NV Reuters/Ipsos/UVA: UTDH +6
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Author Topic: NV Reuters/Ipsos/UVA: UTDH +6  (Read 4190 times)
TheRocketRaccoon
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« on: October 24, 2018, 07:07:39 AM »

https://reuters.com/article/idUSKCN1MY18D

UTDH 47
Rosen 41
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #1 on: October 24, 2018, 07:08:40 AM »

Yet Reuters also says Cruz is up (+5) in TX?
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Woody
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« Reply #2 on: October 24, 2018, 07:19:29 AM »

This could be the cause of the debate bump. Not only has Rosen, a mediocre candidate, made the 3th district competitive for Tarkanian's grabbing this year, but she has also perhaps wasted the democrats biggest senate gain this year.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #3 on: October 24, 2018, 07:22:36 AM »

This could be the cause of the debate bump. Not only has Rosen, a mediocre candidate, made the 3th district competitive for Tarkanian's grabbing this year, but she has also perhaps wasted the democrats biggest senate gain this year.

No.

This like the TX poll was English only, online. So...
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #4 on: October 24, 2018, 07:24:38 AM »
« Edited: October 24, 2018, 07:40:07 AM by Comrade Funk »

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It's still a tossup either way. Rosen should be embarrassed if she loses.
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andjey
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« Reply #5 on: October 24, 2018, 07:26:36 AM »

It moves to Lean R, every day more and more
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
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« Reply #6 on: October 24, 2018, 07:51:39 AM »

NV is one of those states that is only competitive because leftists don't turn out in substantial numbers. Hopefully polls are underestimating the "Reid machine" again.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #7 on: October 24, 2018, 07:54:14 AM »

Totally irresponsible to poll Nevada in English only.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #8 on: October 24, 2018, 08:11:12 AM »

Oh boy... why does this start to feel like 2016?

The argument "only English poll" is certainly a valid point and Heller is not ahead that much, but as things now stand, I think he has a higher chance of winning than losing. In a worst case scenario Dems fail to gain NV or AZ and lose ND and MO, potentially even IN.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #9 on: October 24, 2018, 08:29:27 AM »

.....They polled NV without polling in Spanish......sigh.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #10 on: October 24, 2018, 08:29:47 AM »

Some weird stuff in here:



HAHAHAHA!

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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #11 on: October 24, 2018, 08:32:01 AM »

If you think Heller is doing better then Cruz I got a bridge to sell you
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Xing
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« Reply #12 on: October 24, 2018, 08:35:32 AM »

Of course Atlas is buying thus garbage Roll Eyes Come on, people, you’re really going to throw PPP (which actually has the best track record for polling NV) for this? How many Democrats are honestly going to vote for Mr. “I was 99% against Trump, now he’s the best thing that’s happened in this country”? Are Indies going to break for him this year of all years? We’re not talking about a guy who won by a landslide 6 years ago.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #13 on: October 24, 2018, 08:36:17 AM »

Lean R.
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2016
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« Reply #14 on: October 24, 2018, 08:40:28 AM »

Oh boy... why does this start to feel like 2016?

The argument "only English poll" is certainly a valid point and Heller is not ahead that much, but as things now stand, I think he has a higher chance of winning than losing. In a worst case scenario Dems fail to gain NV or AZ and lose ND and MO, potentially even IN.

That is what we, the Republicans want. Hold to NV, AZ and gain ND, IN, MO. Senate 54-46 and Dems would have to wait until 2022 to get it back if at all.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #15 on: October 24, 2018, 08:41:48 AM »

Feel pretty bad for some of these posters, having to put their faith into a poll of NV that was English only, from Ipsos of all people.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #16 on: October 24, 2018, 08:43:39 AM »

Of course Atlas is buying thus garbage Roll Eyes Come on, people, you’re really going to throw PPP (which actually has the best track record for polling NV) for this? How many Democrats are honestly going to vote for Mr. “I was 99% against Trump, now he’s the best thing that’s happened in this country”? Are Indies going to break for him this year of all years? We’re not talking about a guy who won by a landslide 6 years ago.

On Atlas the most recently posted poll (not even the actual most recent poll) is inevitable fact and will be the final result.  Until of course the next posted poll, in which case that one becomes the de-facto result.
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #17 on: October 24, 2018, 08:45:28 AM »

FWI this is a LV poll as Rosen is leading in the RV part (so is Beto oddly enough) https://mobile.twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1055091862300778496
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #18 on: October 24, 2018, 08:45:43 AM »

Heck was leadinding around this time during the election, I wouldn't trust this poll, until final weakend
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History505
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« Reply #19 on: October 24, 2018, 08:51:37 AM »

This may be one of those threads that will be funny to bump and look at after Election Day.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #20 on: October 24, 2018, 08:56:30 AM »


How the hell is Rosen and Beto leading in RV without Spanish calling?!
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IceSpear
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« Reply #21 on: October 24, 2018, 08:57:15 AM »

Oh boy... why does this start to feel like 2016?

Yeah, it does feel like 2016. Atlas posters are assuming Nevada is going to vote way to the right of the country as a whole because of muh junk polls.
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2016
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« Reply #22 on: October 24, 2018, 08:57:35 AM »

Heck was leadinding around this time during the election, I wouldn't trust this poll, until final weakend

Heck lost it because he didn't stuck with Trump. Rubio in Florida for example stuck to his Endorsement and never wavered.

BTW,

FOX NEWS will apparently also have a NV Poll out this evening showing Heller ahead. The only Poll where Rosen is leading is the PPP garbarge Poll.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #23 on: October 24, 2018, 08:58:50 AM »

Heck was leadinding around this time during the election, I wouldn't trust this poll, until final weakend

Heck lost it because he didn't stuck with Trump. Rubio in Florida for example stuck to his Endorsement and never wavered.

BTW,

FOX NEWS will apparently also have a NV Poll out this evening showing Heller ahead. The only Poll where Rosen is leading is the PPP garbarge Poll.

You are right! Heck lost the state cause he didnt stick to Trump, just like how Trump lost the state because he didnt stick to Trump!....wait a second...
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Woody
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« Reply #24 on: October 24, 2018, 09:13:03 AM »

You have to give Trump credit here. Not only did he flawlessly orchestrate the Kavanaugh nomination near the midterms to motivate his base, he solidified TN, TX and ND with the Kavanaugh debacle. Not only has the republicans successfully defended their territory, but they have gone on the offense around the country putting critical democrat funds to non-competitive seats, and has given Heller the momentum and a fighting chance to survive this wave year.
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