LA 2019 Gov Race: Gov John Bel Edwards wins a 2nd term

[Oryxslayer]

Before people freak out about EBR being red - it's a precinct, not the Early vote. And it's a precinct Vitter won in 2015.

[jamestroll]

Jefferson Parish results at the moment has Edwards at 54.3% hahah! I hope this holds!

[jaichind]

SW and North early vote looking bad for Edwards, area around Orleans looks or for him

[Politician]

JBE IS WINNING LAFAYETTE PARISH

[Oryxslayer]

JBE IS WINNING LAFAYETTE PARISH

With a majority too right now. but looking at the precinct map, it appears to be the AA side of the city coming in right now, not the  red parts. I wouldn't be surprised if the county remains plurality JBE in the end, because national trends.

[jaichind]

Orleans came in Edwards over 46% now

[DrScholl]

Wow, Orleans Parish really gave Edwards a boost. From 42% to 46%.

[Bidenworth2020]

Orleans dumped EV, JBE at 46.4. Pretty good, especially since this is the early vote.

[Oryxslayer]

Oh hey, orleans just released the Early vote. And now things are not doom and gloom for JBE, what do you know,

[jaichind]

Next big jump for Edwards should be when Baton Rough comes in

[KaiserDave]

What!!!! 2% of results isn't representative of the election, SHOCKING.

[Xing]

JBE definitely does seem to be improving his numbers in parishes that are starting to count their ED vote. A big factor will be how much the numbers change.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Let the record show I will happily admit I was wrong if JBE wins tonight. I wonder if the same can be said when Bevin crushes it in three weeks

[KaiserDave]

Just based on counties, the map is pretty good for JBE. But it's early.

[Politician]

#populist Cameron Parish gave Clinton only 9% but is giving #populist JBE 30%.

[Oryxslayer]

Looking at the Precinct map of Jefferson, Edwards appears to be winning precincts in Metairie, which probably means he keeps his majority there when all is said and done.

[Pericles]

Overall it seems so far JBE is improving by a few points from 2015, to be expected, but just from a quick look doesn't look like overall he's getting the double digit improvements from 2015 he needs to avoid a runoff, but with around 45% should be a favorite but not inevitable in the runoff. Still early though and we'll find out soon enough. Easy to find results that paint a different picture though.

[Oryxslayer]

EDWARDS PLURALITY IN ST. TAMMANY.

For reference, the 2015 runoff:

[Bidenworth2020]

Let the record show I will happily admit I was wrong if JBE wins tonight. I wonder if the same can be said when Bevin crushes it in three weeks

Although JBE could still win, even tonight, his utter collapse in Acadiana makes me resigned to Bevin winning, since Appalachia has had similar voting patterns. Not a direct correlation, but worrying nonetheless.

[soundchaser]

Those St. Tammany results are astonishing. I really hope they hold.

[Politician]

Let the record show I will happily admit I was wrong if JBE wins tonight. I wonder if the same can be said when Bevin crushes it in three weeks

Although JBE could still win, even tonight, his utter collapse in Acadiana makes me resigned to Bevin winning, since Appalachia has had similar voting patterns. Not a direct correlation, but worrying nonetheless.

True, but Kentucky has areas such as Oldham, Cincy burbs, Warren, Daviess, etc. Where Beshear could improve substantially on Conway.

[Pericles]

Let the record show I will happily admit I was wrong if JBE wins tonight. I wonder if the same can be said when Bevin crushes it in three weeks

Although JBE could still win, even tonight, his utter collapse in Acadiana makes me resigned to Bevin winning, since Appalachia has had similar voting patterns. Not a direct correlation, but worrying nonetheless.

General expectation I think is Dems keep LA, lose KY and MS and gain a trifecta in VA. Trifecta in VA is almost inevitable, while getting one or both of KY and MS would be fantastic for Dems but not particularly likely.

[Thunder98]

Go Edwards!

[IceSpear]

Let the record show I will happily admit I was wrong if JBE wins tonight. I wonder if the same can be said when Bevin crushes it in three weeks

Although JBE could still win, even tonight, his utter collapse in Acadiana makes me resigned to Bevin winning, since Appalachia has had similar voting patterns. Not a direct correlation, but worrying nonetheless.

True, but Kentucky has areas such as Oldham, Cincy burbs, Warren, Daviess, etc. Where Beshear could improve substantially on Conway.

Wait, you're finally admitting Trends Are Real?

[Oryxslayer]

Still waiting on the EBR, Livingston, St. Tammany, and Caddo EV. then we should have a good EV benchmark for the state.