2020 Poll Hype Thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Poll Hype Thread  (Read 191684 times)
eric82oslo
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« Reply #75 on: November 02, 2019, 01:51:32 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on November 02, 2019, 01:36:20 PM
Buttigiegs GE poll numbers in IA should be interesting ...

There have been no GE polls with him vs. Trump so far and he should be most known to voters in IA.

There have been several nationally, but probably not anyone from Iowa yet. Iowa Dems really seem to love him, so that should colour the results.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #76 on: November 02, 2019, 01:54:42 PM »
Quote from: eric82oslo on November 02, 2019, 01:51:32 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on November 02, 2019, 01:36:20 PM
Buttigiegs GE poll numbers in IA should be interesting ...

There have been no GE polls with him vs. Trump so far and he should be most known to voters in IA.

There have been several nationally, but probably not anyone from Iowa yet. Iowa Dems really seem to love him, so that should colour the results.

Only IA and NH polls for the GE are an important indicator for Pete right now, because in those 2 states he has about a 80% name recognition already.

National polls or such from PA etc. are not important because in those states only 1/3 of general election voters know who he is vs. 100% name recognition for Trump.
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RFK Jr.’s Brain Worm
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #77 on: November 03, 2019, 07:46:19 PM »
Quote from: Fubart Solman on November 01, 2019, 07:12:25 PM
Quote from: Fubart Solman on October 13, 2019, 07:19:51 PM
Jon Ralston commissioned a poll for NV due out some time this month.



This poll should be out “soon” and is a DNC qualifying poll.





NV Primary Poll Tomorrow (Monday)
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #78 on: November 04, 2019, 01:33:50 PM »
So where is this NV poll at?
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Cinemark
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« Reply #79 on: November 04, 2019, 01:36:54 PM »

4pm eastern.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #80 on: November 04, 2019, 02:03:46 PM »

Nice. Thanks.
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bilaps
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« Reply #81 on: November 04, 2019, 03:09:52 PM »
So, who did this poll? Nv indy, but what pollster?
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Pollster
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« Reply #82 on: November 04, 2019, 03:10:43 PM »
Quote from: bilaps on November 04, 2019, 03:09:52 PM
So, who did this poll? Nv indy, but what pollster?

Mark Mellman - usually a Dem internal pollster, but apparently good friends with Ralston
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heatcharger
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« Reply #83 on: November 05, 2019, 11:31:28 AM »
A national Monmouth poll just came out:



New primary numbers are presumably being held back for release soon.
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Cinemark
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« Reply #84 on: November 05, 2019, 11:57:53 AM »
Probably a primary poll tomorrow then. Last month, they released Trump's numbers on the 1st and the Dem primary numbers on the 2nd.
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amdcpus
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« Reply #85 on: November 05, 2019, 03:04:42 PM »
Quote from: heatcharger on November 05, 2019, 11:31:28 AM
A national Monmouth poll just came out:



New primary numbers are presumably being held back for release soon.

I don't even particularly like Trump but the media bias against him is so laughable.
"Little change in Donald Trump job approval rating", yet he went from -13% to -9%, which is a decrease in unapproval rating by 31%
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Cinemark
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« Reply #86 on: November 05, 2019, 03:12:47 PM »
Quote from: amdcpus on November 05, 2019, 03:04:42 PM
Quote from: heatcharger on November 05, 2019, 11:31:28 AM
A national Monmouth poll just came out:



New primary numbers are presumably being held back for release soon.

I don't even particularly like Trump but the media bias against him is so laughable.
"Little change in Donald Trump job approval rating", yet he went from -13% to -9%, which is a decrease in unapproval rating by 31%



Monmouth points out that Trump has been a very small range this year. What they are suggesting is that the movement is largely MoE and Trump's numbers really havent moved. They're not dismissing the movement, just looking at the long term trend.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #87 on: November 06, 2019, 12:16:48 PM »
Quinnipiac IA poll coming at 3PM.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #88 on: November 06, 2019, 01:05:54 PM »
« Edited: November 06, 2019, 01:28:01 PM by Eraserhead »

Interesting. Do you happen to know if this is the first time they've polled Iowa in this race?
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #89 on: November 06, 2019, 01:08:42 PM »
Quote from: Eraserhead on November 06, 2019, 01:05:54 PM

Interesting. Do you happen to know if this the first time they've polled Iowa in this race?

I believe it is, yes.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #90 on: November 06, 2019, 01:29:32 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on November 06, 2019, 01:08:42 PM
Quote from: Eraserhead on November 06, 2019, 01:05:54 PM

Interesting. Do you happen to know if this is the first time they've polled Iowa in this race?

I believe it is, yes.


Thought so. Thanks.

I'll be surprised if they don't show a strong Warren lead.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #91 on: November 06, 2019, 01:34:10 PM »
IA (Quinnipiac):

23% Warren
22% Buttigieg
19% Biden
16% Sanders
  5% Klobuchar
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whale
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« Reply #92 on: November 06, 2019, 02:46:17 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on November 06, 2019, 01:34:10 PM
IA (Quinnipiac):

23% Warren
22% Buttigieg
19% Biden
16% Sanders
  5% Klobuchar

Klob makes the debate!!
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #93 on: November 06, 2019, 02:46:57 PM »
Quote from: whale on November 06, 2019, 02:46:17 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on November 06, 2019, 01:34:10 PM
IA (Quinnipiac):

23% Warren
22% Buttigieg
19% Biden
16% Sanders
  5% Klobuchar

Klob makes the debate!!

According to my prediction, yes.
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whale
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« Reply #94 on: November 06, 2019, 02:48:10 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on November 06, 2019, 02:46:57 PM
Quote from: whale on November 06, 2019, 02:46:17 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on November 06, 2019, 01:34:10 PM
IA (Quinnipiac):

23% Warren
22% Buttigieg
19% Biden
16% Sanders
  5% Klobuchar

Klob makes the debate!!

According to my prediction, yes.

Ah damn I got so excited
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whale
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« Reply #95 on: November 06, 2019, 03:02:41 PM »
Looks like you were spot on! Klob gets 5% and makes the debate
https://poll.qu.edu/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=3647
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Gass3268
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« Reply #96 on: November 14, 2019, 12:03:34 PM »
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Cinemark
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« Reply #97 on: November 14, 2019, 12:25:20 PM »
Thank goodness, we might get some actually clarity in what the hell is going on in Iowa.
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Gracile
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« Reply #98 on: November 14, 2019, 12:27:01 PM »
Selzer is the best in Iowa. This poll should give us a good idea of how the Caucus is shaping up.
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eric82oslo
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« Reply #99 on: November 14, 2019, 03:08:35 PM »
Quote from: gracile on November 14, 2019, 12:27:01 PM
Selzer is the best in Iowa. This poll should give us a good idea of how the Caucus is shaping up.

Even as this poll is released a little early, I expect a bounce for Yang - probably at around 2%.

The last Seltzer poll was quite a long time ago. Maybe two months ago or so?
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