2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Senator-elect Spark]

Biden getting destroyed in Macomb

[Tender Branson]

If OH goes Trump (which I hope) and Biden squeezes out the Presidency and Trump ends with less than 270, but more than 240 EV, I’d make a lot of money.

Trump better not win more than 269 though ...

I’d still have an insurance bet if he does, but I’d not win that much money.

[Pericles]

https://results.decisiondeskhq.com/ shows that with >99% of the vote in NC, Biden has a .5 point lead. This might be recount territory.

So Cunningham is down by just 426 votes right now? Another FL 2018 mess (but Cunningham might be favored with late ballots).

[The Ex-Factor]

If you click on https://results.decisiondeskhq.com/2020/general/north_carolina it says estimated 95% in, not 99% as on the front page

[Calthrina950]

Ohio is done.

yeahhhh

https://twitter.com/IntelDoge/status/1323818054267084801?s=20

Trump is apparently flipping Lorain County, Ohio, which Clinton narrowly won last time. That gives us at least one Clinton-Trump county.

[Omega21]

Biden-Harris wins, but closely.....

If Biden retires in '24, Harris needs to do better with black men.......

On ABC News, they were discussing Biden's weaknesses with black voters. As a black man myself, I detest Kamala Harris, and voted for Biden in spite of her. This is definitely an area of concern for Democrats moving forward.

I don't know if the problem is that she is married to a white man (it shouldn't matter), if she wins the vice presidency, she needs to go to more Black neighborhoods

No, the problem is misogyny. Remember when blacks and Hispanics had a very negative opinion of gay marriage? Well, the same is true in this case. In 2016, I remember talking to a number of my male, working-class, nonwhite colleagues who had a very negative opinion of Hillary Clinton ("b****," "c***," etc.). Why? Well, they couldn't quite articulate it in any rational sense. Yeah, we all get it.

Racist

We stand with minorities!!!

Unless they don't vote for us

[GALeftist]

https://results.decisiondeskhq.com/ shows that with >99% of the vote in NC, Biden has a .5 point lead. This might be recount territory.

The senate race lol

OMG, if Biden wins in NC and Cunningham loses I will flip my sh!t

[Storr]

https://results.decisiondeskhq.com/ shows that with >99% of the vote in NC, Biden has a .5 point lead. This might be recount territory.

The senate race lol

426 votes, lordy....

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/IntelDoge/status/1323819343843627008?s=20

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

So far as I can tell Trump is tracking to win Ohio by slightly less than he won it in 2016, with better margins in most working class areas but worse margins in suburbs. Just might go down to the wire in the Blue Wall but I still say Biden has a narrow edge

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Explain? Most of the remaining vote is now in the urban and suburban counties and Biden is still up. The rurals are almost all in except the NE black belt counties.

Whoa, NC is actually looking like a Biden win.

No.

I thought Union was heavily outstanding tho?

[Bootes Void]

Hows Arizona going?

[Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook]

Remember usually the leader at 10PM wins

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

The formerly optimistic half of Democratic Atlas looking at the returns:

[South Dakota Democrat]

Utterly bizarre how early some outlets called Virginia. Trump is *still* leading with around 50% reporting. Not that I think he'll win, but it's looking far closer than their insta-calls would seem to have suggested.

It was closer than expected in 2016, too.

Yeah, no.  That doesn't mean it'll be close.  Hillary was losing it in 2016 until 82% was reporting, and she won pretty comfortably in the end.

[Santander]

Biden should've picked a white running mate or at least someone like Cory Booker. Let's be real, people.

[Pulaski]

Ohio is done.

yeahhhh

https://twitter.com/IntelDoge/status/1323818054267084801?s=20

Don't more Democratic-leaning areas report later in Ohio? I remember Karl Rove complaining in 2012 when it was called for Obama with only a .5% lead, but Fox's decision desk said "there just aren't enough Republican votes left for Romney to make up the ground"

[Former Crackhead Mike Lindell]

Utterly bizarre how early some outlets called Virginia. Trump is *still* leading with around 50% reporting. Not that I think he'll win, but it's looking far closer than their insta-calls would seem to have suggested.

It was closer than expected in 2016, too.

NYT shows 43% counted.

Ah I'm going by AP.



(Not that I think Trump will win - just that it's odd it was called so early.)

[Dr. Arch]

Biden getting destroyed in Macomb

2% of the vote in is early vote...

[BigSerg]

it's over!!
https://twitter.com/IntelDoge/status/1323819770748280833?s=20

[AncestralDemocrat.]

NY times has Trump at a 95% chance in NC.

[forsythvoter]

Yeah, nvm, looking at wrong % of total vote. Calculus is basically can Biden lose Union and Johnston by less than 50K votes combined.

Explain? Most of the remaining vote is now in the urban and suburban counties and Biden is still up. The rurals are almost all in except the NE black belt counties.

Whoa, NC is actually looking like a Biden win.

No.

I thought Union was heavily outstanding tho?

[Bootes Void]

NY times has Trump at a 95% chance in NC.

What does Fox say?

[NYSforKennedy2024]

It's getting closer and closer.

[Badger]

Ohio is done.

yeahhhh

https://twitter.com/IntelDoge/status/1323818054267084801?s=20

Trump is apparently flipping Lorain County, Ohio, which Clinton narrowly won last time. That gives us at least one Clinton-Trump county.

And, as is consistent for the night, the one Ohio County with a significant number of Latino voters.