Israeli General Election: April 9, 2019
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  Israeli General Election: April 9, 2019
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Author Topic: Israeli General Election: April 9, 2019  (Read 72849 times)
Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #875 on: April 09, 2019, 04:51:27 PM »

Anyone got English results pages or channels for those of us who neither speak Hebrew or Arabic?
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Sestak
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« Reply #876 on: April 09, 2019, 04:52:09 PM »

Anyone got English results pages or channels for those of us who neither speak Hebrew or Arabic?

Google translate is your friend.
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Thatkat04
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« Reply #877 on: April 09, 2019, 04:52:27 PM »

Just so everyone knows how early it is, over 4 million people voted in 2015.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #878 on: April 09, 2019, 04:56:27 PM »

Anyone got English results pages or channels for those of us who neither speak Hebrew or Arabic?

The Guardian has a live blog up, but all they have had so far are the exit polls, not the actual returns.
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urutzizu
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« Reply #879 on: April 09, 2019, 04:57:16 PM »

Anyone got English results pages or channels for those of us who neither speak Hebrew or Arabic?

The Guardian has a live blog up, but all they have had so far are the exit polls, not the actual returns.

I find the Times of Israels Blog quite good: https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog-april-9-2019/
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danny
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« Reply #880 on: April 09, 2019, 05:01:08 PM »

There is an election map here which is filling in in real time.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #881 on: April 09, 2019, 05:03:52 PM »

For posters familiar with Isreali political geography, what can we infer from the areas that have already reported? What do the swings from 2016 look like?
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #882 on: April 09, 2019, 05:04:14 PM »

My family town is going:
37% Hadash
30% Ra'am
11% Blue and White
6% Meretz
4% Kulanu
2% Gesher
1% Likud
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Mike88
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« Reply #883 on: April 09, 2019, 05:08:36 PM »

Isn't Likud headquarters in the same place of the ZU HQ in 2015?
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danny
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« Reply #884 on: April 09, 2019, 05:12:05 PM »

For posters familiar with Isreali political geography, what can we infer from the areas that have already reported? What do the swings from 2016 look like?
It's clear that Labour is getting destroyed in its rural base by BW. Gilad went from 68% Labour in 2015 to 19% now.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #885 on: April 09, 2019, 05:13:01 PM »

For posters familiar with Isreali political geography, what can we infer from the areas that have already reported? What do the swings from 2016 look like?
It's clear that Labour is getting destroyed in its rural base by BW. Gilad went from 68% Labour in 2015 to 19% now.

Makes sense, given that they look more 'Labor' than Labor did this time. Ahem.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #886 on: April 09, 2019, 05:16:30 PM »

So the Isreali left is officially dead and buried. Wonderful.
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TheDeadFlagBlues
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« Reply #887 on: April 09, 2019, 05:18:57 PM »

For posters familiar with Isreali political geography, what can we infer from the areas that have already reported? What do the swings from 2016 look like?
It's clear that Labour is getting destroyed in its rural base by BW. Gilad went from 68% Labour in 2015 to 19% now.

Sadly, even Meretz appears to have bled some voters to BW...
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #888 on: April 09, 2019, 05:20:05 PM »

There is an election map here which is filling in in real time.

Nice, same site as the 2015 results. Do you know if a lower locality is colored it is all counted, or just present numbers? they don't say if these regions are done counting, just the national turnout.
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UWS
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« Reply #889 on: April 09, 2019, 05:20:41 PM »

I guess that Trump placing the Iranian Revolutionary Guards on the U.S. list of designated terrorist organizations could help Netanyahu today.
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danny
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« Reply #890 on: April 09, 2019, 05:21:32 PM »

Votes Counted: 828K
Likud:                29.15%
blue and white:  25.27%
Shas:                 6.08%
Beitenu:             5.29%
UTJ:                   5.01%
Labor:                4.55%
Kulanu:              3.75%
United Right:      3.5%
            Threshold
Meretz:              3.19%
New Right:         3.08%
Hadash:             2.21%
RAAM BALAD:    2.8%
Zehut:               2.71%
Gesher:             1.8%
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Thatkat04
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« Reply #891 on: April 09, 2019, 05:22:43 PM »

So the Isreali left is officially dead and buried. Wonderful.

Its been dead for while.
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AndyHogan14
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« Reply #892 on: April 09, 2019, 05:24:14 PM »

Based on what is reporting, is it still 50/50 or is Gantz/Netanyahu in trouble?
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #893 on: April 09, 2019, 05:24:56 PM »

Based on what is reporting, is it still 50/50 or is Gantz/Netanyahu in trouble?

At the moment, looks better for Netanyahu, Meretz nor the Arab parties are above threshold atm
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urutzizu
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« Reply #894 on: April 09, 2019, 05:25:10 PM »

Votes Counted: 828K
Likud:                29.15%
blue and white:  25.27%
Shas:                 6.08%
Beitenu:             5.29%
UTJ:                   5.01%
Labor:                4.55%
Kulanu:              3.75%
United Right:      3.5%
            Threshold
Meretz:              3.19%
New Right:         3.08%
Hadash:             2.21%
RAAM BALAD:    2.8%
Zehut:               2.71%
Gesher:             1.8%

Should be about 20% counted
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Mike88
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« Reply #895 on: April 09, 2019, 05:27:41 PM »
« Edited: April 09, 2019, 05:35:54 PM by Mike88 »

Votes Counted: 828K
Likud:                29.15%
blue and white:  25.27%
Shas:                 6.08%
Beitenu:             5.29%
UTJ:                   5.01%
Labor:                4.55%
Kulanu:              3.75%
United Right:      3.5%
            Threshold
Meretz:              3.19%
New Right:         3.08%
Hadash:             2.21%
RAAM BALAD:    2.8%
Zehut:               2.71%
Gesher:             1.8%

Seat allocation with these results counted:

43 Likud
38 Blue and White:
  9 Shas                
  7 Beitenu         
  7 UTJ               
  6 Labor            
  5 Kulanu             
  5 United Right    
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Thatkat04
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« Reply #896 on: April 09, 2019, 05:29:48 PM »

Based on what is reporting, is it still 50/50 or is Gantz/Netanyahu in trouble?

At the moment, looks better for Netanyahu, Meretz nor the Arab parties are above threshold atm

Its still pretty early though. Since I'm about as clueless about Israeli political geography as everybody else is, I couldn't tell you what the results mean with whats still out.
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urutzizu
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« Reply #897 on: April 09, 2019, 05:30:22 PM »

Back in 2015 this was the distribution at 807k Votes:

Likud: 24.85
ZU: 19.24
YA: 8.61
Kulanu: 7.65
JL: 7.36
JH: 6.23
Lieberman: 6.13
Shas: 5.97
UTJ: 5.23
Meretz: 4.06
Yachad: 3.03

Courtesy of Danny
Not too different from final result except for the Arabs
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #898 on: April 09, 2019, 05:31:10 PM »

Meretz surged in Beit Hanina, 2% in 2015 to 23% in 2019, Arabs fell from 57% to 47%
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AndyHogan14
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« Reply #899 on: April 09, 2019, 05:33:09 PM »

Based on what is reporting, is it still 50/50 or is Gantz/Netanyahu in trouble?

At the moment, looks better for Netanyahu, Meretz nor the Arab parties are above threshold atm

But, based on what is still out, could this be a Democrats-end-up-winning-Virginia situation?
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