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  Talk Elections
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  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  WV Senate Race Morrisey Closing The Gap (Down 45-40) in MetroNews Poll.
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Poll
Question: Will Senator Morrisey Be A Thing?
#1
Yes
#2
No
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Partisan results


Author Topic: WV Senate Race Morrisey Closing The Gap (Down 45-40) in MetroNews Poll.  (Read 2373 times)
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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« on: November 01, 2018, 01:46:42 am »

http://wvmetronews.com/2018/11/01/gap-has-narrowed-between-manchin-morrisey-west-virginia-poll/

Kaboom, it's going down. Trump's visit tomorrow to the southern coalfield will put Morrisey over the top imo, Lean R.
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АndriуValeriovich
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« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2018, 01:50:36 am »

Of course, no. It's Likely D
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2018, 01:52:23 am »

Oh well. Now it's especially important that we get Rosen over the top to offset what the dolt move the lame state of WV is about to do.
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SirWoodbury
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« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2018, 01:54:13 am »

Yes, Manchin will no doubt vote against  Trump if elected. Hopefully Trump's base will see right trough this.
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Skunk
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« Reply #4 on: November 01, 2018, 01:55:49 am »

I highly doubt the Libertarian candidate is getting double digits here.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #5 on: November 01, 2018, 01:58:00 am »

I'm just so damn frustrated with this race, I just bleeping can't even with WV rn.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #6 on: November 01, 2018, 02:04:14 am »

Dems are way too confident about this race. A last second Morrisey surge was always a strong possibility. You can't count on Racist WV Hicks to support a member of the anti-white hate group. A lot of people might end up owing me and Bagel an apology if this poll is accurate, lol.

We haven't gotten a high quality poll of this race since June. Is it really too much to ask for at least one before the election?!
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Xing
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« Reply #7 on: November 01, 2018, 02:05:30 am »

Manchin will probably be fine. I might agree that Rosen is more likely to win than he is, but I maintain that he's in the best position of any Romney state Democrat.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #8 on: November 01, 2018, 02:15:13 am »

Oh, and at this rate, even if Manchin eeks it out, forget about Ojeda.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #9 on: November 01, 2018, 02:35:43 am »

Yikes. Pretty sure this poll almost always overestimates Dems. Manchin better hope they donít this time!

He should probably hope they're just a junky pollster rather than have a Dem bias.

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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #10 on: November 01, 2018, 02:50:13 am »

Tilt D
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President Pericles
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« Reply #11 on: November 01, 2018, 02:51:22 am »

Lmao Morrissey is down by 5 points less than a week before Election Day(and down by more overall) and Atlas bed-wets and says WV is Lean R.
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President Pericles
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« Reply #12 on: November 01, 2018, 03:02:46 am »

For crying out loud, Manchin's up 12 in the RCP average, 8.9% in 538 adjusted polls and 8.4% in the 538 forecast overall. The fundamentals(or #trashdamentals if you're an Atlas poster that expects 538 to cater to your every whim) have Manchin at 7.7% lead. He's a great fit for a ticket-splitting state against a weak opponent in a Democratic year(and in case you need reminding, this guy won by double digits in 2010 and by 24 points in 2012-the same year Obama was on the ballot). And he even voted for Kavanaugh, which the same culprits claimed was a HUGE DEAL. Stop the bed-wetting and concern-trolling. He's not going to lose.
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Strong Candidate
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« Reply #13 on: November 01, 2018, 08:46:36 am »

Yikes. Pretty sure this poll almost always overestimates Dems. Manchin better hope they donít this time!

He should probably hope they're just a junky pollster rather than have a Dem bias.



In all, fairness, they use a different pollster to actually conduct the surveys now, even if the same media outlet commissions them.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #14 on: November 01, 2018, 08:58:54 am »

For crying out loud, Manchin's up 12 in the RCP average, 8.9% in 538 adjusted polls and 8.4% in the 538 forecast overall. The fundamentals(or #trashdamentals if you're an Atlas poster that expects 538 to cater to your every whim) have Manchin at 7.7% lead. He's a great fit for a ticket-splitting state against a weak opponent in a Democratic year(and in case you need reminding, this guy won by double digits in 2010 and by 24 points in 2012-the same year Obama was on the ballot). And he even voted for Kavanaugh, which the same culprits claimed was a HUGE DEAL. Stop the bed-wetting and concern-trolling. He's not going to lose.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #15 on: November 01, 2018, 10:52:49 am »

For crying out loud, Manchin's up 12 in the RCP average, 8.9% in 538 adjusted polls and 8.4% in the 538 forecast overall. The fundamentals(or #trashdamentals if you're an Atlas poster that expects 538 to cater to your every whim) have Manchin at 7.7% lead. He's a great fit for a ticket-splitting state against a weak opponent in a Democratic year(and in case you need reminding, this guy won by double digits in 2010 and by 24 points in 2012-the same year Obama was on the ballot). And he even voted for Kavanaugh, which the same culprits claimed was a HUGE DEAL. Stop the bed-wetting and concern-trolling. He's not going to lose.

His lead was based on this poll and Emerson (both of which show Morrisey surging and Manchin up 5 now) and that junk poll that also showed DeSantis +3. That's why we need a good poll here, but I'm starting to think we aren't going to get one.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #16 on: November 01, 2018, 12:39:14 pm »

Manchin was never going to win in a landslide, but this is hardly a good poll for Morrisey. Democrats dodged a bullet here when GOP primary voters chose Morrisey instead of Jenkins.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #17 on: November 01, 2018, 01:16:02 pm »

Eleven percent for the Libertarian candidate? And the poll has been done by Rex Repass? Burn it.
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UWS
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« Reply #18 on: November 01, 2018, 01:29:18 pm »

I think Rosendale has definitely a better chance of winning in Montana than Morrisey has in West Virginia.
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Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #19 on: November 01, 2018, 01:52:13 pm »

Dems are way too confident about this race. A last second Morrisey surge was always a strong possibility. You can't count on Racist WV Hicks to support a member of the anti-white hate group. A lot of people might end up owing me and Bagel an apology if this poll is accurate, lol.

We haven't gotten a high quality poll of this race since June. Is it really too much to ask for at least one before the election?!

If this poll is accurate, then Manchin wins by 5, no apology needed.
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Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #20 on: November 01, 2018, 01:53:31 pm »

Eleven percent for the Libertarian candidate? And the poll has been done by Rex Repass? Burn it.
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AOC Stan
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« Reply #21 on: November 01, 2018, 02:45:11 pm »

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/senate/wv/west_virginia_senate_special_election_raese_vs_manchin-1673.html

You have got to get a grip Tongue
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IceSpear
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« Reply #22 on: November 01, 2018, 02:58:01 pm »


Well, a few things.

1) The trendline was toward Manchin in the final week of 2010, it is against him in the final week of 2018.

2) Raese was a toxic candidate, far worse than Morrisey.

3) Raese didn't have WV's God Emperor enthusiastically supporting and holding rallies for him.

And most importantly:

4) 2010 was before a majority of West Virginia voters began to see all Democrats as irredeemable members of an anti-white hate group. The line of demarcation for this shifting of the paradigm was on November 7th, 2012. One day after Manchin was last on the ballot!
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #23 on: November 01, 2018, 02:59:28 pm »


Well, a few things.

1) The trendline was toward Manchin in the final week of 2010, it is against him in the final week of 2018.

2) Raese was a toxic candidate, far worse than Morrisey.

3) Raese didn't have WV's God Emperor enthusiastically supporting and holding rallies for him.

And most importantly:

4) 2010 was before a majority of West Virginia voters began to see all Democrats as irredeemable members of an anti-white hate group. The line of demarcation for this shifting of the paradigm was on November 7th, 2012. One day after Manchin was last on the ballot!
We have one questionable junk pollster, and you're already throwing in the towel.
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President Biden
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« Reply #24 on: November 01, 2018, 02:59:50 pm »

I don't get why IceSpear thinks a 5-point lead for Manchin "proves" he will lose but a 4-point lead for Blackburn is insurmountable. Especially with this being a Democratic year.
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