2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Calthrina950]

Trump has won.

Not yet. I still think Biden is a narrow favorite, but a Trump victory would not surprise me at all at this point.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

We going to talk about that Trump Rhode Island lead? LOL

Yeah, overwhelmingly in-person votes are being counted first (the reverse of NC).

[forsythvoter]

This is looking like a repeat of 2016, with rurals swinging even further R and metro areas swinging even more D. Question is which trend outweighs the other.

[Storr]

it's over!!
https://twitter.com/IntelDoge/status/1323819770748280833?s=20

Who is this and why should we trust them?

[forza nocta]

2020 man

[DrScholl]

If Ohio's closeness is any indicator then Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin will flip.

[Storebought]

I was wrong when I said a president can't run on a "law-and-order" platform twice. Well, partially wrong -- Trump couldn't go with that message with white voters, but did so in spades with Hispanic voters.

But I am glad my last posted map was the "doomer" one. I never once believed Biden would win FL.

[win win]

that 91 mile line in Arizona was a key
nate silver is a fraud

[Suburbia]

Moral of the story:

People vote FOR something.

Not against something. 

Biden is for moderation, economics, etc

[Santander]

Biden-Harris wins, but closely.....

If Biden retires in '24, Harris needs to do better with black men.......

On ABC News, they were discussing Biden's weaknesses with black voters. As a black man myself, I detest Kamala Harris, and voted for Biden in spite of her. This is definitely an area of concern for Democrats moving forward.

All of my African-American friends hate Kamala Harris for her "political blackface" of sorts. But the problem is the (largely white) elites in the Democratic Party see her and thinks she checks demographic boxes, and decides she's the future. Cory Booker would've been a far better choice to energize black voters.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I'm not feeling certain about Biden winning NC.

[South Dakota Democrat]

It's getting closer and closer.

Biden will not win.

You mind repeating that?  I don't think we heard you the first 50 times.

[Badger]

Moral of the story:

People vote FOR something.

Not against something. 

Please. I'm not saying Democrats didn't run negative ads, but you cannot with a straight face argue that Biden campaign was fundamentally about voting for something as opposed to Trump's being almost entirely about the evil of the Socialist radicals taking over

[It’s so Joever]

Never underestimate the stupidity, selfishness, and downright blindness of the American people.

[SPQR]

Johnston County almost all counted in NC, not too bad for Biden
2020: 36,3K - 54,9K
2016: 28,3K - 54,3K

[tjstarling]

Moral of the story:

People vote FOR something.

Not against something. 

If Trump wins, how is this statement true? His campaign is all about being against stuff not for stuff. That’s his appeal. What’s evident more than ever is many people don’t vote ideologically, vote for a candidate that resembles themselves.

[GoTfan]

Trump has won.

Not yet. I still think Biden is a narrow favorite, but a Trump victory would not surprise me at all at this point.

No, he has definitely won.

[Suburbia]

Biden-Harris wins, but closely.....

If Biden retires in '24, Harris needs to do better with black men.......

On ABC News, they were discussing Biden's weaknesses with black voters. As a black man myself, I detest Kamala Harris, and voted for Biden in spite of her. This is definitely an area of concern for Democrats moving forward.

All of my African-American friends hate Kamala Harris for her "political blackface" of sorts. But the problem is the (largely white) elites in the Democratic Party see her and thinks she checks demographic boxes, and decides she's the future. Cory Booker would've been a far better choice to energize black voters.

How?

[Illiniwek]

Even if Biden squeaks by with PA, WI, MI, tonight has been a real kick in the d.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

It's getting closer and closer.

Biden will not win.

You mind repeating that?  I don't think we heard you the first 50 times.

TrUmP gOnNa SwEeP tHe WeSt

[Associate Justice PiT]

I'm not feeling certain about Biden winning NC.

     NYT gives a 94% chance of Trump taking it, so that is probably a good idea.

[Pulaski]

Moral of the story:

People vote FOR something.

Not against something.  

Load of nonsense. Name me one thing Trump actually campaigned for in this election. It was entirely "antifa, caravans, political correctness, BLM, protesters, COVID's not a big deal" ad nauseum

[Zanas]

The ticket splitting in RI seems insane !

[ProgressiveModerate]

The NYT trend map is quite interesting: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-president.html?action=click&pgtype=Article&state=default&module=styln-elections-2020&region=TOP_BANNER&context=election_recirc

[Horus]

Yep, this is 2004/1948 all over again.

Fairly unpopular incumbent mismanages a crisis (Coronavirus, Iraq war) but still manages to get reelected off of social issues (ssm, blm).

Also the biggest polling error since 1948. Nate Silver is definitely out of a job.

What a mess.