2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[FrancoAgo]

I predict that Biden underperform Clinton 2016 results both as EV and % of popular vote

[GoTfan]

Trump has won.

[The Free North]

NY times has Trump at a 95% chance in NC.

Tillis is up now. Republicans hold the senate unless Ernst flops.

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/PeterSweden7/status/1323817468008099841?s=20

[R.P. McM]

Biden-Harris wins, but closely.....

If Biden retires in '24, Harris needs to do better with black men.......

On ABC News, they were discussing Biden's weaknesses with black voters. As a black man myself, I detest Kamala Harris, and voted for Biden in spite of her. This is definitely an area of concern for Democrats moving forward.

I don't know if the problem is that she is married to a white man (it shouldn't matter), if she wins the vice presidency, she needs to go to more Black neighborhoods

No, the problem is misogyny. Remember when blacks and Hispanics had a very negative opinion of gay marriage? Well, the same is true in this case. In 2016, I remember talking to a number of my male, working-class, nonwhite colleagues who had a very negative opinion of Hillary Clinton ("b****," "c***," etc.). Why? Well, they couldn't quite articulate it in any rational sense. Yeah, we all get it.

Racist

Yeah, I'm racist because I'm accurately reporting my personal experience, and what public opinion surveys consistently indicated about nonwhite opinion of gay marriage until very recently. Stop it, Tom. I'm not aligned with the political party that almost monolithically supports an authoritarian, racist sexual predator.

[Scottholes 2.0]

Wisconsin is looking scary!

[MasterJedi]

https://twitter.com/PeterSweden7/status/1323817468008099841?s=20

Except CNN never called it for Biden.

[soundchaser]

https://twitter.com/PeterSweden7/status/1323817468008099841?s=20

Ok, no, sorry, something is going on here with mail-in voting. This makes no sense.

[Woody]

GOD I love this timeline.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

None of this makes any god-**** sense, but the vote totals are not lying.

I am a doomer now.

[Bojack Horseman]

Wisconsin is looking scary!

I thought we weren't getting any results until 6am central

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

NY times has Trump at a 95% chance in NC.

Tillis is up now. Republicans hold the senate unless Ernst flops.

Also keep an eye on AK, MT and then consider the GA runoffs.

[GoTfan]

It's getting closer and closer.

Biden will not win.

[lfromnj]

So far as I can tell Trump is tracking to win Ohio by slightly less than he won it in 2016, with better margins in most working class areas but worse margins in suburbs. Just might go down to the wire in the Blue Wall but I still say Biden has a narrow edge

Whats your guess for NM and NV?

I think its Trump's best chances,, I don't care about Ralston calling the registration edge.

[7,052,770]

What's the deal here:
https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2020/general-results/probability-dials

[vitoNova]

Moral of the story:

People vote FOR something.

Not against something. 

[RINO Tom]

Biden-Harris wins, but closely.....

If Biden retires in '24, Harris needs to do better with black men.......

On ABC News, they were discussing Biden's weaknesses with black voters. As a black man myself, I detest Kamala Harris, and voted for Biden in spite of her. This is definitely an area of concern for Democrats moving forward.

I don't know if the problem is that she is married to a white man (it shouldn't matter), if she wins the vice presidency, she needs to go to more Black neighborhoods

No, the problem is misogyny. Remember when blacks and Hispanics had a very negative opinion of gay marriage? Well, the same is true in this case. In 2016, I remember talking to a number of my male, working-class, nonwhite colleagues who had a very negative opinion of Hillary Clinton ("b****," "c***," etc.). Why? Well, they couldn't quite articulate it in any rational sense. Yeah, we all get it.

Racist

Yeah, I'm racist because I'm accurately reporting my personal experience, and what public opinion surveys consistently indicated about nonwhite opinion of gay marriage until very recently. Stop it, Tom. I'm not aligned with the political party that almost monolithically supports an authoritarian, racist sexual predator.

Aligning with a “good” political party doesn’t absolve one of his or her nastier qualities (like racism or classism), as you are excellent proof of.

[The Free North]

Bidens still barely up over 10% in Brownsville, TX. Still has me at a loss for words, don't even know how thats possible.

[LabourJersey]

Remember usually the leader at 10PM wins

We've never seen an election like this before!

100 million votes cast their ballots before election day! states have *wildly* different means and timelines for counting them!

Adages like that don't matter! It's still relatively early!

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

GOD I love this timeline.

2020 never stops!

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Looking good, but not certain for the Democrats getting the trifecta, but I'm done with election coverage for the night.  See y'all tomorrow when we have some certainty.  Elections are not Schroedingerian cats.

[South Dakota Democrat]

Utterly bizarre how early some outlets called Virginia. Trump is *still* leading with around 50% reporting. Not that I think he'll win, but it's looking far closer than their insta-calls would seem to have suggested.

It was closer than expected in 2016, too.

NYT shows 43% counted.

Ah I'm going by AP.



(Not that I think Trump will win - just that it's odd it was called so early.)

It's really not odd, though.  It's a safe state.  Biden will probably win it by double digits, or close to it, in the end.  Who is leading at the time in a state shouldn't matter at all, especially if it's a safe state.  In New Jersey, for example, Republicans are often leading in the early going, but it's typically an insta-call for the Democrats.

[Rules for me, but not for thee]

We going to talk about that Trump Rhode Island lead? LOL

[R.P. McM]

Moral of the story:

People vote FOR something.

Not against something. 

Moral of the story: the average voter is a moron, they get what they deserve, and I'm outta here!

[It’s so Joever]

It's over, I am sorry Atlas. This is the downfall of America.