Iowa Caucus Results Thread (pg 148 - full results)

[Bidenworth2020]

Biden might actually survive this.

Even if he loses his frontrunner status, did anyone seriously think Biden would be crashing to like 3rd or 4th? Butti winning is good for Biden too.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Biden might actually survive this.

Even if he loses his frontrunner status, did anyone seriously think Biden would be crashing to like 3rd or 4th? Butti winning is good for Biden too.

I find it easier to just call this a wash and "everyone won"

Because I'm seeing so many various takes of Buttigieg winning is good for Buttigieg/Sanders/Warren/Biden/Klobuchar/Bloomberg

[Rookie Yinzer]

Warren and Biden flopped.

Warren basically matched her polling?

She exceeded it

Given that most polls running up the primary put her at around 15

Yeah, outperforming expectations in third place really helped Marco Rubio last time as well.

Literally this. If she finishes third in New Hampshire, where does she realistically go? She's going to have to WIN a state at some point.

[atheist4thecause]

Meanwhile, Bloomberg promises to double TV spending and expand his staff: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-bloomberg/bloomberg-to-double-tv-spending-expand-staff-after-democrats-iowa-caucus-chaos-idUSKBN1ZY2P0

[Eraserhead]

Does anyone have the two popular votes by percentages?

[Bidenworth2020]

Winning both popular votes and narrowly losing SDEs isn't a bad result for Sanders (assuming this all holds up). He solidly beat both of his serious opponents (Biden & Warren) on every measure.

I can guarantee you that Buttigieg isn't going to be a thing in any state with more than a few black & brown people in it.

MSM is mostly talking about how much of a disaster this was for Biden fwiw.

Yeah Buttigieg is a non-factor in every other state. Biden doing so poorly seems to be the sub headline

ever heard of NH?

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Biden might actually survive this.

Even if he loses his frontrunner status, did anyone seriously think Biden would be crashing to like 3rd or 4th? Butti winning is good for Biden too.

Yes, I predicted Biden would get 4th

[John Dule]

https://twitter.com/SenhorRaposa/status/1224827648049893377?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%...

This is actually really shocking to me. The 1st district is the core of the Obama-Trump swing and I thought Sanders would perform his best there.

[Bidenworth2020]

Biden might actually survive this.

Even if he loses his frontrunner status, did anyone seriously think Biden would be crashing to like 3rd or 4th? Butti winning is good for Biden too.

Yes, I predicted Biden would get 4th

I mean national polls.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Does anyone have the two popular votes by percentages?

https://features.desmoinesregister.com/news/politics/iowa-caucuses-results-alignment/

[This user has not been convicted of 34 felonies]

Anyone else see that Yang lost 80% of his support between first and final alignment? Lol.

[atheist4thecause]

Warren and Biden flopped.

Warren basically matched her polling?

She exceeded it

Given that most polls running up the primary put her at around 15

Yeah, outperforming expectations in third place really helped Marco Rubio last time as well.

Literally this. If she finishes third in New Hampshire, where does she realistically go? She's going to have to WIN a state at some point.

Warren needs to work on winning a county, first.

[RI]

This is actually really shocking to me. The 1st district is the core of the Obama-Trump swing and I thought Sanders would perform his best there.

The results for IA-01 are missing basically all of Waterloo and significant portion of Dubuque.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Biden might actually survive this.

Even if he loses his frontrunner status, did anyone seriously think Biden would be crashing to like 3rd or 4th? Butti winning is good for Biden too.

Yes, I predicted Biden would get 4th

[atheist4thecause]

Anyone else see that Yang lost 80% of his support between first and final alignment? Lol.

That's normal for bottom-tier candidates because they rarely get to 15% in a precinct.

[Oryxslayer]

This is actually really shocking to me. The 1st district is the core of the Obama-Trump swing and I thought Sanders would perform his best there.

Also note that both Klob and Biden are above 15% presently in 1CD each. So they are both gonna get delegates in Milwaukee if this holds.

[Eraserhead]

Does anyone have the two popular votes by percentages?

https://features.desmoinesregister.com/news/politics/iowa-caucuses-results-alignment/

Thank you!

[Roblox]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ag1o3koTLWM

[RI]

Also worth noting: none of the satellite caucuses are included in the current totals.

[LAKISYLVANIA]

I've thought that losing IA meant it was over for Sanders. But I would've signed for this a month ago, or any moment before that.

[Gass3268]

This is actually really shocking to me. The 1st district is the core of the Obama-Trump swing and I thought Sanders would perform his best there.

Also note that both Klob and Biden are above 15% presently in 1CD each. So they are both gonna get delegates in Milwaukee if this holds.

These are 2nd round popular vote totals. Not SDEs.

[KaiserDave]

Warren and Biden flopped.

Warren basically matched her polling?

She exceeded it

Given that most polls running up the primary put her at around 15

Yeah, outperforming expectations in third place really helped Marco Rubio last time as well.

Literally this. If she finishes third in New Hampshire, where does she realistically go? She's going to have to WIN a state at some point.

First off, comparisons to past primaries (especially Republican ones) is just not applicable.

Who says she finishes third in New Hampshire? Flopping implies she did worse than previous polling, when she clearly did better.

She's obviously not a favorite for the nom, but she's in it and proved her ground game's mettle.

[Gass3268]

National Delegate Estimates:

https://twitter.com/2020Delegates/status/1224829869298634753?s=20

[Mr. Smith]

Biden might actually survive this.

Even if he loses his frontrunner status, did anyone seriously think Biden would be crashing to like 3rd or 4th? Butti winning is good for Biden too.

Yes, I predicted Biden would get 4th

As did I, though I expected Klobuchar to get the bounce to 3rd, not Warren.

Also, really reeling over my 2nd guessing Pete to win, but at least I went with Tilt Sanders.  Works well w/ my Super Tuesday Half-Time Map from a month or two ago though.

[junior chįmp]

I'm beginning to think they dont have the other 38% or lost it