Mini Tuesday results thread

[Grassroots]

Yeah, while I think Baldwin would be a great choice in a vacuum, holding down her seat with a Democratic president wouldn't be easy, and we do have to factor these things in.

Not to mention, while Wisconsin is arguably the most crucial state in this election, that 55 to 45 win two years ago was in a democratic wave year against a really bad far-right candidate.

Vukmir is not far right.

[Grassroots]

Voters at the poll booth today:

Great.  Now I want ice cream. 

I think I will get some gelato for tonight's coverage.

[GeneralMacArthur]

https://twitter.com/DavidKlion/status/1213573341677858817

Here we go!

[Landslide Lyndon]

Not directly related to today's contests but Steve Cornacki has the receipts when it comes to Sanders' failure to bring young voters to the polls.

https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/1237412873795784706

[Arizona Iced Tea]

So Mississipi comes in first?

[Mr. Smith]

Looking at the charts from the normally ignored Greek poster:

Seems to me, Iowa accepted, that old people swamped the process rather than youth not having turnout.

[Oryxslayer]

Seems to me, Iowa accepted, that old Middle-Aged Suburban people swamped the process rather than youth not having turnout.

[lfromnj]

Not directly related to today's contests but Steve Cornacki has the receipts when it comes to Sanders' failure to bring young voters to the polls.

https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/1237412873795784706

My theory?
2016 still had solid effects of the low job market after the 2008 recession?
Maybe people just don't want a revolution rn?

[defe07]

Not directly related to today's contests but Steve Cornacki has the receipts when it comes to Sanders' failure to bring young voters to the polls.

https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/1237412873795784706

Dang! If Bernie had the same numbers from 2016, this would've helped him win TX and MA! 😲

[OSR stands with Israel]

should I start a TYT meltdown megathread on this board today. Im sure watching TYT today will be better than watching any other network

[Mr. Smith]

Not directly related to today's contests but Steve Cornacki has the receipts when it comes to Sanders' failure to bring young voters to the polls.

https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/1237412873795784706

Dang! If Bernie had the same numbers from 2016, this would've helped him win TX and MA! 😲

Once again, this seems more an indicator of the middle-aged-to-old, "actually scared of McGovern 3.0" types turning out with a vengeance.

[n1240]

https://twitter.com/JesseRodriguez/status/1237439759577944064

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/JesseRodriguez/status/1237439759577944064

This is because the state legislature wouldn't allow election officals start the processing those ballots before polls close.

[Illiniwek]

https://twitter.com/JesseRodriguez/status/1237439759577944064

This is because the state legislature wouldn't allow election officals start the processing those ballots before polls close.

Brilliant...

[Tender Branson]

https://twitter.com/JesseRodriguez/status/1237439759577944064

This is because the state legislature wouldn't allow election officals start the processing those ballots before polls close.

Brilliant.

Yes.

This is very similar to Austria, where postal ballots are only opened and counted the Monday after Election Sunday.

Nobody really wants to count votes until midnight on a Sunday, so better count them on Monday.

It’s also better for the media: voting ends at 5pm, so all Election Day votes are counted by 7 or 8pm and are ready for primetime discussion shows.

[Lisa's voting Biden]

My friends in ID have told me turnout has been fairly low in their precincts (Ada County specifically). They voted around noon. Lines were pretty much nonexistent.

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/JesseRodriguez/status/1237439759577944064

This is because the state legislature wouldn't allow election officals start the processing those ballots before polls close.

Brilliant.

Yes.

This is very similar to Austria, where postal ballots are only opened and counted the Monday after Election Sunday.

Nobody really wants to count votes until midnight on a Sunday, so better count them on Monday.

It’s also better for the media: voting ends at 5pm, so all Election Day votes are counted by 7 or 8pm and are ready for primetime discussion shows.

That won't work in Michigan where close to 1 million people voted early.

[Tender Branson]

https://twitter.com/JesseRodriguez/status/1237439759577944064

This is because the state legislature wouldn't allow election officals start the processing those ballots before polls close.

Brilliant.

Yes.

This is very similar to Austria, where postal ballots are only opened and counted the Monday after Election Sunday.

Nobody really wants to count votes until midnight on a Sunday, so better count them on Monday.

It’s also better for the media: voting ends at 5pm, so all Election Day votes are counted by 7 or 8pm and are ready for primetime discussion shows.

That won't work in Michigan where close to 1 million people voted early.

Austria had 1.25 million postal votes last year. The counting was very smooth.

But I understand that MI has these numbers for the first time (no-excuse postal voting possible now), so it might be different.

It would still be better to count the Election Day votes today and the postal/early votes tomorrow.

[gf20202]

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/live-blog/march-10-primaries-live-updates-democratic-presidential-candidates-face-6-n1153296/ncrd1154446#liveBlogHeader

The actual reporting of the Michigan delay suggests no results on Tuesday period: "Don't expect to see Michigan primary results Tuesday"

That can't be true, can it?

[Gass3268]

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/live-blog/march-10-primaries-live-updates-democratic-presidential-candidates-face-6-n1153296/ncrd1154446#liveBlogHeader

The actual reporting of the Michigan delay suggests no results on Tuesday period: "Don't expect to see Michigan primary results Tuesday"

That can't be true, can it?

The article makes the situation sound better than the headline.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

https://twitter.com/djjohnso/status/1237382966843670529?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctw...
This guy predicted Bernie 2016 in MI, Trump 2016 in MI, and Whitmer 2018.
I don't know if this is just BS and he was lucky, or if he has magic powers, but still interesting.

[n1240]

https://twitter.com/djjohnso/status/1237382966843670529?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctw...
This guy predicted Bernie 2016 in MI, Trump 2016 in MI, and Whitmer 2018.
I don't know if this is just BS and he was lucky, or if he has magic powers, but still interesting.

It's probably luck considering he's using a sample size of 25 for his prediction.

He also missed the margin badly on Whitmer's win.

[RI]

Basically the only possible way Bernie could score an upset in MI tonight is if turnout is really low due to Biden voters thinking the race is over.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Let's Go Joe!

[Tender Branson]

Anything closer than 60-35 Biden in MI would really surprise me ...

It’s fairly obvious that a lot of Warren supporters have now gone to Biden ... not Sanders.

Bernie might do a bit better though if Election Day turnout is low today, relative to the postal voting (500.000 or so).

It makes a difference if total turnout is 1 million or 2 million, of which either half or just a quarter are postal/early votes ...