TN-Targoz Strategic Marketing: Tie
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  TN-Targoz Strategic Marketing: Tie
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Author Topic: TN-Targoz Strategic Marketing: Tie  (Read 3531 times)
Aurelio21
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« Reply #25 on: November 03, 2018, 02:53:25 PM »

About the pollster: LMAO

Claiming Bredesen leading (insignificantly) in RV while Nelson in FL on the losing track. They are assuming a 2014-Level turn out among 18-39 voters. This explains everything.
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IceSpear
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E: -6.19, S: -6.43

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« Reply #26 on: November 03, 2018, 03:52:09 PM »

Multiple polls corroborate this race still being at Tossup. The junk poll defense can only go so far. Blackburn remains favored but Bredesen may have a shot after all.

You were literally just arguing Manchin was guaranteed to win because he's at 87% on 538. Yet Blackburn being at 82% is a "toss up?" Okay.

Huh I was citing an objective look at the race, while you were acting like a 5 point lead for Manchin made it a Lean R race.

I don't care what 538 says about anything since their model is junk, but if you're going to cite it as evidence for one race, you can't completely dismiss it for another. They give Blackburn and Manchin roughly equal chances to win.

By the way, this same pollster now has Scott up 4, so hopefully everyone who called this a toss up due to this poll considers FL to be lean R now. Smiley
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IceSpear
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« Reply #27 on: November 07, 2018, 06:47:57 PM »

LOL. RIP IceSpear. If two polls show this race tied, it isn't really "Safe R" anymore, huh?

LOL
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