Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1
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Author Topic: Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1  (Read 209634 times)
Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #4075 on: November 12, 2018, 04:00:13 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on November 12, 2018, 03:19:56 PM
Quote from: henster on November 12, 2018, 03:13:48 PM
The ME-2 results seem stuck at 95% with Poloquin about 2K votes ahead, what percentage do you think Golden needs with the Indies to overtake him in RCV?

Caveat: this is a gross oversimplification!

The current results are:

Poliquin   131466
Golden   129566
Bond   16500
Hoar   6933

Total 284465

A majority is 142233, so Golden would need 12667 to reach that number.  Bond and Hoar together have 23433, so if ALL of their voters put alternative choices (which may not be the case), Golden would need to be ahead of Poliquin on just over 54% of them.

Why do they need to rescan the ballots to figure out the RCV results?  Why wouldn't they just count the second and third choices at the same time as the first choices?
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RFK Jr.’s Brain Worm
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #4076 on: November 12, 2018, 04:03:56 PM »
More news from CA: Tony Thurmond is only behind Marshall Tuck by about 13,000 votes.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #4077 on: November 12, 2018, 04:44:11 PM »
Quote from: Fubart Solman on November 12, 2018, 04:03:56 PM
More news from CA: Tony Thurmond is only behind Marshall Tuck by about 13,000 votes.
Have late ballots been breaking towards Thurmond?
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Panda Express
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« Reply #4078 on: November 12, 2018, 05:29:34 PM »
Soon we’ll be getting that fabled Maricopa bucket of votes that is so Republican to an extent never seen before by mankind
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4079 on: November 12, 2018, 05:30:44 PM »
Quote from: Vox Populi on November 12, 2018, 05:29:34 PM
Soon we’ll be getting that fabled Maricopa bucket of votes that is so Republican to an extent never seen before by mankind

That 36K from last night should have been part of that.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4080 on: November 12, 2018, 05:41:00 PM »
Looks like Pima did count today. Big dumps for Sinema and the Dem in the SoS race.
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pppolitics
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« Reply #4081 on: November 12, 2018, 05:42:12 PM »
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Virginiá
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« Reply #4082 on: November 12, 2018, 05:43:06 PM »
Hobbs up 3,645 now (was down ~1k earlier today)
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gf20202
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« Reply #4083 on: November 12, 2018, 05:43:28 PM »
« Edited: November 12, 2018, 05:46:55 PM by gf20202 »
Hobbs back up by 3,645 after the Pima dump!

Was that all of Pima?

Edit: That was just 16k of Pima. Something like 20k remaining there. Great sign for Hobbs.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #4084 on: November 12, 2018, 05:43:54 PM »
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4085 on: November 12, 2018, 05:44:50 PM »
Quote from: gf20202 on November 12, 2018, 05:43:28 PM
Hobbs back up by 3,645 after the Pima dump!

Was that all of Pima?

No, was only 16,777 total votes.
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Obama-Biden Democrat
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« Reply #4086 on: November 12, 2018, 05:47:19 PM »
Dems getting closer in CA-50. Deplorable Duncan is sweating.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #4087 on: November 12, 2018, 05:49:36 PM »


Great news if you're on Team Sinema and/or Team Hobbs, especially given we haven't gotten all of the Pima results in yet.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #4088 on: November 12, 2018, 05:50:13 PM »
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lfromnj
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« Reply #4089 on: November 12, 2018, 05:51:25 PM »
Quote from: #WalkAwayFromDesantis on November 12, 2018, 05:47:19 PM
Dems getting closer in CA-50. Deplorable Duncan is sweating.

isn't that a 7 point margin?
I don't see ACN winning this.
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henster
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« Reply #4090 on: November 12, 2018, 05:54:08 PM »
We're going to get a lot more of R+10!!! bucket B today than yesterday so we'll see if McSally really does gain and yesterday was just a fluke.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #4091 on: November 12, 2018, 05:55:50 PM »
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4092 on: November 12, 2018, 05:58:36 PM »
19K coming from Maricopa today.
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new_patomic
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« Reply #4093 on: November 12, 2018, 06:08:08 PM »
Only 19K?
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #4094 on: November 12, 2018, 06:11:25 PM »

It takes time to stuff the ballot boxes for queen Sinema.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #4095 on: November 12, 2018, 06:12:32 PM »

Jesus Christ. It’s like they want to drag this out.
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Obama-Biden Democrat
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« Reply #4096 on: November 12, 2018, 06:19:43 PM »
Quote from: lfromnj on November 12, 2018, 05:51:25 PM
Quote from: #WalkAwayFromDesantis on November 12, 2018, 05:47:19 PM
Dems getting closer in CA-50. Deplorable Duncan is sweating.

isn't that a 7 point margin?
I don't see ACN winning this.

Yea, but Duncan Hunter was up around 55-44 on election night. It would be good to make it semi close for 2020.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #4097 on: November 12, 2018, 06:23:28 PM »
Quote from: #WalkAwayFromDesantis on November 12, 2018, 06:19:43 PM
Quote from: lfromnj on November 12, 2018, 05:51:25 PM
Quote from: #WalkAwayFromDesantis on November 12, 2018, 05:47:19 PM
Dems getting closer in CA-50. Deplorable Duncan is sweating.

isn't that a 7 point margin?
I don't see ACN winning this.

Yea, but Duncan Hunter was up around 55-44 on election night. It would be good to make it semi close for 2020.

He won't run in 2020 or atleast  another republican will make the run off. Maybe issa?
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #4098 on: November 12, 2018, 06:30:54 PM »

FFS
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pppolitics
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« Reply #4099 on: November 12, 2018, 06:55:58 PM »

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