New Hampshire Primary Thread (polls close at 6-7 CT)

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/mollyhc/status/1227402560966926336

Remember that Warren endorsed Hillary Clinton despite being closer ideologically to Sanders. Does she now endorse another Liberal woman in Amy Klobuchar? What a big deal that would be if Warren does drop out.

She endorsed Clinton when the after all the voting was over.

[Gracile]

LOL Michael Bennet has 100% of the vote in Pembroke so far. Dropped out too soon?

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

https://twitter.com/mollyhc/status/1227402560966926336

Remember that Warren endorsed Hillary Clinton despite being closer ideologically to Sanders. Does she now endorse another Liberal woman in Amy Klobuchar? What a big deal that would be if Warren does drop out.

Warren endorsed Clinton within a week of the final primary contest though

[jman123]

Is Joe Biden done for? His numbers are atrocious

[cvparty]

Why does the NYT's forecast monitor keep dropping for Sanders when his lead is holding?

It just fell to a 58% chance of winning the state. It was at 70%.

What gives?

according to nate cohn, it's because bernie performed worse in the rural areas than expected

[Pericles]

Buttigieg and Sanders are holding up pretty well compared to the polls. The Klobuchar surge is coming a bit from Biden, Warren, and mostly from undecideds.
 

[SN2903]

I'll tell you one thing guys: its going to be a really fun month or two if you're a neutral. This has the potential to be one of the strangest primaries we've seen in forever.

I'm lovin' it!

Trump voters are loving it believe me

[Oryxslayer]

Why does the NYT's forecast monitor keep dropping for Sanders when his lead is holding?

It just fell to a 58% chance of winning the state. It was at 70%.

What gives?

He's underpreforming in the places expected to do strong and the places with the most people and most likely to vote for Pete (Rockingham/MA suburbs) are out.

[Lisa's voting Biden]

LOL Michael Bennet has 100% of the vote in Pembroke so far. Dropped out too soon?

Klobuchar is leading in Merrimack County now by ~10%.

[junior chįmp]

Is Joe Biden done for? His numbers are atrocious

Nope....its part of Bidens 4,5,5,5,5,5,5,5,5, plan

[Brittain33]

The top 3 are all getting much closer together on ddhq. Klobuchar is getting very close to Buttigieg.

[NOVA Green]

Why does the NYT's forecast monitor keep dropping for Sanders when his lead is holding?

It just fell to a 58% chance of winning the state. It was at 70%.

What gives?

Old data

Possible, we are starting to see more of the numbers coming in from SE NH and right now we are seeing a bunch of Pete townships in Eastern Rockingham County, decent numbers for Pete in some Central NH towns, plus an over-performance in the Western Counties....

Old Data sometimes creates distortions when the computer starts to smoke and can't decipher the data. A software program is only as good as the design team, and steam starts to go through it's head despite the CPU....

[Florida Man for Crime]

Why does the NYT's forecast needle keep dropping for Sanders when his lead is holding?

It just fell to a 58% chance of winning the state. It was at 70%.

What gives?

Remember that Durham still has not reported, when it does Sanders will jump up and that should basically offset whatever Pete/Amy can get from Derry/Londonderry/Merrimack/Pelham.

[SN2903]

Amy's surge ruined Warrens chances at a good finish in New Hampshire

[Zanas]

With nearly 40% reporting, DDHQ now sees less than a 1 pt lead between Buttigieg and Klobuchar.

edit : wait with 42% in it's now at 3.2 pts, which is odd, something must have been wrong before.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

DDHQ has Klobuchar with 71% in Penbrook. That seems rather high.

[Dorko Julio]

Is Joe Biden done for? His numbers are atrocious

Nope....its part of Bidens 4,5,5,5,5,5,5,5,5, plan

If he can just make it to June 2nd, New Jersey is really gonna turn things around for him.

[Adam Griffin]

Why does the NYT's forecast monitor keep dropping for Sanders when his lead is holding?

It just fell to a 58% chance of winning the state. It was at 70%.

What gives?

according to nate cohn, it's because bernie performed worse in the rural areas than expected

And because a lot of Masshole areas aren't reporting yet as well.

[Gass3268]

Only 16% that decided in the last couple days went with Sanders. 23% for Klobuchar and 28% for Buttigieg.

[Oryxslayer]

Why does the NYT's forecast monitor keep dropping for Sanders when his lead is holding?

It just fell to a 58% chance of winning the state. It was at 70%.

What gives?

according to nate cohn, it's because bernie performed worse in the rural areas than expected

And because a lot of Masshole areas aren't reporting yet as well.

I approve of the term, as someone who spent a few years in Boston.

[NOVA Green]

67% of Nashua is in.

[Brittain33]

With nearly 40% reporting, DDHQ now sees less than a 1 pt lead between Buttigieg and Klobuchar.

Check the numbers for Pembroke. It’s 2,000 too many for her.

[SN2903]

Klobuchar nice showing in Bedford county

[Green Line]

Just tuning in. With Warren and Biden tanking I think it's safe to declare Sanders the solid frontrunner at this point, no matter what his margin of victory is tonight.

Biden is done.

Warren is done.

The "moderate" vote is going to be so split going forward now, I think the path easily gets cleared for Sanders.

Where is Bernie going to inrease his vote share?  Iowa and NH should have been some of his best states.  A heavily white, liberal electorate.  Its not going up from here for him.  The field is totally muddled.

[J. J.]

Is Joe Biden done for? His numbers are atrocious

No, but he could become the Jesse Jackson of the race.  He basically wins the black vote.  If so, he stays in and becomes influential at the convention.