NV Reuters/Ipsos/UVA: UTDH +6
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 26, 2024, 10:04:21 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Senatorial Election Polls
  NV Reuters/Ipsos/UVA: UTDH +6
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 3
Author Topic: NV Reuters/Ipsos/UVA: UTDH +6  (Read 4541 times)
TheRocketRaccoon
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 761
Singapore


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 24, 2018, 07:07:39 AM »

https://reuters.com/article/idUSKCN1MY18D

UTDH 47
Rosen 41
Logged
Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,424
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 24, 2018, 07:08:40 AM »

Yet Reuters also says Cruz is up (+5) in TX?
Logged
Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,187


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 24, 2018, 07:19:29 AM »

This could be the cause of the debate bump. Not only has Rosen, a mediocre candidate, made the 3th district competitive for Tarkanian's grabbing this year, but she has also perhaps wasted the democrats biggest senate gain this year.
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,726


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 24, 2018, 07:22:36 AM »

This could be the cause of the debate bump. Not only has Rosen, a mediocre candidate, made the 3th district competitive for Tarkanian's grabbing this year, but she has also perhaps wasted the democrats biggest senate gain this year.

No.

This like the TX poll was English only, online. So...
Logged
Comrade Funk
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,230
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -5.91

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 24, 2018, 07:24:38 AM »
« Edited: October 24, 2018, 07:40:07 AM by Comrade Funk »

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

It's still a tossup either way. Rosen should be embarrassed if she loses.
Logged
😥
andjey
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,504
Ukraine
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 24, 2018, 07:26:36 AM »

It moves to Lean R, every day more and more
Logged
Old Man Willow
ShadowOfTheWave
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,692
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 24, 2018, 07:51:39 AM »

NV is one of those states that is only competitive because leftists don't turn out in substantial numbers. Hopefully polls are underestimating the "Reid machine" again.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,544
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 24, 2018, 07:54:14 AM »

Totally irresponsible to poll Nevada in English only.
Logged
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,903
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 24, 2018, 08:11:12 AM »

Oh boy... why does this start to feel like 2016?

The argument "only English poll" is certainly a valid point and Heller is not ahead that much, but as things now stand, I think he has a higher chance of winning than losing. In a worst case scenario Dems fail to gain NV or AZ and lose ND and MO, potentially even IN.
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 24, 2018, 08:29:27 AM »

.....They polled NV without polling in Spanish......sigh.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,544
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 24, 2018, 08:29:47 AM »

Some weird stuff in here:



HAHAHAHA!

Logged
Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,596
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 24, 2018, 08:32:01 AM »

If you think Heller is doing better then Cruz I got a bridge to sell you
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,312
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 24, 2018, 08:35:32 AM »

Of course Atlas is buying thus garbage Roll Eyes Come on, people, you’re really going to throw PPP (which actually has the best track record for polling NV) for this? How many Democrats are honestly going to vote for Mr. “I was 99% against Trump, now he’s the best thing that’s happened in this country”? Are Indies going to break for him this year of all years? We’re not talking about a guy who won by a landslide 6 years ago.
Logged
SnowLabrador
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,005
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 24, 2018, 08:36:17 AM »

Lean R.
Logged
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,722


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 24, 2018, 08:40:28 AM »

Oh boy... why does this start to feel like 2016?

The argument "only English poll" is certainly a valid point and Heller is not ahead that much, but as things now stand, I think he has a higher chance of winning than losing. In a worst case scenario Dems fail to gain NV or AZ and lose ND and MO, potentially even IN.

That is what we, the Republicans want. Hold to NV, AZ and gain ND, IN, MO. Senate 54-46 and Dems would have to wait until 2022 to get it back if at all.
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 24, 2018, 08:41:48 AM »

Feel pretty bad for some of these posters, having to put their faith into a poll of NV that was English only, from Ipsos of all people.
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 24, 2018, 08:43:39 AM »

Of course Atlas is buying thus garbage Roll Eyes Come on, people, you’re really going to throw PPP (which actually has the best track record for polling NV) for this? How many Democrats are honestly going to vote for Mr. “I was 99% against Trump, now he’s the best thing that’s happened in this country”? Are Indies going to break for him this year of all years? We’re not talking about a guy who won by a landslide 6 years ago.

On Atlas the most recently posted poll (not even the actual most recent poll) is inevitable fact and will be the final result.  Until of course the next posted poll, in which case that one becomes the de-facto result.
Logged
Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,596
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 24, 2018, 08:45:28 AM »

FWI this is a LV poll as Rosen is leading in the RV part (so is Beto oddly enough) https://mobile.twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1055091862300778496
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,762
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 24, 2018, 08:45:43 AM »

Heck was leadinding around this time during the election, I wouldn't trust this poll, until final weakend
Logged
History505
Guest
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 24, 2018, 08:51:37 AM »

This may be one of those threads that will be funny to bump and look at after Election Day.
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 24, 2018, 08:56:30 AM »


How the hell is Rosen and Beto leading in RV without Spanish calling?!
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: October 24, 2018, 08:57:15 AM »

Oh boy... why does this start to feel like 2016?

Yeah, it does feel like 2016. Atlas posters are assuming Nevada is going to vote way to the right of the country as a whole because of muh junk polls.
Logged
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,722


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: October 24, 2018, 08:57:35 AM »

Heck was leadinding around this time during the election, I wouldn't trust this poll, until final weakend

Heck lost it because he didn't stuck with Trump. Rubio in Florida for example stuck to his Endorsement and never wavered.

BTW,

FOX NEWS will apparently also have a NV Poll out this evening showing Heller ahead. The only Poll where Rosen is leading is the PPP garbarge Poll.
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: October 24, 2018, 08:58:50 AM »

Heck was leadinding around this time during the election, I wouldn't trust this poll, until final weakend

Heck lost it because he didn't stuck with Trump. Rubio in Florida for example stuck to his Endorsement and never wavered.

BTW,

FOX NEWS will apparently also have a NV Poll out this evening showing Heller ahead. The only Poll where Rosen is leading is the PPP garbarge Poll.

You are right! Heck lost the state cause he didnt stick to Trump, just like how Trump lost the state because he didnt stick to Trump!....wait a second...
Logged
Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,187


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: October 24, 2018, 09:13:03 AM »

You have to give Trump credit here. Not only did he flawlessly orchestrate the Kavanaugh nomination near the midterms to motivate his base, he solidified TN, TX and ND with the Kavanaugh debacle. Not only has the republicans successfully defended their territory, but they have gone on the offense around the country putting critical democrat funds to non-competitive seats, and has given Heller the momentum and a fighting chance to survive this wave year.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.05 seconds with 14 queries.