NV Reuters/Ipsos/UVA: UTDH +6

[Xing]

Of course Atlas is buying thus garbage Come on, people, you’re really going to throw PPP (which actually has the best track record for polling NV) for this? How many Democrats are honestly going to vote for Mr. “I was 99% against Trump, now he’s the best thing that’s happened in this country”? Are Indies going to break for him this year of all years? We’re not talking about a guy who won by a landslide 6 years ago.

[Xing]

Someone remind me who called me a joke for calling this Lean R?

You are. It’s not a Lean R race, unless the big red wave is real. Reuters is trash.

Agreed Reuters is trash, they had Beto winning which unfortunately we all know isn’t true.

BUT other polls have Heller winning too.

You mean like PPP, which was pretty much spot on in 2016?

[Xing]

Yeah, I don’t see how you can still justify calling NV a "swing state", especially in a Toss-up or Lean D election, but I’m sure we’ll get a ton of Trump +2-6 polls of NV-PRES in 2020, with Atlas bedwetting and predictions of a Democratic wave everywhere except NV (and NH) ensured.

The ride never ends.

And we'll almost certainly be mocked for saying that Trump has virtually no chance in Nevada in 2020, and people will say that we have an "obsession" because we don't think that a state which last went Republican at the presidential level in 2004, has two Democratic Senators, a Democratic Governor, and three out of four representatives is an ultratight Toss-Up state. If people could agree that NV is at least a light blue state that Trump isn't going to win unless Democrats are getting massacred (and even then he still might lose it), we wouldn't need to keep talking about it.