desk in Georgia?

What do you mean?

It's saying 99% of the vote in on their website. Is it a misentry?

That has to be a mistake. I thought that Atlanta couldn't resume counting until 10 am?

It is. They still have 9% if I'm not mistaken or 7% left

[The3rdParty]

Is AZ not safe it seems like it’s tightening fast

[President Johnson]

Florida is really the shocker of the night. I mean, I could have seen Trump winning it, but not by this much. Especially Miami-Dade. I wonder whether Bernie would have lost the county? If he was the nominee, he would have gotten destroyed in the state, even if he won the election as a whole.