Mini Tuesday results thread
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Author Topic: Mini Tuesday results thread  (Read 49641 times)
Oryxslayer
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« Reply #75 on: March 10, 2020, 04:13:24 PM »


So lets just ignore anything from Michigan until actual results which will be...when?
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Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
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« Reply #76 on: March 10, 2020, 04:13:49 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on March 10, 2020, 04:09:26 PM
No Michigan returns tonight:



You can thank the Michigan State Legislature for that.
ASS!
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #77 on: March 10, 2020, 04:14:29 PM »
Early exit poll info:

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/live-blog/march-10-primaries-live-updates-democratic-presidential-candidates-face-6-n1153296



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In Missouri, more primary voters say they would be enthusiastic with Biden (45 percent) as the nominee than say the same about Sanders (31 percent). The reverse is true in Michigan with 38 percent enthusiastic about nominating Sanders and 32 percent saying the same about Biden. This result is evenly divided in Washington at 35 enthusiastic about Biden as the nominee and 35 percent enthusiastic if it is Sanders.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #78 on: March 10, 2020, 04:14:52 PM »
Quote from: n1240 on March 10, 2020, 04:12:42 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on March 10, 2020, 04:09:26 PM
No Michigan returns tonight:



You can thank the Michigan State Legislature for that.



I suspected no full results, seems to be the case? the tweet you posted is a little vague on that

So confusing...
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Crumpets
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« Reply #79 on: March 10, 2020, 04:15:45 PM »
This may have already been posted, but Washington State has a pretty strong establishment Dem counting bias. Sanders will almost certainly improve from the first batch of votes we see.
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Sorenroy
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« Reply #80 on: March 10, 2020, 04:17:50 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on March 10, 2020, 04:11:46 PM
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/live-blog/march-10-primaries-live-updates-democratic-presidential-candidates-face-6-n1153296

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The exit poll also asked Washington primary voters which candidate they would trust most to handle a major crisis.

Among those who trust Joe Biden more, 46 percent are very concerned about the outbreak. Among those who trust Bernie Sanders more, just 26 percent are very concerned.

Had the virus become an issue sooner, I think it would have been something Sanders could have capitalized on. Biden tends to do better when questions about handling crises come up, but a Medicare for All focus on an issue of health concerns seems like a good way to at least show why it would be a good idea.
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Arizona Iced Tea
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« Reply #81 on: March 10, 2020, 04:21:51 PM »
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #82 on: March 10, 2020, 04:23:43 PM »
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #83 on: March 10, 2020, 04:24:22 PM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on March 10, 2020, 04:13:24 PM


So lets just ignore anything from Michigan until actual results which will be...when?
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Clarko95 📚💰📈
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« Reply #84 on: March 10, 2020, 04:28:24 PM »
So far the preliminary exit polls are showing what we saw on Super Tuesday: voters are deeply unhappy and want fundamental change but at the same time have small-c conservative attitudes and highly value safety and stability.

Guess it's just a matter of margins now
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Gass3268
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« Reply #85 on: March 10, 2020, 04:30:22 PM »
Does Sanders hit 15%?
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #86 on: March 10, 2020, 04:31:41 PM »
https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/march-10-primary-live-updates-sanders-cancels-rally/story?id=69513741

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Former Vice President Joe Biden prevails in trust to handle a major crisis in preliminary exit poll results, leading Bernie Sanders on the question by 34 percentage points among voters today in Missouri, 19 points in Washington state and 19 points, as well, among today’s voters in Michigan.

While not necessarily indicating vote preferences, the margins are substantial – 61-27% for Biden over Sanders in trust to handle a major crisis in Missouri, 46-27% in Washington (with 21 percent selecting Elizabeth Warren, who’s dropped out of the race), and 51-32% among in-person voters today in Michigan. The question wasn’t asked in the fourth state with exit polls today, Mississippi.

The Michigan results require an important caveat: The National Election Pool reports that a sampling problem has prevented it from including telephone survey results – produced to capture the views of early voters – in the Michigan exit poll, as intended. As such the exit poll does not include the views of early voters there, an estimated 40 percent of all voters in the primary there.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #87 on: March 10, 2020, 04:32:31 PM »





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n1240
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« Reply #88 on: March 10, 2020, 04:33:03 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on March 10, 2020, 04:30:22 PM
Does Sanders hit 15%?





Gonna guess this lines up closely to the final vote.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #89 on: March 10, 2020, 04:39:29 PM »


Reminder to not compare Michigan results to 2008...if we get substantial results.
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #90 on: March 10, 2020, 04:42:24 PM »
Quote from: Old School Republican on March 10, 2020, 12:25:07 PM
should I start a TYT meltdown megathread on this board today. Im sure watching TYT today will be better than watching any other network

Do it.

Is Kyle Kulinski livestreaming?  He won't throw a temper tantrum but he will say some of the most bitter, nasty, desperate BS you've ever heard.
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shua
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« Reply #91 on: March 10, 2020, 04:46:06 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on March 10, 2020, 04:30:22 PM
Does Sanders hit 15%?



With Jackson endorsement and no Warren, I would think so.
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Xing
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« Reply #92 on: March 10, 2020, 04:48:01 PM »
Are we getting more needles tonight?
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n1240
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« Reply #93 on: March 10, 2020, 04:48:20 PM »

no
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #94 on: March 10, 2020, 04:49:05 PM »
If Michigan is going to be slow to report, and report mostly via localities, it would be prudent to pay attention to DDHQ since they thrive in these environments.

https://results.decisiondeskhq.com/2020/super_tuesday_2
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pppolitics
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« Reply #95 on: March 10, 2020, 04:49:09 PM »

The needles got replaced by flashing Biden neon signs.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #96 on: March 10, 2020, 04:52:21 PM »
I don’t think Bernie is going to get his upset again.

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Arizona Iced Tea
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« Reply #97 on: March 10, 2020, 04:53:00 PM »
Imagine if the sequel to the 2016 upset actually happens.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #98 on: March 10, 2020, 04:53:41 PM »
Quote from: PA is Lean D on March 10, 2020, 04:52:21 PM
I don’t think Bernie is going to get his upset again.



Is that compared to final 2016 turnout?  Keep in mind that early exit polls tend to skew older.
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Matty
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« Reply #99 on: March 10, 2020, 04:56:16 PM »
Michigan seems to be a state where a lot of Bernie 2016 voters are now trumplicans who have left the party
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